Oil traders make risky bet on calm in Middle East 15 Apr 2024 Crude prices fell after Iran attacked Israel, probably because the Islamic Republic telegraphed its strikes in advance. Still, the unprecedented move may elicit an Israeli response. With oil supplies tightening, regional tensions and prices could yet reset at a higher level.
BP takeover is both appealing and daunting 12 Apr 2024 Abu Dhabi National Oil Company recently considered buying its $110 bln British peer. It’s unlikely to be the only suitor. BP trades at a discount to other oil giants and recently installed a new CEO. But UK security concerns and EU antitrust rules present formidable hurdles.
UAE flips own script with $4 bln oil pipeline deal 5 Apr 2024 Abu Dhabi’s $100 bln fund, Lunate, bought KKR and BlackRock’s 40% stake in ADNOC’s infrastructure arm. In recent years the UAE has raised cash from foreign investors by selling minority stakes in its oil giant. The latest deal does the opposite.
An $8 bln merger wrings out oilfields’ last drops 2 Apr 2024 The oil industry has refocused on returning cash in lieu of expansion, leaving a meaner market for companies that help to drill wells. SLB’s purchase of ChampionX is a smart way to hold ground, especially since only half of promised benefits need materialize to square the math.
Eni’s green shoots are taking time to blossom 28 Mar 2024 Italy’s $53 bln energy major trades at a discount to rivals. An overhang from Rome’s potential stake sale and falling gas prices are drags. But CEO Claudio Descalzi’s plan to raise cash by spinning off energy transition-focused business units is also yet to fully shape up.
LNG angst seeps from consumers to producers 27 Mar 2024 A few years ago, supplies of liquefied natural gas were scarce and prices sky-high. Extra capacity arriving this decade means there could soon be a price-sapping glut. Big suppliers like Qatar and Shell have long-term contracts that can ease the pain, but only up to a point.
Capital Calls: Shell and Russia 26 Mar 2024 Concise views on global finance: Russian state giant Gazprom will buy the British energy major’s 27.5% stake in a major Siberian liquefied gas field for the equivalent of $1 bln. Shell is however unlikely to be able to get hold of the cash any time soon.
Energy firms can’t all be better than average 22 Mar 2024 The industry’s big event in Houston saw oil, gas and renewable firms believe in different realities, mixed with resentment of being overlooked and supposed government favoritism. But in a commodity industry, low cost eventually wins, and that is renewable fuel.
Like Rome, oil demand won’t be destroyed in a day 18 Mar 2024 Oil producers attending the big industry confab in Houston this week recognize they are under pressure. US firms are merging; Saudi is reinventing itself. Like in any dwindling empire, many leaders will want to take over rivals. Rewarding investors with cash is a better strategy.
Only an oil slump can stop Vladimir Putin 18 Mar 2024 To keep pumping money into his Ukraine war, the newly re-elected president will have to squeeze Russians. Nobody can prevent him from further unpopular measures. A sharp drop in oil revenue might force him to change course, but that is hard and risky for the West to bring about.
A $35 bln gas reunion tracks a topsy-turvy market 11 Mar 2024 Gas producer EQT spun off its midstream unit in 2018 to sate activists. The argument was that pipelines return cash while gas firms spend it. But that’s no longer true and the operational logic was thin. Striking amid low gas prices invites scrutiny, but recombining makes sense.
Exxon juggles stick of dynamite near Hess deal 27 Feb 2024 The oil giant and Chinese partner CNOOC say Chevron’s $53 bln acquisition of Hess gives them the right to buy the latter’s crown jewel stake in a Guyana oil field. While that threatens to blow up Chevron’s plan, an Exxon purchase also could saddle it with a risky time-bomb.
Strategic clarity fuels US oil giants’ M&A spree 23 Feb 2024 Exxon Mobil and Chevron are buying up rival drillers on expectations that demand for crude will still be robust in 2050. European rivals like Shell are less bullish about oil, but reluctant to pile headlong into green energy. That helps explain the transatlantic valuation gap.
Capital Calls: Oil M&A 22 Feb 2024 Concise views on global finance: The $11 billion Williston Basin combination of Chord Energy and Enerplus lacks the wow factor of Exxon’s and Chevron’s mega-mergers, but there are sufficient savings to suggest more deals will be on the way.
Shale twins’ $26 bln deal can afford to be pricey 12 Feb 2024 Permian producer Diamondback is buying a smaller version of itself in Endeavor, from overlapping acreage to neighboring offices. That implies the price is maybe $1 bln over the odds. Given unique savings the duo can reap in the heart of the US oil boom, the buyer can afford it.
Oil investors are adrift in Red Sea rip currents 9 Feb 2024 Crude prices at around $80 a barrel are lower than in early October despite conflict in Gaza, attacks on shipping vessels off Yemen, and US-Iran tensions. That reflects expectations of weak demand and ample supply, underpinned by lax sanctions. All three could soon change.
Woodside torches Santos’ quick activist fix 7 Feb 2024 The oil and gas driller ended talks with its smaller rival about a $52 bln merger Down Under. A deal always looked hard. But it could have got investors off Santos CEO Kevin Gallagher’s back. Now he’ll have to try the slower route of capital returns, cost cuts and asset sales.
Exxon has a chemical escape hatch 2 Feb 2024 The oil giant earned $36 bln last year thanks to high crude prices, but the future looks dim for fuel demand. The company’s petrochemical business, though, is in the opposite position: Excess supply has driven down prices, but growing demand for plastics promises riches to come.
Abu Dhabi’s Europe M&A hedges an opaque future 26 Jan 2024 The UAE’s key oil group is readying $40 bln of European petrochemicals deals. Some Western rivals are doubling down on the black stuff. ADNOC’s plan – buying up the value chain of an area where crude demand may persist – is a partial hedge against cratered oil usage in 2050.
Exxon activists banished best with vote, not court 22 Jan 2024 The $385 bln oil giant wants a judge to stop a shareholder proposal urging stringent emissions limits from going to a vote. Similar measures failed before. Fighting rather than letting this one fall flat amplifies dissent and echoes past doomed dismissals of investor concerns.