Semiconductors

Arm’s IPO risks shine brighter than its potential

22 Aug 2023

SoftBank’s chip group is leaning on the artificial-intelligence boom to justify a hoped-for float valuation north of $60 bln. There’s no evidence to support that in the numbers, which show lumpy, shrinking sales. China risks and lack of investor control also call for a discount.

Samsung’s ASML sale highlights vexing cash bind

18 Aug 2023

South Korea’s $330 bln chipmaker more than halved its stake in the Dutch group to raise an estimated $2 bln for its expansion plans. Yet the company already has $66 bln in the bank. Trouble is, much of that is probably trapped abroad, necessitating some creative funding choices.

Arm float may deepen cracks in IPO market

17 Aug 2023

The chip designer is preparing a stock market listing in the US. Orders are already being lined up from customers like Amazon.com but in this Viewroom podcast Breakingviews columnists explain why it may not get a lofty valuation and how that could put off possible followers.

China does Intel a small favor

16 Aug 2023

The chipmaker aborted its $5 bln acquisition of Tower Semiconductor after failing to secure approval from Beijing. The questionable deal was made worse by the target’s struggles. And given the cross-border tech tension, a $350 mln break fee at this stage is a small price to pay.

Arm IPO depends on more than Big Tech support

14 Aug 2023

The UK chip designer may sell shares to Apple or Amazon as part of its $10 bln stock offering. Backing from large clients could help prop up its valuation. But antitrust concerns mean the stakes will be small. To succeed, owner SoftBank needs to win over big institutional funds.

America’s new China curbs eschew scale for smarts

10 Aug 2023

The Biden administration’s plan for screening US investments in the People’s Republic is not the wide-ranging proscription many expected. It targets only a handful of deals, would ban even fewer and isn’t retroactive. That’s a relief for most investors – and for diplomacy, too.

Superconductivity is wild card for stock market

2 Aug 2023

The possible discovery of material that efficiently carries electricity is a fresh disruption for investors grappling with artificial intelligence. They must decide if it’s real, if it’s viable; how it affects existing markets; if it creates new ones; and when change will happen.

Capital Calls: European steel

21 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: Sweden’s $6 bln group SSAB misses profit forecasts as Europe’s demand tanks and steel prices shrink.

Samsung sees glimmer of light at end of tunnel

7 Jul 2023

The $365 bln South Korean tech titan warned that its quarterly operating profit has probably cratered 96%, thanks to a global memory-chip glut. But there are signs that prices are bottoming out. A recent artificial intelligence frenzy may also bolster demand in the year ahead.

India can aim lower in its chip dreams

5 Jul 2023

Despite offering $10 bln in subsidies, the country has only managed to attract Micron to build a less-advanced factory. Even so, the chance to grab share from China in the commoditised but vital low-tech chips market could pay off amid booming demand and geopolitical tensions.

China’s rare metals swipe has more bark than bite

4 Jul 2023

Beijing is imposing export controls over gallium and germanium, used in chips, fibre optics and military equipment. This confirms Western fears that the country might leverage its strategic metals dominance to push back on sanctions. Yet market realities blunt China’s edge.  

Capital Calls: KKR’s reluctant bidding war

30 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Despite pushing arguments about antitrust and financing risks, the buyout shop ended up parrying a rival suitor for industrials company Circor by matching it on price.

Tokyo’s $7 bln buyout dials up global chip wars

27 Jun 2023

A state-backed fund’s pricey purchase of semiconductor materials maker JSR will help the Japanese industry shaken by geopolitical jitters build national champions rather than lose to foreign rivals. For customers from Samsung to Taiwan’s TSMC it spells more uncertainty.

China plus one is best glue for India-US romance

23 Jun 2023

Prime Minister Modi’s largely successful state visit points to how India can help US firms like Tesla and Micron rejig supply chains. In sensitive areas like defence, trust is growing but remains in short supply. It keeps any hope of prising India away from Russia out of reach.

Capital Calls: Intel Outside, Amazon Prime beef

21 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The chipmaker struck a deal to sell 20% of a tool-making subsidiary, which should benefit from being put on a path to independence. Meanwhile, the $1.3 trln e-commerce company’s subscription service is unlawfully hard to cancel, says the US FTC.

SoftBank’s Arm IPO set for double stroke of luck

13 Jun 2023

The chip designer may score Intel as an anchor investor in its planned US float. Meanwhile, customers like $975 bln Nvidia have soared amid an artificial-intelligence frenzy. It makes the company’s puffy valuation hopes slightly less implausible – but not necessarily sustainable.

Dutch chip export saga exposes EU shortcomings

13 Jun 2023

The Netherlands is limiting exports of high-end semiconductor gear to China, after a US push to curb Beijing’s AI and military prowess. While the EU will soon unveil a plan, it looks hard to strike the right power balance in the defense arena. Brussels needs a clearer role.

‘Reverse CFIUS’ threat will be deterrent enough

8 Jun 2023

Team Biden is nearly ready to unveil a plan to restrict some $15 bln of US investment in Chinese tech. The process probably will be even messier than one used to review inbound capital aimed at sensitive domestic sectors. Extra red tape alone, however, should serve its purpose.

Nvidia crashes $1 trln party, perhaps not for long

30 May 2023

While tech firms like Apple and Amazon slogged their way to the stratosphere, the chipmaker’s ascent to mega-stock status has been fast and choppy. It has been propelled by two surges – a supply shortage and an AI boom. That may give it a more tenuous grip in the 13-figure club.

Nvidia investors price in seven years of AI glory

25 May 2023

The semiconductor firm’s worth surged to $940 bln on hopes it will win from artificial intelligence. CEO Jensen Huang has an astonishing record, with earnings growing 20% annually for two decades. But Nvidia will have to maintain this pace until 2030 to justify its valuation.