Property

City of London rent surge is boon for Canary Wharf

28 Feb 2025

Office rents in central London are approaching twice those further east, thanks to a post-Covid rush to newer buildings in prime locations. But businesses are also being priced out. With more demand and less supply, Brookfield and Qatar-owned Canary Wharf may see an influx.

China’s marriage aversion is two problems in one

20 Feb 2025

The 20% plunge in marriage registrations last year is a signal of the economic pain from a shortage of jobs and a property crisis. It will also drag down future births and housing demand. Beijing has a strong incentive to put family planning front and centre of its stimulus.

Citi’s pricey refit flags offices’ prime dilemma

22 Jan 2025

The US bank is spending 1 bln pounds to upgrade its tower in London’s Canary Wharf. Stagnating rents and higher vacancies put an onus on value-enhancing refits. The dilemma for owners of large office districts is whether to take on debt and follow suit – or accept a slow decline.

Vanke debacle may hasten wider China property fix

17 Jan 2025

Top investor Shenzhen Metro helped keep the developer from joining its peers in default. But Vanke’s bonds are crashing and authorities have detained its CEO, state media report. It suggests drip-feeding aid isn’t working - a lesson Beijing can apply to the rest of the sector.

Tokyo’s property boom looks built to last

27 Dec 2024

Office vacancy rates in the city are around 3%, well below London and New York, and hotel occupancy rates are high. Transaction volumes will remain robust through 2025 as private equity and sovereign funds descend on Japan. That should keep the hot market from overheating.

China will wield big mop to clean up property mess

23 Dec 2024

A $13 trln real estate glut is undermining President Xi Jinping’s efforts to stimulate the world’s second-largest economy. Shifting millions of empty homes into a ‘bad bank’ before turning them into affordable housing would help stabilise prices and restore consumer confidence.

Golden visas are a leaden answer to economic needs

10 Dec 2024

Hungary is the latest country to launch a residency-by-investment scheme. Such plans appeal to rich foreigners. But they add less than 0.5% to GDP, inflate property prices and irk locals. As geopolitical risks spur demand, governments will have to either charge more or nix them.

China’s wealth pledge will face tough sceptics

10 Dec 2024

In a key meeting, Beijing identified stabilising stock and property prices as a top task in 2025. It recognises that people will spend more if they feel rich. This implies a policy bottom for both markets. Yet observers are forecasting a huge range of outcomes in the coming year.

One country, two China property crises for tycoons

20 Nov 2024

On the mainland, developers are being forced by Beijing to deliver presold homes. In Hong Kong, developers may chase down buyers who cancel purchases. Mega-rich families of the finance hub can keep their property flagships in decent shape while their onshore peers rot.

China developers’ survival fight gets litmus test

15 Nov 2024

Sunac has given investors four options for restructuring $2 bln of onshore bonds, including an 82% haircut and a debt-for-equity swap. How they vote will reveal their views on both the $3.1 bln firm’s chances of survival and Beijing’s attempts to end the property slump.

China is reshaping, not choking, private business

30 Oct 2024

Tech giants and property developers have tumbled, while party support lifted electric carmaker BYD and solar powerhouse Longi. A blurred line between state-backed and private firms does not preclude innovation or competition in the $18 trln economy. Disdain for market forces can.

Murdoch leaves Rightmove little room for error

1 Oct 2024

The Australian tycoon’s REA Group walked away after four rejected bids for the UK property listings portal, prompting the latter’s shares to slump. Rightmove can get to the offer price if it grows revenue at 11% a year and keeps its 75% margin. But that’s not simple to do.

China plays perilous game of pump the stock market

30 Sep 2024

Shares in consumer and real-estate firms have jumped more than a fifth after the latest round of state support raised hopes of a broad recovery. The risk is that when policymakers in Beijing flesh out their plans, the details will fall short of what investors are expecting.

Hong Kong property tycoons enter brave new world

26 Sep 2024

Embattled developer New World may replace its CEO, the third-generation scion of the founding Cheng clan, amid a deepening real estate slump. Such a move is nearly unheard of in the city dominated by family-run conglomerates. It will put peers like Henderson Land on notice.

Murdoch’s UK property bid may yet get even sweeter

23 Sep 2024

Rightmove is mulling an improved $8.1 bln offer from Australia’s REA Group, owned by the media tycoon. A chunky premium and other UK refuseniks’ share price slumps are reasons for the listing portal’s board to say yes. But the buyer’s latest bid implies an ability to pay more.

China mortgage cut is start of confidence rebuild

13 Sep 2024

Beijing may significantly lower rates on existing home loans, per Bloomberg. That might convince property owners that there are better alternatives than stepping up mortgage repayments. It is a step toward fixing a $1 trln headache for officials, and improving consumer sentiment.

Diaspora gives wings to India luxury housing boom

12 Sep 2024

New launches of pricey properties jumped 48% in financial year 2024. Real estate is hotting up as an investment choice, especially for non-resident Indians. Their purchases prop up growth in the world's fifth-largest economy. It's a new spin on the power of its global citizenry.

China’s banks have a nasty case of indigestion

11 Sep 2024

For decades, Beijing leaned on lenders to fuel growth in the $17 trln economy. But it will take years for them to digest problem IOUs from firms and local governments. Officials will have to find new ways to boost GDP, or the financial dyspepsia could turn into something worse.

Murdoch’s UK property gambit has a price ceiling

2 Sep 2024

Australian property listings site REA Group is eyeing $6 bln UK peer Rightmove. The News Corp-backed suitor can use cash and higher-valued shares to pay a 30% premium. Beyond that, Rupert Murdoch’s outfit might struggle to combine a successful bid with keeping him in control.

UK’s housing mess requires costly fix

29 Aug 2024

PM Keir Starmer has pledged to build many more houses. Yet homebuilders’ shares are not pricing in a boom. Private players may prefer to sell fewer, pricier properties. More government funds would help, at the risk of further squeezing Britain’s finances.