Superconductivity is wild card for stock market 2 Aug 2023 The possible discovery of material that efficiently carries electricity is a fresh disruption for investors grappling with artificial intelligence. They must decide if it’s real, if it’s viable; how it affects existing markets; if it creates new ones; and when change will happen.
Capital Calls: European steel 21 Jul 2023 Concise views on global finance: Sweden’s $6 bln group SSAB misses profit forecasts as Europe’s demand tanks and steel prices shrink.
Samsung sees glimmer of light at end of tunnel 7 Jul 2023 The $365 bln South Korean tech titan warned that its quarterly operating profit has probably cratered 96%, thanks to a global memory-chip glut. But there are signs that prices are bottoming out. A recent artificial intelligence frenzy may also bolster demand in the year ahead.
India can aim lower in its chip dreams 5 Jul 2023 Despite offering $10 bln in subsidies, the country has only managed to attract Micron to build a less-advanced factory. Even so, the chance to grab share from China in the commoditised but vital low-tech chips market could pay off amid booming demand and geopolitical tensions.
China’s rare metals swipe has more bark than bite 4 Jul 2023 Beijing is imposing export controls over gallium and germanium, used in chips, fibre optics and military equipment. This confirms Western fears that the country might leverage its strategic metals dominance to push back on sanctions. Yet market realities blunt China’s edge.
Capital Calls: KKR’s reluctant bidding war 30 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: Despite pushing arguments about antitrust and financing risks, the buyout shop ended up parrying a rival suitor for industrials company Circor by matching it on price.
Tokyo’s $7 bln buyout dials up global chip wars 27 Jun 2023 A state-backed fund’s pricey purchase of semiconductor materials maker JSR will help the Japanese industry shaken by geopolitical jitters build national champions rather than lose to foreign rivals. For customers from Samsung to Taiwan’s TSMC it spells more uncertainty.
China plus one is best glue for India-US romance 23 Jun 2023 Prime Minister Modi’s largely successful state visit points to how India can help US firms like Tesla and Micron rejig supply chains. In sensitive areas like defence, trust is growing but remains in short supply. It keeps any hope of prising India away from Russia out of reach.
Capital Calls: Intel Outside, Amazon Prime beef 21 Jun 2023 Concise views on global finance: The chipmaker struck a deal to sell 20% of a tool-making subsidiary, which should benefit from being put on a path to independence. Meanwhile, the $1.3 trln e-commerce company’s subscription service is unlawfully hard to cancel, says the US FTC.
SoftBank’s Arm IPO set for double stroke of luck 13 Jun 2023 The chip designer may score Intel as an anchor investor in its planned US float. Meanwhile, customers like $975 bln Nvidia have soared amid an artificial-intelligence frenzy. It makes the company’s puffy valuation hopes slightly less implausible – but not necessarily sustainable.
Dutch chip export saga exposes EU shortcomings 13 Jun 2023 The Netherlands is limiting exports of high-end semiconductor gear to China, after a US push to curb Beijing’s AI and military prowess. While the EU will soon unveil a plan, it looks hard to strike the right power balance in the defense arena. Brussels needs a clearer role.
‘Reverse CFIUS’ threat will be deterrent enough 8 Jun 2023 Team Biden is nearly ready to unveil a plan to restrict some $15 bln of US investment in Chinese tech. The process probably will be even messier than one used to review inbound capital aimed at sensitive domestic sectors. Extra red tape alone, however, should serve its purpose.
Nvidia crashes $1 trln party, perhaps not for long 30 May 2023 While tech firms like Apple and Amazon slogged their way to the stratosphere, the chipmaker’s ascent to mega-stock status has been fast and choppy. It has been propelled by two surges – a supply shortage and an AI boom. That may give it a more tenuous grip in the 13-figure club.
Nvidia investors price in seven years of AI glory 25 May 2023 The semiconductor firm’s worth surged to $940 bln on hopes it will win from artificial intelligence. CEO Jensen Huang has an astonishing record, with earnings growing 20% annually for two decades. But Nvidia will have to maintain this pace until 2030 to justify its valuation.
China’s Micron hit sets up repeat strikes 22 May 2023 The $72 bln US memory-chip maker says Chinese restrictions will probably reduce revenue less than 10%. Perhaps, but similar measures taken against database firms like Oracle and IBM a decade ago had a bigger long-term effect, helping domestic manufacturers to catch up.
Capital Calls: US gifts Big Tech 19 May 2023 Concise views on global finance: The US’s high court left internet firms’ liability protections untouched in two Thursday rulings. For Twitter, Meta and Google, business as usual is the ideal outcome.
Chinese chip investors will prefer a cooler STAR 9 May 2023 Nexchip, two decades behind industry leader TSMC, had a muted IPO debut in Shanghai after pricing shares conservatively. That’s a far cry from the market’s famous triple-digit first-day pops. But it’s a welcome sign STAR is becoming more rational for companies and traders alike.
Capital Calls: Disney, Thyssenkrupp 24 Apr 2023 Concise views on global finance: The CEO of the $180 billion entertainment company has to thread the needle between layoffs and degrading value as he finds a successor; the 4 bln euro German steel-to-cars group’s shares tanked after CEO Martina Merz left.
US-China chip spat hangs over TSMC’s recovery 19 Apr 2023 Quarterly earnings at the Taiwanese giant are set to fall 5%, but demand should rebound soon. Beijing's retaliatory strategy against US chip sanctions is a bigger worry. Pressure on TSMC customers like Apple to shift orders to mainland suppliers would really hurt.
Counting the cost of the US-China chip war 11 Apr 2023 Six months into Washington’s sweeping export restrictions on semiconductors, Chinese and global chipmakers including TSMC are navigating the fallout. In this Exchange podcast, author Chris Miller talks about the fight for the critical technology and how Beijing may retaliate.