Sovereign Wealth Funds

Saudi megafund’s success rests on fuzzy local bets

5 Nov 2024

The kingdom’s $950 bln Public Investment Fund is best known for outlandish construction schemes and flashy foreign forays. But its biggest and fastest-growing division houses young domestic firms. While some may thrive, it’s less clear they can guarantee the vital pivot from oil.

Trump’s SWF size envy not grounded in reality

6 Sep 2024

Sovereign wealth funds are created when countries run consistent budget surpluses and cash can be redirected towards creating long-term income. That’s not even close to a luxury the US has. Done poorly, they become a honey pot for politicians to reward the connected.

Saudi fund’s prudence pivot is only half complete

20 Aug 2024

The $925 bln Public Investment Fund is spending more money locally. That should do more to help Saudi’s diversification push than past international forays. But the domestic projects are often speculative, implying low returns and a continued shortage of foreign co-investors.

Two old loves come back to haunt Singapore’s GIC

24 Jul 2024

Taking a long view is a hallmark of the $770 bln sovereign fund. Still, a big exposure to emerging-market equities, including China, and to bonds and cash, is spoiling returns. The city-state has a lot riding on whether that improves in the short term.

UK green fund has risky but valid investor carrots

10 Jul 2024

The new government’s ‘National Wealth Fund’ is really $9 bln of public cash with capped returns. The risk is private investors slated to provide treble that figure get too good a deal. But with the UK’s energy transition requiring $64 bln a year, a degree of largesse makes sense.

PAG’s downsized Asia fund could pay off handsomely

17 Jun 2024

China dealmaker Weijian Shan raised $4 bln for his firm's buyout fund, less than half the target, after refusing to cap exposure to the world's second-largest economy. He'll have more freedom than rivals to chase returns from discounted Chinese assets. That could be lucrative.

Gulf bank’s M&A hunt risks shareholder injury

15 Apr 2024

First Abu Dhabi, worth $40 bln, may be eyeing Turkish lenders following a short-lived pursuit of Standard Chartered. An overseas deal would help to diversify away from corporate and investment banking, but the cost savings look slim. Better to focus on growing at home.

Big banks turn inflationary lemons into lemonade

11 Apr 2024

Stubbornly high consumer prices may delay US monetary easing, a boost to lenders like JPMorgan or Citi that thrive amid high rates. Further relief could come from the dilution of tough new capital rules. For smaller banks, exposed to stressed borrowers, life tastes more sour.

Norwegian fund’s podcast guru plays both sides

9 Apr 2024

Nicolai Tangen, head of the country’s $1.6 trln sovereign vehicle, has a side gig hosting interviews with corporate leaders like Elon Musk. The jaunty chats give CEOs cover with one of their few engaged investors. At least the fund is not afraid to vote against his guests.

Germany sovereign pension fund is sound but small

3 Apr 2024

Berlin will borrow to invest up to 200 bln euros in global equities to help pay for the retirement of the country’s fast-ageing population. The vehicle’s modest size will limit its long-term impact, but Europe can learn from this blend of public and private schemes.

Middle East AI dream depends on luring brainpower

22 Mar 2024

An abundance of cheap energy to power data centres gives artificial intelligence startups reason to consider the Gulf. But to become a force in AI, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will have to design their own advanced chips. Attracting talent to the region will require more than money.

Qatar Barclays sale raises turnaround stakes

5 Dec 2023

The Gulf state almost halved its holding in the British bank ahead of a strategy update. It suggests little faith that the $27 bln lender will tackle its lowly valuation and investment banking reliance. CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan needs a bold plan to keep investors happy.

Capital Calls: Ferrovial/Heathrow

29 Nov 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Spanish infrastructure giant has offloaded its final 25% stake to Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund and private equity group Ardian for 2.4 bln pounds, but a chunky premium means the new owners should hope for a smoother ride.

Qatar can weather latest foreign stress test

27 Oct 2023

The Gulf emirate is under scrutiny for its links to Hamas, six years after a blockade by neighbours. One risk is that its $450 bln sovereign wealth fund gets a frostier reception. But Doha’s giant gas reserves and its role as mediator and US ally should protect its clout.

Saudi’s $700 bln PIF is odd sort of sovereign fund

21 Sep 2023

Hyperactive transactions, erratic funding and an unusual asset mix set the kingdom’s Public Investment Fund apart from more cautious state-run investors. As Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman tries to reach $2 trln by 2030, the PIF will keep making headlines – both good and bad.

Jho Low could create a new world of 1MDB pain

8 Aug 2023

The fugitive at the centre of Malaysia’s sovereign fund scandal, is in China. In this Exchange podcast Billion Dollar Whale co-author Bradley Hope explains why Beijing may soon give him up and how his return could be difficult for all involved, from global banks to celebrities.

Capital Calls: PIF, Siemens Energy

7 Aug 2023

Concise views on global finance: Saudi Arabia’s big sovereign wealth fund is getting bigger; the $13 bln German company unveiled a $2.4 bln charge due to persistent wind turbine problems.

GIC’s real estate safe haven is hard to copy

26 Jul 2023

Singapore’s $690 bln sovereign fund nearly doubled its real estate allocations to 13% in three years. Its student homes to logistics portfolio provides a timely inflation hedge for one of the most active investors in its class. Peers trying to catch up will overpay.

Temasek is betting on all its stars aligning

12 Jul 2023

Singapore’s state investor had a tricky year with its net value dropping 5.2% to $285 bln and the FTX debacle. Half its portfolio is in unlisted assets, so it’s relying on public markets picking up, Southeast Asia thriving and China recovering. Most of that is out of its hands.

ADNOC’s German chemical punt looks a stretch

20 Jun 2023

The Abu Dhabi energy giant is eying Covestro, valuing it at 14 bln euros including debt. The energy crisis has hit the German group’s valuation, and other UAE firms have snapped up European bargains elsewhere. But ADNOC would require synergies to make a deal stack up financially.