Technology

Alibaba is the ultimate contrarian China bet

21 Feb 2024

The $188 bln e-commerce group was once emblematic of the country’s growth and tech innovation. But over-expansion, regulatory crackdowns, and slowing consumption are forcing CEO Eddie Wu to perform a hard reset. Winning back investors requires Beijing to correct course too.

Cloudflare risks a lesson in giants’ AI advantage

16 Feb 2024

At 23 times expected sales, the $34 bln cybersecurity firm is one of the most richly valued software companies. Using its network to power AI holds promise, but enormous spending and the risk of being overshadowed by titans like Microsoft makes investors look overambitious.

Nvidia’s AI mini-bets set an example not to follow

15 Feb 2024

SoundHound AI shares surged 76% thanks to a $3.7 mln investment from the giant chipmaker. Not bad for a company likely to miss projections it set before going public in 2022. The colossal Nvidia will be fine even if SoundHound proves a dud. Coattail riders can’t say the same.

Capital Calls: Lyft

14 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: The US ride-hailing firm mistakenly forecast 500 basis points of margin improvement for 2024, causing its stock to surge some 60% before it came back to earth.

Peter Thiel’s latest bitcoin bet is a coronation

13 Feb 2024

The billionaire’s Founders Fund pocketed $1.8 bln in 2022 on crypto investments before dipping back in last fall. Bitcoin has since been anointed with an ETF and technology that furthers its use. The currency isn’t yet legitimate, but Thiel’s return marks its growing status.

Arm’s weirdly high valuation has legs

13 Feb 2024

The $150 bln chip designer’s shares have doubled since last week’s positive outlook. The good news supports a higher valuation, but Arm’s current level is excessive. Yet with a small free float and majority owner SoftBank unlikely to sell any time soon, it may stay in the clouds.

Sam Altman inflates one-man AI bubble

9 Feb 2024

The OpenAI chief wants to boost chip capacity to speed artificial intelligence, possibly raising $7 trln, the Wall Street Journal said. That’s what chipmakers might spend on factories in two decades - and would surpass previous investment booms. It’s mostly a gauge of AI hype.

Meta enters the dividend multiverse of madness

8 Feb 2024

The first payout from Facebook’s owner is a small $5 bln sign of financial restraint. Benefits from regularly returning cash to shareholders, however, are about as tangible as the metaverse. Zeal for dividends simply perpetuates inefficiency and irrationality in markets.

EU’s AI ambitions may fail on two fronts

8 Feb 2024

Brussels wants to set the global standard for artificial intelligence rules while helping Europe’s most promising startups to thrive. But its AI Act may be too fussy for others to copy, even as risks remain. And it will do little to help local champions take on US tech giants.

Capital Calls: Maersk, SoftBank, Adyen

8 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: The Danish shipping giant’s shares fell 14% after it missed expectations and warned of years of earnings pain; the Japanese investment firm posted its first net profit in five quarters; the Dutch payment company is slowly recovering.

Why tech giants will rake in AI’s big gains

6 Feb 2024

Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia and Alphabet powered roughly 8% of 2023’s North American venture deals, largely in artificial intelligence. In this Exchange podcast, Altimeter Capital investor Apoorv Agrawal explains why these companies are reaping rewards from the latest tech craze.

Apple’s AI absence may be its advantage

1 Feb 2024

Microsoft and Alphabet pepper quarterly results with the promise of artificial intelligence. The $2.9 trln Apple barely mentions it. The risk is a giant missed opportunity. But its gadgets may indirectly benefit, and without the ballooning capital expenditure at peers like Meta.

Paytm’s smackdown has a full and final feel

1 Feb 2024

The payments bank of India’s top fintech has been barred by the regulator from receiving deposits. The reputational damage may prompt other lenders to pull back from working with the loss-making $6 bln company. It makes Warren Buffett’s recent painful exit look well-timed.

Alphabet may envy Microsoft’s AI Midas touch

31 Jan 2024

Massive expectations of how artificial intelligence will reshape technology have boosted both companies’ valuations. But comparing their latest results suggests the $3 trln software firm run by Satya Nadella is moving quicker and more decisively to turn its bets into gold.

Philips sees dim light at end of tortuous tunnel

29 Jan 2024

The $19 bln Dutch medical-kit maker faces a lengthy ban on selling ventilators in the US. Despite the hit, CEO Roy Jakobs is confident he can meet his business goals. Yet a possible fine, as well as litigation arising from faulty machines, will keep weighing on investors’ minds.

Dismantling Evergrande exposes Hong Kong-China gap

29 Jan 2024

A court in the financial hub has ordered the world’s most indebted developer to liquidate after talks with offshore creditors collapsed. Yet how this will be enforced on the mainland, where most of Evergrande’s assets are, is unclear. The experience of HNA may offer some clues.

Indonesia’s nickel policy looks fragile

26 Jan 2024

Outgoing President Joko Widodo's push to embed the country into electric-vehicle supply chains is under scrutiny ahead of elections next month. Global companies face an anxious wait to see if the policy will be fine-tuned; beyond the polls other threats are piling up too.

IBM boom suggests a lack of pattern recognition

25 Jan 2024

AI is thriving, says CEO Arvind Krishna. Investors responded by giving IBM shares their best day in 23 years. Yet the tech firm’s reported numbers are pedestrian. Until the benefits show up in top-line growth, IBM’s promise remains – in AI-speak – a hallucination.

Tesla’s secret weapon: US automakers’ flaws

24 Jan 2024

The $650 bln electric-car maker’s fourth quarter continues to show the strain of stalling growth and falling prices as Chinese rivals rise. A long-sought cheap model is a ways off, but boss Elon Musk has one big fillip: old-guard rivals are still behind in his home market.

Venture capital’s facelift shows modest scars

24 Jan 2024

Growth-company investors are paying higher prices, new data suggests, even if dealmaking overall is still muted. Interest is shifting to areas like AI and manufacturing. The result is a new look for the recovering startup ecosystem, albeit with a little less youthful vigor.