Corona Capital: GE cash burn, Macy’s lifeline 28 May 2020 Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: General Electric’s cash flow will be more negative than expected as Covid-19 damages its aviation and power businesses; and U.S. department-store chain Macy’s borrows more, buying time but not much else.
TikTok’s new boss will be hitting the road to D.C. 19 May 2020 Former Disney streaming-video exec Kevin Mayer is to become boss of ByteDance’s popular video app. He was the M&A maestro behind the Magic Kingdom’s acquisitions of Fox and the Star Wars empire. But he may have to learn some new moves to navigate U.S.-China tensions.
Silicon Valley gears up to leave Silicon Valley 13 May 2020 Remote work has highlighted the Bay Area’s high costs. Some startups are closing San Francisco offices; giants like Facebook were already expanding their national footprint. Covid-19 will hasten the planting of tech flags across America, altering recruiting and local economies.
Facebook goes on viral offensive 29 Apr 2020 While Alphabet is cutting costs, Facebook will hire 10,000 people and just did its biggest deal since 2014 in India. Revenue growth fell to 18% last quarter, but the $550 bln social network is not slowing down. Mark Zuckerberg can afford to ignore any reluctant shareholders.
Big Tech will emerge from virus too big to fail 28 Apr 2020 Amazon is an essential service keeping families supplied in a pandemic. The Apple-Google alliance on contact tracing will aid efforts to reopen economies. Facebook’s reach has disrupted virus disinformation. Their size is an asset in a crisis, making it harder to break them up.
Snap’s $750 mln offering shows its staying power 23 Apr 2020 The disappearing-message app is the latest company to raise money through a convertible bond. This version includes capped calls, which will limit the upside for investors. Its nearly 45% revenue jump in the first quarter gives the $24 bln issuer some leverage others don’t have.
Viewsroom: The F’d up oil market 23 Apr 2020 Breakingviews columnists in London, Mumbai and Brooklyn discuss what’s going on in the global energy markets amid the coronavirus crisis, as well as Facebook’s big Indian deal and the U.S. government’s attempt to prop up small businesses with the Paycheck Protection Program.
Tech’s virus pain would have trustbusters Yelping 21 Apr 2020 The online-review site helped spur D.C. probes of ad giants like Google. Now it, Groupon and other mid-size Silicon Valley firms can’t get small-business aid, are laying off thousands and may not survive the crisis. That’d leave Big Tech’s worrying dominance more entrenched.
Bad news could travel fast for Facebook and Google 20 Apr 2020 Australia is forcing the tech goliaths to share revenue with local media. The virus was the last straw after years of digital destruction and fake news scandals. Whatever the financial formula, the costs should be bearable. The trouble is that Canberra headlines will go global.
Review: Facebook and Instagram deserve each other 17 Apr 2020 The social network had a tense relationship with the photo-sharing app it bought in 2012. Sarah Frier’s “No Filter” offers fresh insight into the troubled $1 bln deal. A bigger problem was that their common pursuit of a higher purpose obscured the threat they posed to society.
Viewsroom: Freebies no more 16 Apr 2020 Breakingviews columnists check in from home in New York, San Francisco and Hong Kong to discuss disappearing Silicon Valley perks like free meals and booze, office activism at tech firms, the mystery of China’s 20 million lost mobile-phone subscribers and an ascendant TikTok.
Corona Capital: Lufthansa, JPMorgan, Foursquare 7 Apr 2020 Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Lufthansa parks hopes of a quick airline-industry recovery in the hanger; JPMorgan skirts close to committing an early earnings faux pas; and Foursquare checks into the M&A market.
Facebook finds all Indian roads lead to Ambani 25 Mar 2020 Mark Zuckerberg is eyeing a 10% stake in Reliance Industries’ upstart telecom operator. The social network would join the likes of Saudi Aramco helping India’s richest man deleverage his oil-to-retail empire. Mukesh Ambani is building an enviable network of partners.
Twitter’s revenue problem is bigger than Covid-19 24 Mar 2020 Users of the social network are flocking but advertisers are bailing as coronavirus content proliferates. But for revenue, it’s the ads that matter most. Twitter may hope to turn its new users into advertising dollars, but being widely read doesn’t guarantee being profitable.
Activists leave Twitter with unspoken ultimatum 9 Mar 2020 The $26 bln social network struck a deal with Elliott and Silver Lake involving board seats, fresh capital and a $2 bln share buyback. Twitter also effectively pledged to grow users by 20%. If CEO Jack Dorsey can’t deliver, he may find himself under pressure to sell the company.
Big shots will help women bridge startup gap 9 Mar 2020 The average value of a seed round for female-founded ventures tripled to $1.2 mln in the past decade. And a record number of outfits with women founders achieved “unicorn” status in 2019. The divide is still huge. Even so successes like Luckin Coffee will accelerate progress.
Facebook tax fight slaps a levy on its reputation 25 Feb 2020 The social network is fighting U.S. authorities in court over a $9 bln tax bill. Its defense has merit. But for a $620 bln company to say it should pay less because its future was uncertain a decade ago defies common sense. That will only win Facebook more enemies.
YouTube makes itself a needless political football 21 Feb 2020 President Trump has bought prominent ads on the video platform on Election Day. That’s because YouTube has enormous reach. Yet, parent Alphabet is in regulators’ crosshairs and campaign money is a tiny slice of revenue. It’s a wonder why it accepts political ads at all.
Holding: Big Tech’s U.S. legal exceptionalism 20 Feb 2020 The approval of T-Mobile US’s merger with Sprint is the latest sign that different rules apply to technology firms. Consequences include gig-worker gripes, unchecked online lies, and abuses of corporate power. Congress and the courts should focus more on equality under the law.
Tech deal review puts VCs in regulatory purgatory 11 Feb 2020 Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook are among firms that will be providing data on tiny acquisitions to the FTC under new orders. Transformative deals are also worrying, though the ad hoc scrutiny of tech seems biased. It is the next impediment to VCs exiting investments.