Software

Decoding the puzzle of SoftBank’s Masayoshi Son

8 Oct 2024

The Japanese tycoon shaped global technology while building and losing vast fortunes. How does he keep going? In the first episode of Breakingviews’ new podcast, The Big View, former FT editor Lionel Barber discusses what he uncovered in his biography of Son, ‘Gambling Man’.

Ireland spins global tax mess into $28 bln of gold

8 Oct 2024

Dublin expects a 2024 budget surplus worth 8% of gross national income, thanks to the presence of US companies lured by low levies. It’s evidence that profit shifting lives on despite a landmark OECD deal. The good news for Ireland is that there’s little chance of that changing.

OpenAI’s $157 bln valuation requires hand waving

3 Oct 2024

Assuming new investors want a 20% return in the artificial intelligence company, it needs a $1 trln price tag in a decade. That’s conceivable, based on other tech giants’ history. Founder Sam Altman just needs to beat rivals, turn a profit, and update its business model.

AI’s next feat will be its descent from the cloud

2 Oct 2024

Tech giants hoping to spend $1 trln on data centres are struggling to secure power supplies and space. That bolsters the case for smaller artificial intelligence models that can run on devices, not a remote platform. Phone and laptop makers from Apple to Lenovo stand to benefit.

AI is a black hole of bits, chips and power

26 Sep 2024

OpenAI’s ChatGPT kicked off a race to develop ever-more-sophisticated artificial intelligence. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingvews columnists dissect the vast amount of data-crunching bots and power required to feed it, investments that could cost trillions of dollars.

Murdoch’s UK property bid may yet get even sweeter

23 Sep 2024

Rightmove is mulling an improved $8.1 bln offer from Australia’s REA Group, owned by the media tycoon. A chunky premium and other UK refuseniks’ share price slumps are reasons for the listing portal’s board to say yes. But the buyer’s latest bid implies an ability to pay more.

KKR outmanoeuvres Bain in $4 bln Japan showdown

20 Sep 2024

The two buyout giants are tussling over IT specialist Fuji Soft after Bain dangled a potentially higher offer. But KKR has found a clever way to put itself ahead without raising its price. Future buyers should take note: in a hot market like Japan, creative tactics will be needed.

2024’s biggest US software LBO has some good omens

17 Sep 2024

Blackstone and Vista Equity Partners are close to an $8 bln deal for Smartsheet that would probably tap loans backed by revenue, not cash flow. That has bitten Vista before. But with style drift more contained and peers like Thoma Bravo eyeing IPOs, past might not be prologue.

ASML faces bigger problems than China

16 Sep 2024

Fears of US tech export curbs have pummelled the $320 bln Dutch firm’s shares. A longer-term worry is that the growth of AI leads to new technologies, and less need for ASML’s machines that make chips smaller and efficient. That, more than trade wars, may hurt its rich valuation.

Fuji Soft’s $4 bln sale needs a rethink

9 Sep 2024

Shares of the IT software specialist are trading 7% above the price of an agreed takeover offer from buyout firm KKR, and above a higher price its rival sponsor Bain is dangling at the target. After wrestling with a sale, the Japanese company has left too much value on the table.

Telegram’s route to profitability looks dubious

3 Sep 2024

The troubled app’s CEO Pavel Durov runs a lossmaking enterprise. The easiest path to profitability is to echo Facebook, but content moderation costs would further hit Telegram’s finances. The main alternative is to be a messaging app, but WhatsApp implies that’s hard to monetise.

Murdoch’s UK property gambit has a price ceiling

2 Sep 2024

Australian property listings site REA Group is eyeing $6 bln UK peer Rightmove. The News Corp-backed suitor can use cash and higher-valued shares to pay a 30% premium. Beyond that, Rupert Murdoch’s outfit might struggle to combine a successful bid with keeping him in control.

OpenAI’s mooted $100 bln value is relatively sober

29 Aug 2024

The ChatGPT maker may be worth just 16% more in its next share sale than in February’s funding round, according to reports. That looks modest, given AI darling Nvidia’s shares have nearly doubled. Senior departures and competition from rivals like Elon Musk justify a modest bump.

New EU antitrust tsar has better tools, harder job

27 Aug 2024

The European Union will soon have a new competition commissioner. Margrethe Vestager’s replacement has greater scope to go after Big Tech and Chinese subsidies. But he or she will also have to defend the single market from the assault of EU members’ national industrial policies.

Apple begins delicate dance with Tencent in China

15 Aug 2024

The iPhone-maker wants a share of revenue from games played on the $450 bln tech giant's WeChat platform. For Apple boss Tim Cook, it's a lucrative opportunity as handset sales cool. Yet if the US company pushes too hard, it may jeopardise its hard-earned appeal in China.

Google is a monopoly, long live Google

5 Aug 2024

Alphabet’s search giant illegally wields its might over rivals, a US judge has ruled. The decision also carefully stays within classic antitrust boundaries. Given how tricky disentangling the $2 trln company’s technology would be, a market-shaking penalty will be hard to impose.

UMG pays steep price for platform addiction

25 Jul 2024

The $42 bln music group’s shares sank by more than 25% on Thursday, falling below their 2021 IPO. Lower-than-expected growth in subscription revenues underlines the company’s painful dependence on pricing decisions made by big players like Amazon or Apple.

Google’s third-place cloud business is a winner

23 Jul 2024

Parent Alphabet tripled its quarterly operating income at its IT service division. It still lags in market share. Yet the $2 trln giant has an advantage learning from the mistakes of larger rival Microsoft while bigger peer Amazon illuminates the potential profit ahead.

Cyber meltdown points to downsides of efficiency

19 Jul 2024

A software update by $83 bln CrowdStrike grounded flights and disrupted financial markets. That’s possible because businesses work with a small number of providers, seeking lower costs. It supports rich tech valuations, but also heightens the risks of a catastrophic failure.

Buyout barons’ IPO castoffs trade may be repeated

16 Jul 2024

Clayton Dubilier & Rice’s $2.6 bln offer for software firm Exclusive Networks would see it scoop up a stock that has drifted since a 2021 listing. Majority-owner Permira would get a handy way to cut exposure. A long list of struggling initial offerings mean more deals may follow.