Thoma Bravo UK cyber deal looks a little too good 26 Apr 2024 The buyout firm finally agreed a takeover of long-term target Darktrace, an IT security specialist. Despite the generous-looking 44% premium on offer, the buyer’s returns seem juicy given a nascent US push. That may raise the chance of shareholders asking for more money.
BHP investors throw CEO too short an M&A leash 26 Apr 2024 The miner’s stock fell 4.6% after the company proposed to buy Anglo American at a $39 bln valuation. It suggests shareholders fear boss Mike Henry will end up overpaying. But with his low-ball opener leaving plenty of wriggle room to justify upping the bid, that looks premature.
CVC’s Darwinian pay policy puts rivals on the spot 26 Apr 2024 The buyout shop, which manages $200 bln, allocates 40% of fund profits to staff on a deal-by-deal basis, rather than pooling the spoils. Rivals say it hurts teamwork, but CVC’s returns suggest it works. If the newly public firm keeps out-raising peers, others may follow suit.
Through Aramco, Peak China courts Peak Oil 26 Apr 2024 Buying a 10% stake in petrochemical firm Hengli will ramp up the Saudi giant’s presence in the People's Republic. Aramco is boosting ties with an important long-term customer. Beijing gets to tout foreign inflows as other sources dry up. It's a critical match.
Anglo American has grounds to play hard to get 25 Apr 2024 The London-listed miner has received an all-share $39 bln bid from BHP. Anglo’s recent woes explain why, but its jumble of assets could be worth more. If boss Duncan Wanblad can show as much by outlining a plan B, he may yet see its $149 bln rival off – or extract a higher offer.
US economy is a victim of its own success 25 Apr 2024 The United States emerged as the world’s growth engine at the IMF summit last week. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate whether this debt-fuelled strength means that interest rates will stay high for longer and how that could raise the risk of a recession.
Vote no to bashing proxy advisers 25 Apr 2024 Corporate leaders at JPMorgan and AstraZeneca bridle when ISS and Glass Lewis criticize their governance. No wonder: Some high-stakes shareholder votes this year will be uncomfortable for feather-bedded bosses. Proxy firms are problematic, but they do more good than harm.
European banks have little to lose from rate cuts 25 Apr 2024 Tighter monetary policy boosted revenue at BNP Paribas, Deutsche and Barclays, who now face ECB and BoE loosening. Markets expect some 50 basis points of rate cuts, but that shouldn’t hurt bank income much. Deposits may get cheaper, while old loans keep rolling onto higher rates.
EU Fannie Mae idea is bad answer to good question 25 Apr 2024 A report led by former French central banker Christian Noyer advocates more securitisation to help fund $1 trln of annual green and digital investments. He’s right that bank balance sheets need unclogging. But subsidising the slicing and dicing of mortgages isn’t worth the risk.
Time for Kering’s king to consider a step back 24 Apr 2024 François-Henri Pinault, heir to the family fortune, has been at the helm of the 40 bln euro French luxury conglomerate for nearly 20 years. With returns shrinking and as flagship brand Gucci struggles, Kering may benefit from fresh blood – and possibly a new CEO.
Macron wades into a very French debt crisis 24 Apr 2024 Some investors are avoiding the country’s bonds after its budget deficit topped 5% of GDP. Paris is unlikely to require an IMF or European bailout. But President Emmanuel Macron has to bring public finances under control. That will come at a heavy political and economic price.
Beijing powers up into car wars battleground 24 Apr 2024 The city’s auto show returns, with some 700 exhibitors, for the first time since the pandemic. Foreign brands from Volkswagen to Toyota have to show how they can defend themselves as China’s BYD and new threats like Xiaomi chase market share at home and abroad.
World economy’s star athlete may run out of puff 23 Apr 2024 The IMF crowned the United States as the champion of global growth at last week's summit. A predicted rise in GDP of 2.7% this year is welcome as Europe and China struggle. But high debt and hard-to-repeat gains in productivity and the workforce will limit American staying power.
European airlines’ hot summer belies sector clouds 23 Apr 2024 Jet shortages mean that carriers may be able to charge higher fares this summer, ending years of overcapacity. For stronger players like $25 bln Ryanair, that could mean fatter margins. But it’s likely to be a short-term reprieve for a sector that’s grappling with other costs.
Private credit paints a new scream for banks 22 Apr 2024 Lending against wealthy patrons’ art has been dominated by financial institutions. Sotheby’s $700 mln sale of bonds backed by such loans offers non-bank rivals a template to upend the status quo. A rebounding securitization market can feed this machine, if it fits a careful mold.
Swedes’ gaming split is far from a next-level fix 22 Apr 2024 Struggling $3 bln Embracer will divide itself into three discrete companies. Leveraging up the group’s board games arm and splitting out hit-and-miss blockbusters and steadier mobile games makes sense. But it’s unlikely to unlock value akin to the Swedish firm’s glory days.
CVC insiders’ delayed payday is still pretty sweet 22 Apr 2024 The soon-to-list buyout shop will bar employees from selling stakes for three years, and then only let them do so slowly. It helps get IPO investors on board, and suits bosses too. By the time they cash out, CVC should be worth a lot more than its 13 to 15 bln euro float price.
What to do about the EU’s relative decline 22 Apr 2024 The European Union will become marginalised if it continues to shrink compared with other regions. Two former Italian prime ministers, Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi, are coming up with remedies. But anxious leaders may lack the will to drink the necessary medicine.
Winner’s curse unfairly haunts $7 bln paper deal 19 Apr 2024 UK-based Mondi dropped its pursuit of DS Smith, handing victory to rival US bidder International Paper. The victor’s shares have lagged the sector, suggesting its investors see little value in the deal. If the promised cost savings appear, that view may be too pessimistic.
ESG is ghost at global retailers’ annual feast 19 Apr 2024 LVMH, Amazon and peers gathered in Paris for the industry’s yearly shindig. The growth areas in the $30 trln sector are Shein-style cheap garments and the Middle East. Both jar with retailers’ previous focus on environmental, social and governance factors.