Nobel Prize points way to closing gender pay gap 9 Oct 2023 US economist Claudia Goldin won the Swedish award for showing that wage inequality between men and women spikes after children are born. Governments can rectify that by funding childcare instead of fossil fuels. A more balanced workforce will boost tax revenue and spur growth.
Belated euro U-turn could be a winner for Sweden 6 Oct 2023 Top advocates of snubbing the single currency 20 years ago are now pushing for its adoption. The crown’s fall makes curbing inflation harder, and rate-setters are under the ECB’s spell. With low public deficit and debt levels, Stockholm may find joining late is better than never.
Capital Calls: Food prices, Brookfield, SPAC spin 3 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: The cost of ingredients for the average UK meal fell 0.1% in September; the Canadian giant’s $1 bln renewables deal reflects how European green assets are getting more appealing; Singapore’s SPAC puts a new spin on blank-cheque targets.
Germany risks letting a good crisis go to waste 3 Oct 2023 Europe’s largest economy is on track to shrink this year. The immediate causes are lower exports to China and higher energy prices. But decades of under-investment will continue to crimp growth unless Berlin ditches its hostility to fiscal stimulus and comprehensive reforms.
Anti-obesity drugs can shrink more than patients 20 Sep 2023 Wegovy and other weight-loss treatments could transform public health. That may hurt medical, food and fitness companies, while potentially affecting activities from drinking to gambling. This shrinking revenue demands a new investment concept: total unaddressable markets.
French iced tea feud will inflame grocer wars 14 Sep 2023 Carrefour is warning customers that suppliers like Unilever are raising prices on drinks and other goods by shrinking packages. The move will keep the government on side in its war against inflation. But smarter shoppers may hunt for bargains and go to discounters Lidl and Aldi.
Grocers learn lessons of ‘greedflation’ drama 12 Sep 2023 Food-price rises are easing, which is good news for supermarkets that stand accused of profiting from consumer pain. In this Exchange podcast, Ahold Delhaize CEO Frans Muller explains why demand for own-brand goods gives the Dutch group an upper hand in supplier negotiations.
Capital Calls: British wages 12 Sep 2023 Concise views on global finance: UK pay rose by an annualised 8.5% in the three months to July – more than inflation. That’s good for retirees, whose pensions will rise by that amount. But such a hot labour market is likely to prompt the Bank of England to hike rates next week.
Flood insurance swamps US government 11 Sep 2023 A federal scheme to back policies for water-logged homes is set to be renewed. Failing to do that would worsen a housing shortage. But the program is already laden with debt. Fixes like flood-prevention infrastructure can lower costs for the government and homebuyers alike.
Novo Nordisk heft worsens Danish surplus disease 8 Sep 2023 Sales of the pharma group equal 8% of Danish GDP and its $440 bln market value is Europe’s highest. Hosting corporate behemoths can be a problem for small countries, as shown by Finland’s Nokia. But Copenhagen can use the drug bounty to spend more on the rest of the economy.
The obesity drug boom is just getting started 5 Sep 2023 Over 1 bln people are obese, the WHO reckons. Denmark’s Novo Nordisk is ahead of the pharma pack with its Wegovy weight-loss drug. In this Exchange podcast, recorded in August as a Reuters Newsmaker, CEO Lars Jorgensen says the market will be big enough for other players too.
Capital Calls: Microsoft in the EU, Dollar General 31 Aug 2023 Concise views on global finance: The software giant will sell its Teams communications app separately from other software in the European Union; the discount retailer’s poor results reflect a more resilient US economy.
Sweaty Europe can kill two birds with one pump 7 Aug 2023 In the ‘era of global boiling’ more Europeans need air conditioners. But if they instead installed heat pumps, the bloc could cut carbon emissions and cool as well as warm citizens’ homes. All the more reason for governments to be more generous on subsidies than they have been.
Government’s NatWest meddling crosses risky line 26 Jul 2023 The UK bank ditched CEO Alison Rose hours after backing her, amid pressure from its 39% state shareholder. It’s right for Rose to go. But voters may now wonder why politicians can’t also intervene in setting mortgage rates, and NatWest may find it hard to find a top replacement.
NatWest goof is a boon for sketchy bank clients 21 Jul 2023 The UK lender’s CEO apologised to right-wing talking head Nigel Farage amid an account-closure row. Britain will now force banks to respect freedom of expression. Yet that may make it harder to ditch other, more problematic clients – and weaken the fight against money laundering.
How to breathe life into zombie office property 18 Jul 2023 Lenders are steering clear of buildings that face reckonings from remote working, pushing prices down. In this Exchange podcast, real estate investor Scott Rechler argues that it will take financial and civic engagement to make empty space desirable for living – and investing.
In US, strike now or forever hold your peace 17 Jul 2023 Hollywood’s first joint walkout by writers and actors in six decades adds to a year riven by strikes. A hot labor market strengthened workers’ hands, but as hiring slows, bosses will reassert themselves. That could prompt more employees to flex their power while they still can.
Venture capital has female entrepreneur black spot 11 Jul 2023 Companies founded by women get at best 3% of venture money each year. That’s a sign investors are not allocating capital wisely and missing lucrative deals, Loyal VC founding partner Kamal Hassan tells The Exchange podcast. It’s time to change the venture playbook.
Capital Calls: Digital euro, Thames Water 28 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: Brussels is in a new push to convince EU member states and the European Parliament to endorse a digital euro; Britain’s Thames Water could be placed into special administration.
AI’s deflationary winds will blow away profits 27 Jun 2023 Artificial intelligence could add $8 trln a year to world GDP, McKinsey estimates, defying the gloom about robots replacing humans. Though companies should benefit from lower costs, consumers could use the technology to find better deals. It all adds up to lower prices.