Technology

Capital Calls: Net neutrality is back, again

26 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: US regulators want to reopen a decade-old fight over the internet’s rules of the road. But just like merger cops who have struggled to gain traction, they are trying to use yesterday’s tools to predict tomorrow’s problems.

EU regulators have tech giants in their sights

26 Sep 2023

Brussels is taking on the likes of Amazon and Apple with a slew of new rules aimed at curbing market dominance and taking back control over data. Former EU Commission economist Bertin Martens explains to The Exchange podcast how the industry giants could be forced to open up.

Capital Calls: US budget

21 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is siding with hardline conservatives to fund the government. Empowering the further-right flank narrows the already slim odds of new Ukraine aid, cannabis reform and crypto clarity.

Cisco’s $28 bln spelunking yields dicey deal

21 Sep 2023

Buying data and security outfit Splunk could increase recurring revenue at the $215 bln networking giant. Cisco is also paying a low multiple. But the two don’t have much overlap, and Splunk’s cloud-based business needs work. Cisco bears execution risk, which hinges on growth.

Listing duo offers followers a cautious playbook

21 Sep 2023

Chip designer Arm and grocery delivery company Instacart have secured relatively successful stock launches, offering hope of a wider reopening of the IPO market. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how cornerstone investors and lowly valuations helped.

Grab can feast on Delivery Hero’s Asia leftovers

21 Sep 2023

The Singapore giant is an obvious buyer for its rival’s Southeast Asian food business, a potential $1 bln purchase. It has extended its lead before by gobbling up operations of retreating Western firms. Investors are tepid on the tech recovery but Grab has the muscle for a deal.

Capital Calls: Disney, Cazoo

20 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: Boss Bob Iger’s $60 bln splash on theme parks and cruises invites further scrutiny of the Magic Kingdom’s wild cash flow ride; the UK-based online car retailer, valued at $7 bln in a SPAC deal two years ago, is handing the keys to bondholders.

China’s next chip battle is for the bottom line

19 Sep 2023

Huawei’s new smartphone proves the country can make cutting-edge hardware despite US restrictions. But it’s unclear if semiconductor provider SMIC can scale supply. Huawei’s flashy phones have hogged the limelight: SMIC’s shrinking margins deserve the same scrutiny.

IPO candidates are trying to flip the FOMO script

18 Sep 2023

Arm’s IPO investors got a 25% return on the first day. Instacart began its roadshow with a low number, only to bump it up. Klaviyo just lifted its price range. Companies and their bankers are finally getting an open window. Creating envy over big debuts will help it stay open.

Capital Calls: Planet Fitness

18 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: The gym chain’s share price hit a three-year low on news of its longtime boss’s exit. Rising interest rates have made it costlier to open new locations. Boosting prices could help, as it has at rival Life Time.

Prosus CEO exit leaves Tencent elephant in room

18 Sep 2023

Bob van Dijk has quit as boss of the $380 bln Chinese giant’s top investor. Interim CEO Ervin Tu can call for more asset sales to boost Prosus’ returns. But without a plan to move on from a status quo where Tencent makes up three-quarters of the portfolio, its valuation will lag.

Capital Calls: Deliveroo

14 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: The UK food delivery company’s shares rose 5% amid hopes of a potential deal, but a rich takeout looks unlikely.

Arm’s $52 bln IPO value sets stage for a fall

13 Sep 2023

CEO Rene Haas convinced investors to pay the top of the range for the chip designer’s float. To justify the valuation, he’ll have to turbocharge growth while keeping a lid on costs. Anything but laser-perfect results for the next two years will cause a rapid share price tumble.

Oracle’s cloud boom is unfortunately relative

12 Sep 2023

The $300 bln database giant is jostling to join Amazon and Google in providing networked computing for the artificial intelligence frenzy. But slowing growth means it’s harder to close the gap with market leaders. That makes its recent record-high valuation look precarious.

DOJ fights uphill battle; Google a losing one

12 Sep 2023

A trial kicked off that pits the search engine’s $1.7 trln owner against the US Department of Justice. Google gleans data freely given and has beaten other rivals. That makes the government’s case tough. By fighting it, though, the tech firm risks exposing its creepy reach.

Daniel Zhang leaves Alibaba under a cloud

11 Sep 2023

The $230 bln e-commerce group’s outgoing boss has also stepped down as chief of its key computer services unit. The sudden decision upends what seemed a smooth transition of power. It may also delay AliCloud’s spinoff, and with it hopes of boosting the parent company’s valuation.

Apple’s high valuation exposes it to China’s whims

7 Sep 2023

The $2.8 trln tech giant's shares lost 7% in two days after reports said Beijing will impose a ban on officials using iPhones. Current retaliatory measures shouldn’t matter much to valuation. But more draconian assumptions show a problem, especially at Apple’s elevated multiple.

EU steps up lengthy attack on winner-take-all Tech

6 Sep 2023

The European Commission wants technology giants including Apple and Microsoft to give rivals more access to key services and data. It’s a serious push against Big Tech’s ability to dominate markets and squeeze out competitors. Legal battles and compliance challenges look certain.

SoftBank’s reduced Arm price tag is still too high

5 Sep 2023

The Japanese group may float its UK chip designer for $50-54 bln. That’s lower than initially hoped, but still implies an implausible future where revenue and profitability soar. If Arm merely grows at recent rates and nudges up margins, its market worth is more like $35 bln.

Nvidia gives Arm IPO a double leg-up

4 Sep 2023

The $1.2 trln semiconductor designer’s AI-inflated stock price provides a following wind for the UK group’s float. Now Nvidia and two peers may endorse its valuation by buying into Arm’s offering. Owner SoftBank will be hoping other investors buy into the somewhat circular logic.