Tech

ASML is underplaying its strengths

24 Jan 2024

The semiconductor giant kept its 2024 outlook reined in despite hefty quarterly earnings. US and Dutch export controls that affect chipmaking tools have begun to dip into China sales. But a hefty orders backlog and rising chip demand should help the $330 bln group fly higher.

AI startups’ key challenge is creativity, not cost

9 Jan 2024

Developing humanlike models is notoriously expensive. In this Exchange podcast, venture capital investor Konstantine Buhler of Sequoia Capital discusses how new breakthroughs are starting to lower costs and how that presents opportunities for challengers like OpenAI.

Atos plea to creditor banks could backfire

3 Jan 2024

The 780 mln euro French IT group wants lenders to roll over its large debt pile. Plans to raise cash by selling Atos’s cybersecurity arm to Airbus suggest they should. But the company’s threats to seek legal protection if they don’t may give banks pause for thought.

Artificial intelligence will embark on a data dash

22 Dec 2023

Text and photos produced by professionals are key to training and improving AI models. But accessing this information is getting harder and pricier. AI firms will have little choice but to pay for data, pushing up already-high costs – and delivering a windfall to publishers.

CATL prepares to power up wildest electric dreams

5 Dec 2023

The world’s largest battery maker boasts $14 bln in net cash, making a possible Hong Kong listing seem unnecessary. But the extra funds would help CATL grow in Europe and could potentially fuel explosive expansion in Southeast Asia and the US too.

Capital Calls: SoftBank

10 Nov 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Japanese conglomerate’s finance chief reckons its Vision Funds have ‘hit a bottom’. The firm’s broader surprise $6.2 bln quarterly loss, though, prompted shareholders to wipe 9% off the stock.

Capital Calls: CVC, Grocer wars, Atos

2 Nov 2023

Concise views on global finance: The European buyout group has postponed its plans to list in Amsterdam; British supermarket Sainsbury’s is thriving, which is bad news for rivals like CD&R-owned Morrisons; French IT firm Onepoint has grabbed a 10% stake in ailing peer Atos.

Worldline crash is pivotal moment for payments

25 Oct 2023

The $7 bln French group’s shares fell 60% after it said sales would be hit by a call to ditch riskier merchants. Investors expect payment providers to be on top of flaky transactions. The fact that a leading player has had to rethink will scare them, and alert regulators.

‘Tomb Raider’ maker’s odyssey charts gaming pains

12 Oct 2023

Embracer’s share price is back at 2018 levels, when it stepped up an M&A spree that saw it become Europe’s largest video game group. The $2.5 bln Swedish firm has slipped on its own banana skins. But its decline also shines a light on the sector’s post-pandemic struggles.

Israel’s robust economy faces a major stress test

10 Oct 2023

The Middle East state’s thriving tech sector and strong institutions have helped it weather past security crises. Its latest one is much bigger, though. One key indicator will be whether foreign capital can retain its recent enthusiasm for investing in the $500 bln economy.

Spying suspicions will stalk Alibaba and Wall St

6 Oct 2023

Belgium is scrutinising the tech giant’s European logistics hub as its courier unit prepares to list. The issues may be old but the risks facing Chinese firms going global are rising. Elections in the US and beyond will only make China deals harder to execute.

Microsoft’s gaming M&A takes it to the next level

27 Sep 2023

The $2.4 trln group’s Activision deal has been picked at by regulators, and it’s exposed to consoles that may be upended by cloud gaming. Still, the $69 bln play diversifies Microsoft into mobile. And it leaves the group better placed to fight the industry’s content wars.

EU regulators have tech giants in their sights

26 Sep 2023

Brussels is taking on the likes of Amazon and Apple with a slew of new rules aimed at curbing market dominance and taking back control over data. Former EU Commission economist Bertin Martens explains to The Exchange podcast how the industry giants could be forced to open up.

Listing duo offers followers a cautious playbook

21 Sep 2023

Chip designer Arm and grocery delivery company Instacart have secured relatively successful stock launches, offering hope of a wider reopening of the IPO market. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how cornerstone investors and lowly valuations helped.

Capital Calls: Deliveroo

14 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: The UK food delivery company’s shares rose 5% amid hopes of a potential deal, but a rich takeout looks unlikely.

Daniel Zhang leaves Alibaba under a cloud

11 Sep 2023

The $230 bln e-commerce group’s outgoing boss has also stepped down as chief of its key computer services unit. The sudden decision upends what seemed a smooth transition of power. It may also delay AliCloud’s spinoff, and with it hopes of boosting the parent company’s valuation.

Apple’s high valuation exposes it to China’s whims

7 Sep 2023

The $2.8 trln tech giant's shares lost 7% in two days after reports said Beijing will impose a ban on officials using iPhones. Current retaliatory measures shouldn’t matter much to valuation. But more draconian assumptions show a problem, especially at Apple’s elevated multiple.

EU steps up lengthy attack on winner-take-all Tech

6 Sep 2023

The European Commission wants technology giants including Apple and Microsoft to give rivals more access to key services and data. It’s a serious push against Big Tech’s ability to dominate markets and squeeze out competitors. Legal battles and compliance challenges look certain.

SoftBank’s reduced Arm price tag is still too high

5 Sep 2023

The Japanese group may float its UK chip designer for $50-54 bln. That’s lower than initially hoped, but still implies an implausible future where revenue and profitability soar. If Arm merely grows at recent rates and nudges up margins, its market worth is more like $35 bln.

Nvidia gives Arm IPO a double leg-up

4 Sep 2023

The $1.2 trln semiconductor designer’s AI-inflated stock price provides a following wind for the UK group’s float. Now Nvidia and two peers may endorse its valuation by buying into Arm’s offering. Owner SoftBank will be hoping other investors buy into the somewhat circular logic.