Technology

Elliott nudge may lead to slow-motion SoftBank LBO

5 Jun 2024

The US activist wants the $88 bln Japanese tech investor to boost its share price via a $15 bln buyback. That could raise SoftBank boss Masayoshi Son’s stake from a third to 40% and in time spur him to take the group private. The risk for Elliott is that he binges on AI instead.

Salesforce 2.0 benefits will download soon enough

30 May 2024

The software developer lost nearly $50 bln of market value after its revenue outlook fell short of what analysts were expecting. Chasing growth, which has been around 20% for a decade, would be a bad idea, though. Boss Marc Benioff’s profitability quest is a solid update.

Snowflake’s growth story is worryingly typical

23 May 2024

The $55 bln software firm’s revenue is growing rapidly, partly because of AI initiatives, and investors are rewarding it. But marketing costs and stock-based pay are high, and semiconductors costs are rising. As tech newbies show, excitement based on sales growth often thaws.

JD sends out bullish signal on China stocks

22 May 2024

The tech company's $1.8 bln convertible debt deal is the largest out of the People's Republic since 2021. The notes, which swap into equity at a 35% premium to the current share price, suggest optimism is returning to Chinese markets. Whether big IPOs will follow is less clear.

China’s cars fine-tune their driving skills

21 May 2024

Automakers in the country are touting autonomous driving, and Tesla is preparing to join the fray. On this week’s Exchange podcast, Maxwell Zhou, CEO of Alibaba-backed DeepRoute.ai, explains why progress is accelerating and how that is already changing consumers’ expectations.

Crypto’s virtuous cycle is more of a spiral

15 May 2024

Bitcoin ETF approvals have boosted the cryptocurrency, helping FTX customers recover funds and prompting firms like $44 bln Block to hoard more of the digital coins. But it also fuels a new type of speculation. With companies getting deeper into crypto, a new bubble is inflating.

AI will help treat Big Pharma’s looming illness

15 May 2024

Drug discovery is a long and costly process with success rates below 10%. Caps on prices and shorter patent periods in the US will also make life harder for the likes of Pfizer, AstraZeneca and rivals. Despite patchy results, betting on machines may be the best hope of a cure.

China stock rally leaves Alibaba out in the cold

13 May 2024

The e-commerce giant’s shares are up less than 5% this year despite Tencent’s surging by a quarter. Boss Eddie Wu is promising stock buybacks and dividends. But investors are sceptical on Alibaba's growth prospects and whether it can unlock value after a botched restructuring.

Arm encounters the AI bubble’s ups and downs

9 May 2024

The $110 bln chip designer reported record revenue in the fourth quarter, but investors disliked a less punchy outlook. Big Tech’s AI-fuelled data centre land grab is powering Arm’s revenue and margins. But its toppy valuation means any perceived upset gets punished.

New ASML CEO’s job is harder than it might look

9 May 2024

The $360 bln Dutch firm is the sole maker of machines that produce the most advanced chips for Intel and TSMC. New boss Christophe Fouquet effectively runs a monopoly. But he still faces risks from staff retention, China-US spats, and as-yet-opaque risks to ASML’s domination.

Bain could be third time lucky in Japan

2 May 2024

It's pushing an IPO of Kioxia again after talks to merge the chipmaker collapsed last year. A deal would help pare a $6 bln company loan. Timing is on the sellers' side; demand for chips and Japanese stocks is robust. Rival buyout firms will cheer a successful selldown too.

Amazon is the everything-plus-AI store

30 Apr 2024

The $1.8 trln company is still dominating e-commerce and cloud computing, as first-quarter earnings show. But its valuation trails Microsoft’s, which has plunged into AI. Boss Andy Jassy will play catchup in the coming year. But Amazon may not be as behind as investors think.

Satellite union will struggle to defy gravity

30 Apr 2024

Luxembourg-based SES agreed a $3 bln cash acquisition of US rival Intelsat. The news wiped a fifth off the buyer’s shares. Investors thought they were getting a ton of cash from the lowly valued satellite operator, but instead they’re getting a deal with questionable returns.

China auto show puts smart at centre of car wars

30 Apr 2024

BYD, Geely and peers touted everything from self-driving software to massage chairs at lower prices than in the past. They are extending a lead over global rivals, with help from tech juggernauts such as Huawei. But global carmakers including Tesla can follow that roadmap, too.

China is better off doing nothing for TikTok

29 Apr 2024

Beijing has signalled it would rather ByteDance's video app be banned in the US than sold. Unlike Huawei, the company's technology is neither strategic nor desirable. Having a final say over TikTok's fate might be useful political leverage, but retaliation fears look overblown.

Who can serve up the Goldilocks recipe for AI?

25 Apr 2024

Investors slapped down Facebook owner Meta for hefty spending on artificial intelligence with uncertain returns. Conversely, they have feted chipmaker Nvidia for its real-life revenue from AI tools. Microsoft and Alphabet are doing a decent job of landing in the middle.

Meta’s spending habits have strange power to shock

24 Apr 2024

The Instagram owner lost 16%, or $200 bln, of market cap after saying 2024 capex could hit $40 bln, more than flagged earlier. Maybe a debut dividend dazed investors, but boss Mark Zuckerberg’s track record leaves little doubt he’ll run full throttle into a cutthroat AI race.

TikTok’s fate matters only up to a point for Meta

24 Apr 2024

Under a new US law, owner ByteDance is likely to sell the app without its secret sauce, suffer a ban or win a court challenge. Mark Zuckerberg’s social-media colossus should capitalize on the first two scenarios. Even the third allows it to make decent headway against its rival.

Beijing powers up into car wars battleground

24 Apr 2024

The city’s auto show returns, with some 700 exhibitors, for the first time since the pandemic. Foreign brands from Volkswagen to Toyota have to show how they can defend themselves as China’s BYD and new threats like Xiaomi chase market share at home and abroad.

Buyout barons salivate at Toshiba job cuts

22 Apr 2024

They extract world-beating returns from deals in Japan often without reducing staff because lifetime employment is the norm. Now the private equity-owned conglomerate may cut 5,000 roles. A tight labour market helps, but if layoffs catch on acquirors could both pay and earn more.