China’s Micron hit sets up repeat strikes 22 May 2023 The $72 bln US memory-chip maker says Chinese restrictions will probably reduce revenue less than 10%. Perhaps, but similar measures taken against database firms like Oracle and IBM a decade ago had a bigger long-term effect, helping domestic manufacturers to catch up.
Capital Calls: US gifts Big Tech 19 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The US’s high court left internet firms’ liability protections untouched in two Thursday rulings. For Twitter, Meta and Google, business as usual is the ideal outcome.
Chinese chip investors will prefer a cooler STAR 9 May 2023 Nexchip, two decades behind industry leader TSMC, had a muted IPO debut in Shanghai after pricing shares conservatively. That’s a far cry from the market’s famous triple-digit first-day pops. But it’s a welcome sign STAR is becoming more rational for companies and traders alike.
Capital Calls: Disney, Thyssenkrupp 24 Apr 2023 Concise views on global finance: The CEO of the $180 billion entertainment company has to thread the needle between layoffs and degrading value as he finds a successor; the 4 bln euro German steel-to-cars group’s shares tanked after CEO Martina Merz left.
US-China chip spat hangs over TSMC’s recovery 19 Apr 2023 Quarterly earnings at the Taiwanese giant are set to fall 5%, but demand should rebound soon. Beijing's retaliatory strategy against US chip sanctions is a bigger worry. Pressure on TSMC customers like Apple to shift orders to mainland suppliers would really hurt.
Counting the cost of the US-China chip war 11 Apr 2023 Six months into Washington’s sweeping export restrictions on semiconductors, Chinese and global chipmakers including TSMC are navigating the fallout. In this Exchange podcast, author Chris Miller talks about the fight for the critical technology and how Beijing may retaliate.
Nvidia’s crypto-turned-AI excitement is promising 27 Mar 2023 The $670 bln chipmaker’s CTO Michael Kagan said crypto collapsed because it wasn’t useful for society. But AI is, and chip sales for digital currency mining can be replaced by AI. It’s not only a safer bet. Nvidia’s well placed to capture a big chunk of its ballooning growth.
Seoul and Tokyo demonstrate chip war limits 16 Mar 2023 Japan may ease curbs put on high-tech materials exports to South Korea after a four-year diplomatic spat. The impact was minimal; companies like Samsung found easy workarounds. The United States and China face similar difficulties decoupling sophisticated supply chain links.
Make-in-India dials up a tycoon premium 6 Mar 2023 Foxconn is leading a charge by foreigners to team up with local giants including Tata and Vedanta. Such partners can help cut red tape and tap subsidies, freeing up incoming manufacturers to focus on boosting production quality. For now, it is a win-win for those scaling up fast.
Overlong arms of law grip chipmakers and Disney 28 Feb 2023 Joe Biden is attaching childcare and profit-sharing strings to $39 bln of U.S. funding for semiconductor companies. Meanwhile, Florida’s governor has taken new power over Magic Kingdom theme parks. The mission creep in both cases sets unpleasant precedents for corporate America.
Capital Calls: Schneider’s sustainable CEO 16 Feb 2023 Concise views on global finance: Jean-Pascal Tricoire’s departure as chief executive of the French industrial software group after nearly two decades at the helm defies the trend of short-lived or underperforming corporate bosses.
Intel points cost-cutting laser in wrong direction 1 Feb 2023 Turning around the embattled $117 bln chipmaker requires capital and an inspired workforce. Slashing managerial pay by 5%-15% will save money, but risks demoralizing staff and losing the best of them. Suspending a $6 bln dividend would conserve cash in a more effective way.
Capital Calls: TikTok’s Beltway visit 30 Jan 2023 Concise views on global finance: The social media app’s CEO Shou Zi Chew is going in front of a U.S. Congressional committee. But it’s leaders outside of Washington that Chew needs to convince.
Intel is becoming accidental ad for friendshoring 27 Jan 2023 With plunging fourth-quarter sales and profitability, the U.S. firm may fall further behind Taiwanese rival TSMC in technology and manufacturing prowess. Intel has strategic value to a White House keen to promote U.S. chipmaking, but there are other ways to achieve that goal.
Rough chip waters give ASML little room for error 25 Jan 2023 The Dutch giant expects sales to grow by a chunky 25% in 2023. Clients’ fear of missing out on an economic rebound is propping up demand for its equipment. Yet rising costs and the risk of a widening export ban to China may take the shine off the $264 bln group’s rich valuation.
Emerson’s hostility tests aggressive M&A tools 17 Jan 2023 Disclosing its unsolicited $6.9 bln offer for NI ends a quiet eight-month standoff. Going public forces the issue, but along with the target’s strategic review also inflates the price. A bid battle threatens the potential value of a deal and may inform takeover tactics elsewhere.
Capital Calls: Prices down, jobs saved? 12 Jan 2023 Concise views on global finance: New data shows U.S. prices falling 0.1% in December, marking the largest drop since early 2020. With inflation in retreat, the Fed can focus more on keeping Americans employed.
Chip mergers are more urgent and awkward in 2023 5 Jan 2023 Western Digital has revived talks with Japan's Kioxia after efforts for a $20 bln deal stalled in 2021. Price wars plague sales of semiconductors storing data and M&A can help as demand plunges. The duo will have to be creative to convince politicians fretting about chip wars.
Chip dilemma will buy Beijing precious time 19 Dec 2022 America is pushing Asian and European allies to stifle semiconductor progress in China. But antagonising the $466 bln market will be costly for South Korea's Samsung and Dutch ASML as global demand slows. Their hesitancy to fully embrace the blockade will benefit Beijing.
China’s chip suppliers have some growing up to do 14 Dec 2022 Beijing is readying a $144 bln fiscal package aimed at supporting its equipment makers that are woefully behind Dutch and Japanese rivals like ASML. A combination of targeted subsidies and local demand will help. But catching up will be a years-long, if not decades-long, slog.