Software

Rivian swerves dangerously into crowded slow lane

22 Feb 2024

The electric-truck maker’s market value fell by a quarter to $11 bln after warning that production would flatline at about 57,000 vehicles. It joins rivals rapidly rewriting growth-to-profitability manuals copied from Tesla. Grinding down costs instead will be a far tougher road.

Cloudflare risks a lesson in giants’ AI advantage

16 Feb 2024

At 23 times expected sales, the $34 bln cybersecurity firm is one of the most richly valued software companies. Using its network to power AI holds promise, but enormous spending and the risk of being overshadowed by titans like Microsoft makes investors look overambitious.

Arm’s weirdly high valuation has legs

13 Feb 2024

The $150 bln chip designer’s shares have doubled since last week’s positive outlook. The good news supports a higher valuation, but Arm’s current level is excessive. Yet with a small free float and majority owner SoftBank unlikely to sell any time soon, it may stay in the clouds.

Sam Altman inflates one-man AI bubble

9 Feb 2024

The OpenAI chief wants to boost chip capacity to speed artificial intelligence, possibly raising $7 trln, the Wall Street Journal said. That’s what chipmakers might spend on factories in two decades - and would surpass previous investment booms. It’s mostly a gauge of AI hype.

PayPal’s new boss risks meeting his low targets

8 Feb 2024

Alex Chriss is spending on innovations like faster check-out in the hope of reanimating the $62 bln payment firm’s valuation, but warns they won’t add profit soon. That sounds like modesty. As rivals like Apple march ahead, the danger is that his lowball forecasts come true.

EU’s AI ambitions may fail on two fronts

8 Feb 2024

Brussels wants to set the global standard for artificial intelligence rules while helping Europe’s most promising startups to thrive. But its AI Act may be too fussy for others to copy, even as risks remain. And it will do little to help local champions take on US tech giants.

Capital Calls: Maersk, SoftBank, Adyen

8 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: The Danish shipping giant’s shares fell 14% after it missed expectations and warned of years of earnings pain; the Japanese investment firm posted its first net profit in five quarters; the Dutch payment company is slowly recovering.

Investors will say “OK Boomer” to aging Reddit

7 Feb 2024

The 19-year-old tech firm can justify a $5 bln IPO valuation based on a familiar but flawed revenue multiple. But as Snap shows, a lack of profit portends a shaky business model. Facebook parent Meta shows the benefits of listing on a stronger foundation. Reddit is no different.

Why tech giants will rake in AI’s big gains

6 Feb 2024

Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia and Alphabet powered roughly 8% of 2023’s North American venture deals, largely in artificial intelligence. In this Exchange podcast, Altimeter Capital investor Apoorv Agrawal explains why these companies are reaping rewards from the latest tech craze.

Meta investors take wins now, forget about later

1 Feb 2024

The company is paying its first ever dividend just as politicians are on the warpath: a senator this week said CEO Mark Zuckerberg had blood on his hands. DC dysfunction protects investors for now. But safety issues dent its reputation, and political shifts will be a problem.

Apple’s AI absence may be its advantage

1 Feb 2024

Microsoft and Alphabet pepper quarterly results with the promise of artificial intelligence. The $2.9 trln Apple barely mentions it. The risk is a giant missed opportunity. But its gadgets may indirectly benefit, and without the ballooning capital expenditure at peers like Meta.

Alphabet may envy Microsoft’s AI Midas touch

31 Jan 2024

Massive expectations of how artificial intelligence will reshape technology have boosted both companies’ valuations. But comparing their latest results suggests the $3 trln software firm run by Satya Nadella is moving quicker and more decisively to turn its bets into gold.

Big Tech and AI get too close for comfort

29 Jan 2024

Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Alphabet alone contributed about a third of the $70 bln raised by data and artificial intelligence startups last year. Some of the investments could turn into revenue generators. Mounting regulatory and financial risks also might offset the benefits.

Amazon’s investors can chill with M&A freeze

29 Jan 2024

The e-commerce giant scrapped a $1.4 bln deal for Roomba maker iRobot after regulatory opposition that suggests future deals, no matter how small, will be seen as problematic. Given Amazon’s track record with past tie-ups like Whole Foods, though, some restraint could be welcome.

IBM boom suggests a lack of pattern recognition

25 Jan 2024

AI is thriving, says CEO Arvind Krishna. Investors responded by giving IBM shares their best day in 23 years. Yet the tech firm’s reported numbers are pedestrian. Until the benefits show up in top-line growth, IBM’s promise remains – in AI-speak – a hallucination.

Tesla’s secret weapon: US automakers’ flaws

24 Jan 2024

The $650 bln electric-car maker’s fourth quarter continues to show the strain of stalling growth and falling prices as Chinese rivals rise. A long-sought cheap model is a ways off, but boss Elon Musk has one big fillip: old-guard rivals are still behind in his home market.

Venture capital’s facelift shows modest scars

24 Jan 2024

Growth-company investors are paying higher prices, new data suggests, even if dealmaking overall is still muted. Interest is shifting to areas like AI and manufacturing. The result is a new look for the recovering startup ecosystem, albeit with a little less youthful vigor.

Capital Calls: SAP, Abrdn

24 Jan 2024

Concise views on global finance: The German software giant is cutting 7% of its workforce, sending shares to an all-time high; outflows at the British fund manager accelerated in the second half of 2023, exacerbating the company’s effort to turn itself around.

Capital Calls: Microsoft’s Russian hacker

22 Jan 2024

Concise views on global finance: The $3 trln tech firm disclosed that a nation-state hack accessed leaders’ email, saying it showed the need for potentially “disruptive” measures. It’s a worrying acknowledgement of the still-vague costs of geopolitical tensions for tech giants.

Spirit deal loss eases anxiety for everyone else

16 Jan 2024

A judge grounded JetBlue’s $4 bln purchase of the ultra-cheap carrier. The defeat avoided a potentially unprecedented intervention by regulators that would have clouded the industry, while affirming antitrust blowback. But Spirit’s shares halved, for good reason.