Trade

Trump’s new Democrat friends put China on notice

26 Sep 2017

The U.S. president touted his common ground with congressional minority leaders Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi when it comes to Beijing. They talk tougher on currency manipulation and trade than some in the White House. Their chumminess could put more economic pressure on China.

China’s grand plans help Advent to shore in Brazil

8 Sep 2017

The buyout firm is selling port operator TCP in a $1 billion deal. That is a good outcome after a recession and a currency rout, and the target fills a strategic gap for its Chinese state-backed buyer. China’s trading ambitions mean more overseas port deals should follow.

China setbacks spoil Australia’s dairy strategy

5 Sep 2017

Aussie farmers have tried to milk China’s growing hunger for infant formula. Rising incomes and the end of the one-child policy made the $19 bln market seem appetising. As often happens in the People’s Republic, intense competition and tough local rules have soured the outlook.

Viewsroom: Corporate America dumps CEO president

17 Aug 2017

Donald Trump’s inflammatory comments about white supremacists have lost him the support and advice of business leaders, leaving him increasingly isolated and ineffectual. Qatar’s stake in the LSE may prompt Saudi Aramco to shun the exchange for its IPO. Plus: M&A for the MAGA era.

Britain tries Trojan Horse trade tactic in Ireland

17 Aug 2017

The EU wants the Northern Ireland border issue resolved before the UK’s wider exit terms can be agreed. New proposals from London effectively couch Britain’s trade agenda in concern for the peace process. Having Dublin onside raises the chances of Britain getting what it wants.

U.S. blunt force ill-suited to NAFTA intricacies

16 Aug 2017

President Trump’s trade chief demanded changes to reduce the country’s trade deficit at the renegotiation kickoff. He also wants to speed up talks given upcoming elections. The America First tone fails to recognize that Canada and Mexico have leverage, and face pressure at home.

Mexico, Canada miss trick in NAFTA e-commerce fight

14 Aug 2017

Both countries are battling against Trump administration demands to let their citizens import more online goods duty-free. It would hurt their retailers and help U.S. firms like Amazon. But consumers would benefit. Conceding may also help their case in broader NAFTA negotiations.

U.S. sanctions on Venezuela a double-edged sword

31 Jul 2017

Washington is weighing fresh trade retaliation after Venezuela’s constitutional vote. New measures may embolden opposition to President Nicolas Maduro, including from the military. There’s hope for Venezuelans, but U.S. companies like Phillips 66 and Chevron will share the costs.

Shipyard spat shows Macron will put France first

31 Jul 2017

The French president angered Italy and exposed the limits of his ardor for the European Union and free markets by nationalising STX France. The silver lining is that he has a better chance of pushing through reform if he makes a show of protecting jobs and the national interest.

Hadas: What Brexit forecasters got wrong

26 Jul 2017

The UK government’s pre-referendum forecasts about what leaving the EU would mean were gloomy, but not dark enough. What they missed: British inflexibility, the damage from unlinking trade, the challenge of migration and the lingering costs of national self-humiliation.

Saudi oil cut would be a hit-and-hope strategy

24 Jul 2017

The kingdom’s pact with OPEC to damp output is crumbling and has failed to drain inventories, or boost prices, fast enough. One suggestion is to reduce its own exports by as much as a seventh to shock markets into submission. If that fails, though, Saudi would look impotent.

Euro rally will only speed its own reversal

21 Jul 2017

The single currency has hit a two-year high against the U.S. dollar. That will depress import prices when inflation is still too low. Any hint that a stronger exchange rate will prompt the European Central Bank to leave monetary policy loose for longer will push it down again.

Trump fuzziness gives NAFTA mediators wiggle room

17 Jul 2017

The president wants to cut deficits with Mexico and Canada and strengthen rules for products made in North America. But his trade rep is offering few details, while cribbing other ideas from the ditched TPP. Such a vague approach may increase the chance of striking a decent deal.

Mexico and Canada on the lookout for new friends

14 Jul 2017

Donald Trump will soon present demands for a revised trade pact. Uncle Sam's size gives it leverage, but America’s neighbors have been seeking out partners in South America and Europe. This could benefit firms like Adecoagro in Argentina and Germany’s Oetker over U.S. rivals.

China’s $6.3 bln shipping buy is delicately stacked

10 Jul 2017

COSCO Shipping is leading an offer to buy Orient Overseas. The price, equal to 1.4 times book value, is expensive for the loss-making business. A further agreement to preserve jobs, and the Hong Kong target's listing, sets a high bar for the Chinese state firm to create value.

Japan and EU find solace in Trump trade rejection

6 Jul 2017

Last year both were focused on negotiations with the United States. But the U.S. president’s protectionist stance prompted them to revive long-standing talks. Though the “political agreement” is far from complete, it’s a sign that trade liberalisation can still happen.

U.S. steel war invites needless collateral damage

30 Jun 2017

With overcapacity on the upcoming G20 agenda, the White House is mulling a 20 pct tariff on imports. That'd be risky for the auto and construction industries. A similar 2002 levy under President Bush led to 200,000 job losses. There are smarter ways to address market distortions.

Germany can jump growth hurdle courtesy of Brexit

27 Jun 2017

Europe’s biggest economy is expanding so quickly that there’s a growing dearth of skilled labour. The shortage may be severe enough to depress the long-term growth rate, the Bundesbank says. One way to plug the gap is to attract EU workers who no longer feel welcome in Britain.

Brexit one year on: an alternative history

23 Jun 2017

It has been a year since Britain voted narrowly to remain in the EU, a (fake) bank CEO writes in a memo to staff. Few expected uncertainty would linger so long after the referendum. Austerity and populism point to challenges in the UK. Thankfully, the euro zone looks attractive.

Oil markets too calm over Qatar ultimatum

23 Jun 2017

Doha’s Gulf neighbours have imposed a 10-day deadline to comply with demands including reparations, closing Al Jazeera and regular inspections. Markets have assumed the standoff won’t turn violent and impact oil supply from the region. That assumption is looking less secure.