Tech

Big Tech’s AI victims will fall fast

12 May 2023

Online education company Chegg is suffering as students lean on artificial intelligence to help with homework. Hollywood writers are paranoid. While AI is accruing value to Big Tech, smaller companies will quickly – and once again – be annihilated by well-capitalized tech firms.

AI offers leisure, if not happiness

12 May 2023

Technology has outpaced economic growth for 50 years, while workers have long traded higher productivity for more leisure. These trends will continue as artificial intelligence automates more jobs. The salient question is how to distribute the gains – and the free time.

German software buyout battle hits investor glitch

10 May 2023

Bain Capital has launched a 2.5 bln euro knockout offer for IT group Software AG. But the target seems oddly happy to stick with a lower bid from existing backer Silver Lake. Shareholders can either take an inferior price or risk a messy stalemate.

“Super Mario” augurs more media-gaming tie-ups

20 Apr 2023

Nintendo and Universal’s film adaptation of the hit video game franchise could rake in $1.5 bln. That’s a big victory for an industry whose spinoffs have more often been the butt of jokes. With gaming stocks having sold off sharply, there’s logic in more media giants plugging in.

SoftBank-Alibaba sale looks awkward for Prosus

13 Apr 2023

The Japanese investor may offload most of its stake in the Chinese giant. But Prosus is only slowly shrinking its 27% holding in Tencent. The Amsterdam-listed firm has a chunky valuation discount. While the two situations are very different, the final outcome should be the same.

Google giggles at China tech’s shrinking act

31 Mar 2023

Investors like Alibaba’s plan to split six ways, hoping peers like Tencent follow. Yet Chinese online giants are already dwarfed by US colossi like $1.3 trln Alphabet. Smaller firms might be nimbler, but they’ll have less R&D funds and M&A firepower to take on the Americans.

Spotify’s next act: hosting ad lollapalooza

24 Feb 2023

The music service attracted activist ValueAct as founder Daniel Ek starts to whack costs. Yet rather than cutting its way to profit, Spotify could stem its losses by nabbing a quarter of the streaming and podcasting ad pie. It’s a tough but plausible performance to pull off.

Capital Calls: Adobe’s lose-lose Figma bind

24 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: Shareholders in the $160 bln design technology firm seem to have decided that the only thing worse than doing its blockbuster deal for rival Figma is losing it.

Capital Calls: World Bank, Bumble, Wood Group

23 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: The U.S. picks ex-Mastercard boss Ajay Banga to run the multilateral development bank; while the dating app’s shares are down, private equity owner Blackstone is still in the money; the UK oil services group has turned down three bids from Apollo.

TCI’s Airbus fury may have collateral benefit

22 Feb 2023

Hedgie Chris Hohn says the plane maker’s plan to buy a 30% stake in Atos’s cyber arm will destroy value. He’s probably right, but private investors take a back seat in defence deals, where governments call the shots. His salvo might however help Airbus drive a harder bargain.

Paytm needs a buyer more than a buyback

14 Dec 2022

Repurchasing stock won’t prop up the money-losing company’s cratered $4.3 bln market value. But replacing China’s Ant as its top owner could help win banking licences needed to boost earnings. India is wary about its neighbour, even without Ant in Beijing’s regulatory bad books.

Yandex split marks end of Russian tech hopes

1 Dec 2022

The group once known as the “Russian Google” may split its international and Russian businesses. Ex-finance minister Alexei Kudrin will head the shrunken local arm. The company’s founders can start anew, but investors in the former Nasdaq darling will likely remain bereft.

Capital Calls: Ticketmaster and Taylor Swift

18 Nov 2022

Concise views on global finance: A meltdown involving the pop star’s upcoming “Eras” concert tour is attracting an audience on Capitol Hill and risks an unwanted corporate fight with the artist herself.

Blockchain hype gets useful Aussie wake-up call

17 Nov 2022

Bourse ASX is pausing its much-delayed distributed-ledger clearing system and taking a $170 mln hit. The troubled project was beset by old-school problems like poor communication and planning. Such human flaws, though, bleed into how the technology gets developed.

Tech mess hastens Irish economic turn inwards

11 Nov 2022

Multinationals like Meta Platforms bring in a quarter of Ireland’s $68 bln tax revenue, and the salaries they pay prop up its housing market. Now they’re shedding staff, the risk is a budget hole. Irish business may not like how a future Sinn Féin government would fill it.

Japan lives at the bleeding edge of good enough

11 Nov 2022

Energy costs are spiking, the currency plunging, the population aging. Growth is meh. Tokyo, afraid of being left behind, is trying to compete with Silicon Valley. Yet returns on innovation may be overestimated. The country’s biggest problems are a matter of will, not patents.

Brazil can buoy Sea’s growth ambitions

28 Oct 2022

The Singaporean games-to-payments group is exiting smaller countries and cutting costs to satisfy impatient investors. But it is making progress in the fast-growing Latin American market, where losses are narrowing. A $6.5 bln cash pile suggests Sea can stay the course.

Kakao has plenty more data fires to put out

20 Oct 2022

The $16 bln South Korean superapp owner's co-CEO has stepped down following a massive outage. Given how dependent the country is on the company's online services, that's unlikely to quell a rising public backlash. The costs of added rules and regulatory scrutiny will add up.

Wall Street sends regulators a poop emoji

28 Sep 2022

Eleven firms have paid $1.8 billion in fines for employees’ unapproved use of platforms like WhatsApp. The rules may have been hard to enforce. But the response — to collectively flout them at every level — is alarming. Meanwhile the mass fine looks essentially toothless.

Silicon Valley’s post-Covid brain drain

27 Sep 2022

Before the pandemic, 75% of venture capital was invested in California, New York and Massachusetts. In this Exchange podcast, AOL co-founder Steve Case explains that a hybrid working revolution is reversing that trend and encouraging permanent investment away from the coasts.