Regulation

Watchdogs finally detect scent of hedge-fund risk

18 Dec 2024

The Financial Stability Board proposed ideas including leverage caps that may affect Ken Griffin’s Citadel and Israel Englander’s Millennium. The new US administration will balk. Yet with hedge fund borrowing surging to $5 trln, it’s worth fleshing out rules ahead of any blowup.

ESR take-private throws up Asia exit quandary

13 Dec 2024

A group led by US investors offered to privatise the Asian real estate fund manager for $7 bln. Hong Kong's dismal market and ESR's complex business merits the move, yet backers will find it hard to re-list. Asia offers slim pickings for regional groups with IPO dreams.

India needs more, not fewer, powerful tycoons

12 Dec 2024

US charges against Gautam Adani expose the country’s reliance on too few industrialists to meet its strategic goals. Rather than prompting a breakup of conglomerates, the saga may nudge the government to share the spoils of the $4 trln economy with a bigger group of chosen ones.

Nippon Life plays up Japan Inc’s existential angst

11 Dec 2024

The insurer is buying smaller US rival Resolution for $8.2 bln. Returns look low, and the weak yen makes overseas purchases more expensive. But the deal diversifies earnings too reliant on a shrinking home market. Assuming Washington allows, such transactions will keep flowing.

Korea’s value push is getting a much-needed spark

11 Dec 2024

President Yoon Suk Yeol's botched coup adds urgency for Seoul to curb the power of family businesses. Even before the political crisis, the KOSPI was one of the world's worst performing major stock indices. That makes $22 bln Korea Zinc's upcoming shareholding meeting a key test.

China cuts its private sector much-needed slack

9 Dec 2024

Crackdowns on education and other industries crushed businesses like tutoring firm New Oriental. But the $10 bln firm's recent revival shows Beijing is loosening its grip to boost consumption and create jobs. The shift will hand private giants a bigger role to reboot growth.

Shein IPO is test of UK market discipline

6 Dec 2024

Britain’s financial watchdog may bless the fast-fashion group’s possible $64 bln listing, leaving investors to gauge the risks in its supply chain. Yet passive funds and soft disclosure rules limit shareholders’ ability to price such factors. Better transparency would help.

Crypto gets quick return on US election investment

4 Dec 2024

SEC chair nominee Paul Atkins would give the industry an ally with a lighter enforcement touch. The choice helps justify $200 mln of campaign funding and a nearly 60% jump in the value of bitcoin and its ilk. Lax oversight, however, raises the risk of another FTX-like crisis.

Masa Son risks overcompensating for his AI misses

3 Dec 2024

The SoftBank founder sold Nvidia too early and seems late to the party with his recent OpenAI investments. Now, he may be planning to invest $9 bln a year in artificial intelligence. The risk for the billionaire’s shareholders is that he acts recklessly to make up for lost time.

New World paves Hong Kong developers’ way to China

2 Dec 2024

The $2 bln property firm’s second CEO in as many months is an expert in mainland real estate, suggesting an urgent need to deepen ties there. New World’s $20 bln debt pile may be hastening the move, but broader pressures will push healthier peers like CK Hutchison to follow suit.

Gautam Adani is promise and peril of Indian growth

28 Nov 2024

With $31 bln of debt, deep links to the banking system and a star role in India’s energy transition, the tycoon’s empire is a crucial part of the fifth-largest economy. In this week’s Viewsroom, Breakingviews columnists discuss how US bribery charges will test those dependencies.

Adani presents India with big financing ultimatum

25 Nov 2024

US criminal charges against Chair Gautam Adani pose broad risks for the conglomerate. Though it can service its $31 bln debt for a few years, global banks may recall loans and refuse hedging contracts. New Delhi can nudge local lenders to step up, but support will come at a cost.

Hong Kong regains some lustre amid China’s gloom

22 Nov 2024

Top mainland officials made a rare appearance alongside CEOs like David Solomon at a conference in the city. It's a sign Beijing will lean on Hong Kong more to tap global capital and navigate looming US tariffs. Potential market reforms could benefit the finance hub, too.

Gautam Adani’s key man risk is hard to contain

21 Nov 2024

US bribery accusations will narrow financing options for the tycoon’s $146 bln conglomerate more than a short-seller attack did. Other countries may get involved, too. Adani can limit damage by stepping down, but his tight ownership of the empire he built complicates matters.

One country, two China property crises for tycoons

20 Nov 2024

On the mainland, developers are being forced by Beijing to deliver presold homes. In Hong Kong, developers may chase down buyers who cancel purchases. Mega-rich families of the finance hub can keep their property flagships in decent shape while their onshore peers rot.

UK mistakes City liberalisation for a growth plan

15 Nov 2024

Finance minister Rachel Reeves wants to unleash the 153-bln-pound financial sector to boost the economy. It’s not clear that her reforms so far, like a share-trading venue for private companies, will do that. Meatier deregulation, meanwhile, would raise the risk of future crises.

China developers’ survival fight gets litmus test

15 Nov 2024

Sunac has given investors four options for restructuring $2 bln of onshore bonds, including an 82% haircut and a debt-for-equity swap. How they vote will reveal their views on both the $3.1 bln firm’s chances of survival and Beijing’s attempts to end the property slump.

Shein margin wobble takes bite out of IPO value

14 Nov 2024

The e-commerce giant’s revenue growth slumped in the first half of 2024, and the net margin fell to 2% per The Information. Even if the business recovers, it creates uncertainty that’s compounded by a protectionist US government. Investors may struggle to see the upside.

Prosus catches a moment of relief in India

13 Nov 2024

The Mumbai listing of Swiggy, one half of a food delivery duopoly, crystallizes gains in a priority market for the $100 bln Dutch tech investor. The stock market debut of the startup is decent but Prosus' other bets in fintech and e-commerce in the country look harder to monetise.

Shell’s legal win flags need for new green metrics

12 Nov 2024

A Dutch court has nixed a 2021 ruling forcing the $204 bln oil major to cut emissions by 45% by 2030. Such metrics had already been undermined by Big Oil asset sales, which don’t stop climate change. Drillers’ spending on low-carbon energy is a better gauge of green credentials.