Oil & Gas

Oil storage crisis is new threat to OPEC

25 Mar 2020

The double whammy of a Saudi Arabia-led price war and a virus-fuelled collapse in demand points to a huge oversupply of crude this year. Space to store the surplus may run out at this rate. If that’s exhausted, a barrel of the commodity could soon be worth less than $20.

Oil price war bolsters case for U.S. renewables

24 Mar 2020

The Saudi-Russia black-gold spat has drilled a hole in American energy suppliers’ finances and the country’s hopes for energy independence. Bailing out fossil-fuel companies is an option, but a more decisive switch to cleaner energy could make self-sufficiency an attainable goal.

Corona Capital: India on lockdown

24 Mar 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: India's prime minister, Narendra Modi, tells 1.3 billion people to stay at home as the country grapples with the early stages of an outbreak.

Corona Capital: Religious aid, Ad-spending slump

23 Mar 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: U.S. Vice President Mike Pence wants Americans to donate to religious institutions to bolster community aid. But churches have their own fiscal problems. Plus: TV ad revenue look set for a pounding.

Trump can make oil markets balance in his favour

20 Mar 2020

To hike low crude prices, the U.S. President needs a big producer to cut supply. He already has leverage over Saudi Arabia and more scope to threaten Russia with sanctions. Add in output curbs by shale, and a path exists to keep American producers afloat but oil values in check.

Gulf’s sovereign funds are now gilt-edged airbags

19 Mar 2020

With oil now below $30 a barrel and emerging market outflows exceeding those seen in 2008, the region’s dollar pegs will be tested. Saudi Arabia and others may cut budgets in response. At the very least that implies ADIA, QIA and Mubadala’s dealmaking wings could be clipped.

Cheap gas drives auto industry to distraction

19 Mar 2020

With crude oil futures near $26 a barrel, drivers might lose enthusiasm for electric vehicles if governments put support on hold and let pump prices free-fall. But the push away from hydrocarbons is about more than petrol costs. Carmakers are ill-advised to let investment slide.

Climate fight will survive dual oil and virus blow

18 Mar 2020

The Covid-19 outbreak could distract politicians from agreeing cuts to global emissions. The resulting slump in crude prices also removes pressure to ramp up renewables. But behavioural and societal changes to halt the pandemic may prove more potent in tackling global warming.

Cheap oil will fund quasi-handouts for Indians

13 Mar 2020

A ban on foreign tourists is poised to hurt an economy already reeling from financial blowups. Luckily, cash-strapped New Delhi has a new stimulus option: passing lower crude prices on to consumers. That would be more effective than tax cuts, and relieve rising household debt.

Oxy victory would help Icahn’s poor oil-patch rep

12 Mar 2020

By raising his stake in Occidental Petroleum, the activist has upped the odds of getting his way, or reaching a truce. It helps that his demands – a new CEO and a sale of the company – both make sense. A trail of rocky energy investments means Icahn could use a high-profile win.

Viewsroom: Oil shock

12 Mar 2020

A major rift between Saudi Arabia and Russia has sent oil prices plummeting just as the Covid-19 outbreak saps demand. The fallout is pummeling U.S. shale producers and calling traditional energy-security concepts into question. Plus, market fallout in Japan, China and India.

MbS vs. Putin will be an oil drama in several acts

11 Mar 2020

The Saudi crown prince and Russian president’s crude supply pact has blown up into a full-on price war. On the face of it, Moscow’s budget means Vladimir Putin is better able to bear extended low prices. But Mohammed bin Salman also has options to keep the wolf from the door.

Big banks’ oil slick looks mostly fireproof

11 Mar 2020

Shares in lenders from JPMorgan to ING fell after Monday’s Brent crude selloff. Yet big U.S. banks weathered the last oil-price storm, while Europeans are nowadays probably lending to safer majors. More worrying is a general economic slowdown and continued lower rates.

Occidental divi cut puts Buffett in driver’s seat

10 Mar 2020

The oil driller slashed its payout in response to crude prices plummeting. That is the last straw for CEO Vicki Hollub, who staked her credibility on a debt-fuelled purchase of Anadarko. Oxy now looks like an appealing M&A morsel, though all hangs on kingmaker Warren Buffett.

Oil slump puts African states on devaluation hook

10 Mar 2020

Hydrocarbons account for 90% of exports in Nigeria and Angola, despite years of talk about diversification. With crude at $36 a barrel, they’re both in trouble. Speedy devaluation means inflation-related pain but should help make the shift to a greener, low-carbon future.

White House can lend U.S. shale a helping M&A hand

9 Mar 2020

Black gold’s rapid price drop makes many Texas drillers and frackers uneconomic, threatening U.S. energy independence touted by President Trump. His administration could offer merger sweeteners, effectively forging state-backed oil giants to compete with OPEC and Russia.

OPEC shock pours fuel on credit-market cinders

9 Mar 2020

The collapse in oil prices and worsening epidemic are causing turmoil in corporate debt markets. Yet the price moves are hard to justify, even matching the damage from Lehman Brothers’ failure in 2008. That adds weight to fears that bank trading limits can exacerbate a crisis.

Big Oil’s wipeout invites a new sort of activist

9 Mar 2020

Plunging crude prices have sent BP shares down 20%, with Shell and Total close behind. The rout could make it harder for oil majors to shift away from fossil fuels. Dirt-cheap valuations offer a way for activists to push CEOs to cut investment and return cash to shareholders.

Saudi sets global oil a stress test few will pass

9 Mar 2020

An all-out price war launched by the kingdom crashed the crude price over 20%. Values well below $40 a barrel are a setback for U.S. shale producers, global oil majors, national budgets, and the climate change fight. At least Saudi oil giant Aramco will share the short-term pain.

Oil shock gives central banks excuse to be bold

9 Mar 2020

Crude prices plunged days before the ECB meets. While Christine Lagarde and her global peers are supposed to look beyond one-off jolts, inflation expectations have been crushed in a market already gripped by virus fears. That gives rate-setters another reason to be decisive.