Market forces knock ominously on US realtors’ door 12 Apr 2024 Home buyers will soon find it easier to negotiate fees they pay to 1.5 mln agents – a move that might have happened earlier in a less distorted market. Some brokers will earn more. But the reforms are likely to shrink the fee pool, which is tricky for ancillary firms like Zillow.
How Patrick Drahi can clamber out of his debt hole 11 Apr 2024 The tycoon’s Altice telecom empire is straining under $60 bln of borrowings, and creditors of its French unit are gunning for a fight. Yet loose bond terms, and the debt’s low trading prices, lend Drahi an escape route. He just needs to hope investors have short memories.
India can grow fast with or without Narendra Modi 10 Apr 2024 The prime minister is hot favourite to secure a third term, and to lead the country into another decade of economic expansion. Yet projections of 6%-plus annual GDP growth are below the country’s own track record. And hitting the mark does not depend on one man.
Airbus obsessives have a shaky grasp of history 9 Apr 2024 The $140 bln pan-European group is flying high as rival Boeing stutters. Now carmakers and others are wondering if similar collaboration could help them face down overseas competitors. But Airbus’s idiosyncrasies and convoluted road to success make copycat plans pie-in-the-sky.
Next Chinese trade war could benefit the planet 8 Apr 2024 As Beijing floods the world with cheap green goods, the West will put up trade barriers. That will delay the energy transition in the United States and EU. But the glut of EVs, solar panels and the like will speed it up in China and much of the Global South.
Google will struggle with Apple-generated AI query 5 Apr 2024 Artificial intelligence presents the first serious threat to the search engine’s 25-year dominance. Parent Alphabet has the money and tech nous to fend off rivals. The bigger financial risk is its $120 bln relationship with the iPhone maker as trustbusters try to pry them apart.
Ben & Jerry’s rocky ESG road bucks vanilla trends 4 Apr 2024 The purpose-driven ice cream brand is being scooped out of Unilever as corporate activism increasingly invites controversy. And yet the maker of flavors like Empower Mint has grown faster than its parent. Social values, especially when authentic, can mix well with financial aims.
TSMC’s most complex engineering task is itself 3 Apr 2024 The $625 bln chipmaker has built a monopoly in advanced semiconductors by staying in Taiwan. Now it’s expanding abroad, spurred by subsidies and US-China tensions. Despite higher costs, it can generate decent returns. The bigger challenge will be keeping its technological edge.
Profitability is next sacrifice at inflation altar 2 Apr 2024 Central bankers want LVMH, Pepsi and others to pay higher wages without raising prices. Bottom lines in the euro zone already have dipped to 40% of output, the lowest rate since 2020, and Big Tech accounts for most US margin growth. CEOs and investors can expect leaner times.
Shein’s fast fashion comes with fast-finance risks 28 Mar 2024 Influencers and US shoppers love the online retailer, but the one product that’s not yet for sale is the company’s shares. If all goes very right, a $200 bln valuation in a mooted IPO isn’t unthinkable. Yet Shein’s business model may shift as quickly as its cut-price clothing.
LNG angst seeps from consumers to producers 27 Mar 2024 A few years ago, supplies of liquefied natural gas were scarce and prices sky-high. Extra capacity arriving this decade means there could soon be a price-sapping glut. Big suppliers like Qatar and Shell have long-term contracts that can ease the pain, but only up to a point.
Lower taxes would cripple Europe’s growth 26 Mar 2024 The bloc needs new public investment of about 3% of GDP for the green transition, defence, infrastructure, education and health. High debt loads limit borrowing and spending cuts hurt the economy. Instead of pledging lower levies, governments have to raise them.
Ukraine loan is matter of politics and accounting 25 Mar 2024 Lending the country $300 bln backed by its claim for war damages against Russia has several benefits compared to rival ideas for unlocking support. Kyiv’s allies would still need to find the cash, though. Here is how they could navigate the political and financial obstacles.
Middle East AI dream depends on luring brainpower 22 Mar 2024 An abundance of cheap energy to power data centres gives artificial intelligence startups reason to consider the Gulf. But to become a force in AI, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will have to design their own advanced chips. Attracting talent to the region will require more than money.
Japanese investors becoming the life of the party 21 Mar 2024 ValueAct, Elliott and Berkshire Hathaway have deployed some $16 bln to uncover value in Tokyo-listed stocks. They’re receiving warmer welcomes than raider T. Boone Pickens did in 1989. Even better, the US trio’s success is helping inspire local funds to sustain the momentum.
China’s automakers try turning Japanese 20 Mar 2024 Efforts to block Chinese auto exports are inspiring BYD and rivals to set up factories overseas. Their journey is reminiscent of Toyota and Nissan’s drive into the US and Europe. But Washington and Beijing’s fraught ties and new tech portend a different ending to this road trip.
Mexican wave of nearshoring firms is all at sea 19 Mar 2024 The country’s proximity to the US could make it a preferred destination as multinationals move away from Asia. Companies like Merck and Tesla are building factories there but, so far, manufacturing is not growing. With relocations costs soaring, an economic boom looks elusive.
Only an oil slump can stop Vladimir Putin 18 Mar 2024 To keep pumping money into his Ukraine war, the newly re-elected president will have to squeeze Russians. Nobody can prevent him from further unpopular measures. A sharp drop in oil revenue might force him to change course, but that is hard and risky for the West to bring about.
Credit Suisse carcass feeds many hungry mouths 15 Mar 2024 In the year since it collapsed, competitors have carved up the Swiss bank’s employees and clients. UBS grabbed most of the spoils, but Santander, Deutsche Bank and others have also moved in. Lasting benefits, though, depend on survivors showing restraint when activity picks up.
Buyout shops take risky exit to bypass deal crash 14 Mar 2024 A lack of M&A and IPOs has left private equity portfolios with $3 trln of companies, many past their sell-by dates. As a result, firms are increasingly cashing out backers while keeping assets. There are guardrails on the structures now, but they could easily spin out of control.