Oil & Gas

Capital Calls: Exxon’s $5 bln carbon-capture deal

13 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The oil giant is using its own shares and paying a tiny premium to buy Denbury, the largest US carbon dioxide pipeline operator, in a greenish-looking transaction that mostly helps it pump more crude.

Peak oil is another reason to shun OPEC club

26 Jun 2023

The oil-producing organization wants Guyana to join, but the tiny South American nation prefers to pump while it can. Cartels are difficult to maintain at the best of times because members can cheat. When future demand is finite, there’s even less incentive to cooperate.

Eni’s bet on gas comes at an acceptable price

23 Jun 2023

The Italian group and Var Energi, in which it holds a 63% stake, are buying Neptune Energy for $4.9 bln. The seller’s private equity owners once hoped for an IPO at twice that level. Bulking up in fossil fuels carries risks, but Eni’s price at least creates some sort of buffer.

Capital Calls: Oil M&A, Bud backlash, L&G’s CEO

15 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Two oil-well servicers find a way to make decline more palatable, while brewer Anheuser-Busch discovers that money doesn’t always buy friends in politics. In the UK, insurer L&G picks a new CEO to try and address its Brexit discount.

Shell makes risky pitch for the middle ground

14 Jun 2023

The $195 bln group’s new CEO Wael Sawan boosted shareholder payouts and refrained from new oil output cuts. His bet is that Shell can echo US peers by lingering in oil, while placing its green bets on less tricky low-carbon areas than European rivals. It’s not certain to work.

Saudi oil cuts collide with investor scepticism

8 Jun 2023

The Gulf state is slashing oil production in July and convinced OPEC+ to extend cuts to the end of 2024. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how these restrictions may still not be enough to convince investors to stop worrying about recession.

Saudi’s oil lollipop reflects its sticky situation

5 Jun 2023

The kingdom has secured OPEC+ consent to extend output cuts into 2024, and will also lop another 1 mln barrels off its own daily production. But if traders bought OPEC’s demand forecasts, oil prices should be higher anyway. Saudi may also struggle to slash output any further.

Biden’s America goes from oil guzzler to gusher

1 Jun 2023

The commodity’s main benchmark is including prices of oil from Texas, a reflection of a shift. Even as American demand stagnates, U.S.-based producers pump and export more. The president wants the country to be green. He can’t control the private industry that supports the world.

Biden’s oil reserve plan is slippery slope

24 May 2023

America sold 180 mln barrels of oil from its strategic reserve last year when prices were high. It can top coffers now for less, but that window might not last long. Plus budget battles – and Biden’s fossil fuel agenda – making a needed fuel fill up look less likely.

EU will go easy on Indian resale of Russian fuel

23 May 2023

Fuelled by imports from Moscow, oil products sales to Europe from refiners including Reliance and Nayara have nearly doubled to $15 bln. The trend shows anti-Russian sanctions are not watertight. Yet, risks of an energy inflation revival make a European Union ban a tough call.

Oil’s feuding forecasters may both be wrong

15 May 2023

The International Energy Agency, which represents developed-world crude buyers, recently slammed producer club OPEC’s output cuts. Yet the pair share the same demand estimates for 2023. If they’re wrong, IEA fears and OPEC hopes of surging oil prices may prove wide of the mark.

Capital Calls: Wood Group

15 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: Apollo’s aborted bid for the $1 bln UK infrastructure firm prompted a 35% share price fall.

Canberra lets energy windfall slip through fingers

10 May 2023

Tweaking an arcane resources tax will bag Australia’s Treasury just $400 mln extra a year. It’s barely a drop of the bumper earnings oil and gas companies drilled from war-stoked commodity prices. A direct levy on outsized profits can better channel cash to the energy transition.

Capital Calls: Amazon, Aramco

9 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: Rising costs and cautious consumers are driving the e-commerce giant to sell goods through mobile games and push incentives; the $2 trillion Saudi oil company’s new dividend policy is one way to interest investors in future share sales. 

Europe’s oil major sweet spot could yet turn sour

4 May 2023

Shell, BP and Total are still making fat profits, and investors seem fine with a slower route out of oil. Rising rates also make wind projects look even less enticing than fossil fuel ones. But longer term, Europe’s oil titans may lose their head start in the shift to net zero.

Capital Calls: BP, Japanese M&A

2 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: The oil giant will buy back $1.8 bln of shares over the next three months, which is less than investors hoped for; Astellas Pharma is making the most of cheap debt for its $5.9 bln pounce on U.S. eye-treatment specialist Iveric Bio.

Oil AGMs presage awkward investor decoupling

28 Apr 2023

BP sailed through its annual shareholder meeting without much blowback on how it had backtracked on climate goals. That will embolden competitors to dismiss pro-green investors’ concerns, and give more to the opposite camp. It is becoming harder to please both sides.

Buying Pioneer would be iffy use of Exxon capital

10 Apr 2023

Including a 30% premium, the price for the Permian producer would be $64 bln. With synergies, the implied return is a healthy 11%, Breakingviews reckons. Oil demand is peaking, however, and shale drillers run through the best wells quickly. The energy transition raises the bar.

OPEC’s oil cut is less surprising than it looks

3 Apr 2023

The producer group’s shock call to slash output by another 1 mln daily barrels will annoy Joe Biden and spur inflation fears. But de facto leader Saudi Arabia had already shown it would ignore US wishes. And Chinese demand is sufficiently uncertain to justify pre-emptive action.

California oil bill is industrial policy, refined

30 Mar 2023

A state agency will soon analyze oil firms’ profit data and penalize those that gouge consumers. That’s an improvement from the windfall profit tax proposed by Biden last year. Regulators win new tools for fighting corporate greed, and responsible companies dodge a blanket levy.