Singapore withstands a global property downturn 3 Jan 2023 The Lion City’s housing prices are up 14% in a year, compared to declines in Hong Kong and other major cities. A pandemic-induced construction shortfall and increasing foreign demand are factors. Rising interest rates will cool, but not halt, Singapore’s real estate boom.
China property gets $650 mln vote of no confidence 13 Dec 2022 Controlling shareholder Yang Huiyan is shedding 7% of Country Garden's services arm, a first. She doesn’t seem to need the money given state support for the developer, and it’s an odd time to sell. It suggests deep scepticism about Beijing’s real estate rescue package.
The implications of Blackstone’s property wobble 8 Dec 2022 The giant alternative asset manager’s market value dropped by $8 bln after it said investors were exiting its flagship real estate fund. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss the causes of the jitters and how rivals are vulnerable to similar moves.
Blackstone feeds private-market valuation fears 1 Dec 2022 The buyout shop is limiting redemptions from a $125 bln real estate fund after investors flooded it with requests, echoing a broader selloff in publicly traded peers. Limiting withdrawals risks a dangerous feedback loop. And a profitable Las Vegas deal offers limited reassurance.
Blackstone mall IPO puts wealthy India on display 1 Dec 2022 Brands like Zara suffer from a dearth of quality shopping centres like those the asset manager is floating. Its portfolio boasts high occupancy rates in both posh and up-and-coming locations. Owners collect rent plus a share of revenue. That’s compelling as the rich get richer.
Capital Calls: Funky debt shock 29 Nov 2022 Concise views on global finance: Germany property group Aroundtown won’t be the last to flout bond market convention on hybrid debt.
Hybrid working is wild card in office slump 21 Nov 2022 Workspace landlords like British Land and France’s Gecina are facing a storm. Higher interest rates are cutting property values, just as a weak economy pushes up vacancy rates. And, with UK workers spending half their week at home, employers have plenty of scope to cull space.
China’s property easing is minor capitulation 14 Nov 2022 Beijing has rolled out quick-fix measures like extending repayment periods to avert defaults and lowering mortgage down-payments, a signal that officials are sticking to their guns on deleveraging despite economic stress. That makes boosting the rest of the economy more urgent.
Tech mess hastens Irish economic turn inwards 11 Nov 2022 Multinationals like Meta Platforms bring in a quarter of Ireland’s $68 bln tax revenue, and the salaries they pay prop up its housing market. Now they’re shedding staff, the risk is a budget hole. Irish business may not like how a future Sinn Féin government would fill it.
Hong Kong’s real-estate correction has no winners 25 Oct 2022 Property prices are falling due to rising interest rates, a brain drain and a weak local economy. That sounds like good news for the world’s most unaffordable housing market. But first-time buyers and homeowners face rising mortgage costs, adding pressure for developers, too.
The urgent search for the perfect inflation hedge 20 Oct 2022 Nearly every major asset class has lost money this year, leaving investors scrambling to protect their wealth from rising prices. Traditional alternatives such as gold and property also have drawbacks, writes Edward Chancellor. The best shield may be the most obvious one.
Bank mortgage tweaks presage bigger political hit 14 Oct 2022 Spain’s CaixaBank proposed a rate freeze, while UK lenders favour ad hoc relief for struggling borrowers. As interest costs soar, these won’t be enough to avoid a mess. Since cash-strapped governments can’t help, they may hammer banks with Polish-style blanket payment holidays.
Blackstone converts Indian property to safe haven 6 Oct 2022 A $500 mln shopping mall listing would lay another cornerstone in the U.S. titan’s push to build a local market for REITs. Their decent returns and scarcity value in India can put a good roof over long-term investors’ heads. That’s all the more enticing given global volatility.
Capital Calls: Buffett’s Berkshire successor 4 Oct 2022 Concise views on global finance: The Omaha oracle owns $100 bln of stock in his conglomerate. His potential successor Greg Abel’s purchase of $68 mln of stock last week – after selling shares in a subsidiary for $870 mln in June – is too small a move toward Buffett’s standard.
Canary Wharf’s post-pandemic property conundrum 4 Oct 2022 The east London financial hub’s owner is expanding even as tenants like HSBC consider ditching their leases. In this Exchange podcast, CEO Shobi Khan explains how renting out swanky apartments and luring a new breed of tenant can insulate the landlord from a property slump.
Capital Calls: Apple tests discretionary spending 28 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: The company’s reversal on iPhone 14 production is a sign that inflation-battered consumers are thinking differently about discretionary items.
UK swaps one cost-of-living crisis for another 27 Sep 2022 The Bank of England may raise rates past 5% to stem the inflationary effect of Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax cuts. Homeowners, saved by the government’s energy price cap, now face a surge in mortgage costs. That will sap growth and add to pressure for banks to help customers.
China property IPO bets on big name to calm fears 22 Sep 2022 The country’s largest developer, Vanke, wants an $8 bln valuation for its services unit in Hong Kong’s top float this year. That’s below an earlier price tag, reflecting the sector’s fragile state, but still pricier than some peers. A brand premium in soft markets looks bold.
Anxious Kaisa investors throw good money after bad 21 Sep 2022 Foreign bondholders in the Chinese property firm, which has $12 bln of offshore credit in default, are offering $2 bln to take over stalled projects plus restructure debt. A similar proposal failed last year, but as its woes worsen, Kaisa may reconsider. Pricing is the trick.
Capital Calls: UBS fintech U-turn, UK housebuilder 5 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: CEO Ralph Hamers cancels the $1.4 bln acquisition of robo-adviser Wealthfront; Countryside Partnerships accepts a 1.3 bln pound offer from UK rival Vistry just three months after rejecting a higher bid.