Oil & Gas

The consequences of Europe’s energy crisis

8 Sep 2022

As Russian President Vladimir Putin cuts off gas through a key pipeline, Breakingviews columnists discuss the response from UK and European governments, how the shutdown could have some longer-term benefits, and when Russia will feel the squeeze of lost revenue.

Tough love is best fix for energy cash crunch

7 Sep 2022

Utilities and power traders face a $1.5 trln surge in collateral demands due to swings in gas futures. The answer could be bailouts, halts in trading and collateral tweaks. Yet radical changes may increase risk. And government help, if properly priced, needn’t be a freebie.

EU has ways to learn to live with less gas

6 Sep 2022

The closure of a key Russian pipeline leaves Europe facing a 20% shortfall in fuel supply. Measures to cut demand like lower temperatures in homes and incentives for companies to use less energy may soften the blow. More gas-dependent nations like Italy must now work harder.

Putin shoves Europe over the energy rubicon

5 Sep 2022

By shutting the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, the Russian president has ensured the continent faces sustained high power costs. States have so far stopped short of drastic market interventions. All are now wising up to the need to freeze prices, ration demand, and tax windfall profits.

Shell’s next boss looks a shoo-in

2 Sep 2022

The $192 bln energy group’s veteran CEO Ben van Beurden is likely to depart next year. Shell’s heads of oil drilling, refining, and finance all merit consideration. But gas and renewables boss Wael Sawan, who holds the key to Shell’s future revenue growth, is the logical choice.

Europe’s energy cap requires surgical precision

1 Sep 2022

The EU wants to curb surging power costs to avoid a recession. Capping wholesale gas prices will unavoidably dampen the market’s clear signal to reduce demand. Doing the same to electricity prices, especially in a focused and temporary way, looks smarter.

Capital Calls: Uniper’s credit request

30 Aug 2022

Concise views on global finance: the German utility asks for a 4 billion euro credit line just weeks after securing a 15 billion euro bailout. But with gas demand easing and a German government levy on consumers yet to go into force, Uniper’s situation may improve.

Once people ditch oil, they won’t come back

22 Aug 2022

The 1973 crisis sent oil prices spiraling and knocked U.S. demand onto a permanently lower trajectory as economic growth became less energy intensive. High prices three decades later caused gasoline demand to stall entirely. This time around the result will be lasting shrinkage.

UK energy’s looming bailout implies a quid pro quo

22 Aug 2022

Britain may subsidise EDF, Centrica and others to curb customers’ utility bills. Power groups are largely not to blame for the mess. But with taxpayers possibly on the hook for over 100 bln pounds, the industry could face blowback like pay curbs and dividend restrictions.

Russia is giving German industry a slow puncture

27 Jul 2022

Industrial users of gas are in the firing line as Moscow halts supply. Companies like BASF face a hit from higher input costs and energy rationing, rather than a Uniper-style bailout. The problem for Berlin is that sustained high prices could make production head elsewhere.

Berlin spreads pain in 15 bln euro Uniper bailout

22 Jul 2022

That’s how much equity and debt the government may pump into the gas importer driven to near-bankruptcy by reduced Russian supplies. Diluted shareholders, Finnish owner Fortum, and German taxpayers will share the burden. So will consumers who will pay higher prices for gas.

Putin gas assault is a survivable test of EU unity

19 Jul 2022

Moscow’s key pipeline to Germany is offline for repairs, stoking fears Russia may cut off all its gas for good. That would mean soaring energy costs and a big economic contraction. But the worst outcome, where Germans hoard gas and splinter the European Union, looks less likely.

ESG is more of a muddle than a fiddle

19 Jul 2022

Environmental, social and governance investing is under the spotlight. In this episode of The Exchange podcast, Bridgewater’s sustainable finance gurus Karen Karniol-Tambour and Carsten Stendevad explain how ESG’s main problem is a lack of clarity over its goals.

Guest view: A platform for climate collaboration

14 Jul 2022

Finance ministers and central bankers face inflation and stagnating growth. The climate crisis could dwarf these hardships. If structured well, G20 Country Platforms can help to unlock private capital to meet the challenge, writes United Nations climate envoy Mark Carney.

Saudi can win two ways in global energy reshuffle

13 Jul 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden will plead for more oil on his visit to the kingdom. Riyadh may be tempted to say no. But with China and India buying cheaper Russian crude, diverting shipments could boost selling prices. Close ties could also unlock more western capital for Saudi.

Finland’s Uniper hit best seen as defence spending

12 Jul 2022

Helsinki wants Berlin to rescue the ailing German energy group, but limit the hit to Finnish owner Fortum. Germany doesn’t agree. Finns would be better off seeing any dilution from a forthcoming capital hike as part of the cost of de-Russifying. Like the cost of joining NATO.

BlackRock climate resilience faces political test

11 Jul 2022

The $10 trln asset manager’s advocacy of sustainable investing could backfire if Republican critics win the U.S. midterm elections. Billions of dollars of funds and advisory mandates are at stake. BlackRock can afford to hold its ground, but only so far.

Uniper investors head for bailout they don’t merit

5 Jul 2022

The 4 bln euro German utility’s value has been smashed by its need to expensively replace Russian gas. Given Berlin is mulling a way to spread this cost, Uniper shares may yet rebound. The outcome may wind up being more generous than its main Finnish shareholder deserves.

Gazprom investors lack Rosneft’s Qatari airbag

1 Jul 2022

Moscow blocked the $93 bln gas giant’s 2021 dividend, but approved that of its $73 bln oil peer. In general the Kremlin, which is replacing its own Gazprom payout with a tax, isn’t fussed about riling Western investors. Doha’s Rosneft stake makes the driller a rare exception.

Capital Calls: Kohl’s future, Aerojet fight

1 Jul 2022

Concise views on global finance: The U.S. retailer walked away from a deal with Franchise Group, leaving it to weather a potential recession alone. Meanwhile, Aerojet CEO's victory against her executive chairman culminates in a board mess.