Money‚ Semiconductors

Nvidia probe lets China have cake and eat it

10 Dec 2024

Beijing has started an antitrust investigation into the $3.4 trln firm. Coming after more US tech curbs on the country, the motive seems political. But Nvidia's AI chip dominance means monopoly concerns can't be dismissed. And the decision may resonate with regulators elsewhere.

Bain’s Japan chip IPO is a tough sell

3 Dec 2024

The US private equity firm will list Kioxia six years after leading the memory unit's $18 bln carve-out from Toshiba. The roughly $5 bln equity valuation means poor returns for sellers. And convincing new investors to look past Kioxia's crippling debt pile will be a slog.

Intel’s independent streak will come to an end

2 Dec 2024

Boss Pat Gelsinger is exiting the once-revolutionary chipmaker as it struggles to find a place in the future. It missed chances with Apple, Nvidia and OpenAI while its gross margin halved to 32%. A management shakeup portends a strategic one, which probably leads to a new owner.

Nvidia’s next move is to hit the road

22 Nov 2024

The $3.5 trln chipmaker gleans only 1% of sales from carmakers. Yet the unit grew 72% in the third quarter, a similar pace to rival Qualcomm. Stuffing silicon into cars could be a $140 bln market by 2028 and a crucial diversifier from relying on a few colossal data center buyers.

Gulf states wedge AI efforts between superpowers

21 Nov 2024

The United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are building home-grown silicon smarts and forging links with the likes of Microsoft. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how the region is muscling its way into a technology arms race between China and the US.

Nvidia’s growing cash hoard points to M&A

18 Nov 2024

The chip designer could have $175 bln on hand in two years, surpassing even Apple’s giant pile of liquidity. Combined with a more deal-friendly US president, it opens up acquisitions. Founder Jensen Huang’s broad ambition means optics, healthcare and robotics are possible.

AI’s next feat will be its descent from the cloud

2 Oct 2024

Tech giants hoping to spend $1 trln on data centres are struggling to secure power supplies and space. That bolsters the case for smaller artificial intelligence models that can run on devices, not a remote platform. Phone and laptop makers from Apple to Lenovo stand to benefit.

Nvidia drives path Tesla would find familiar

29 Aug 2024

Like Elon Musk’s carmaker at its peak, the $3 trln chip giant has a huge lead in a transforming industry, dented only by production glitches. Unlike Tesla, Nvidia’s valuation by some measures looks fairly sane. The bigger it gets, the higher the stakes of even small hiccups.

Trump lays bare TSMC’s inherent vulnerabilities

17 Jul 2024

The presidential candidate complained Taiwan took America's chip business and is taking subsidies. He wants it to pay for US defence too. For now, the high exposure of the island's $840 bln semiconductor giant to both Washington and Beijing is a dampener on its AI fortunes.

A South Korean EV reversal would inspire copycats

27 Jun 2024

Splitting out electric-car related assets was a popular ploy for firms like Renault and Geely to charge up valuations. But now conglomerate SK might go the other way by merging its loss-making battery business with another unit. As EV demand slows, similar reversals may follow.

Tiny Singapore’s chip hub retains a big punch

21 Jun 2024

NXP and Vanguard's new $8 bln factory in the country follows recent investments from GlobalFoundries and others. Singapore has an impressive edge in the semiconductor industry despite high costs and a shortage of space. Its neighbour Malaysia will soon test that advantage.

China cashes in banking chips for tech drive

28 May 2024

Beijing's latest $48 bln semiconductor fund is its third and largest. Unlike earlier efforts, which have relied on cash-strapped local governments, the fund counts major lenders like ICBC as investors. It marks a new and riskier phase of China's tech self-sufficiency ambitions.

Microsoft’s G42 deal puts UAE in America’s AI tent

16 Apr 2024

The $3 trln software giant is paying $1.5 bln for a minority stake in Abu Dhabi-based artificial intelligence group G42. Microsoft gets years of cloud storage business. But it also implies an end to the Gulf state’s effort to be a neutral AI counterparty to China and the US.

Biden’s subsidies are working a little too well

15 Mar 2024

The US president’s incentives for chips and clean energy have provoked a competitive scramble and raised the cost of building factories – which cuts the handouts’ real value to recipients like Intel. The risk is that investment zeal sets the scene for future gluts.

Snowflake shows how easily AI valuations can melt

29 Feb 2024

Growth slows a little and a 65-year-old CEO retires. The result: a fifth of the data firm’s $75 bln market value vanishes. It’s a sign of how much perfection is priced into AI-related stocks. Snowflakes are never alike, but when it comes to investor exuberance, tech firms can be.

Nvidia’s AI mini-bets set an example not to follow

15 Feb 2024

SoundHound AI shares surged 76% thanks to a $3.7 mln investment from the giant chipmaker. Not bad for a company likely to miss projections it set before going public in 2022. The colossal Nvidia will be fine even if SoundHound proves a dud. Coattail riders can’t say the same.

Chiplets-to-chips future featured in $35 bln deal

16 Jan 2024

Semiconductor designer Synopsys is buying Ansys, a firm which helps integrate systems. The buyer’s rich stock price should make an estimated low return tolerable. But the key is the future of the chip business: fancier technology requires more integration.

Nvidia’s AI boom outpaces China limits

21 Nov 2023

The $1 trln semiconductor company tripled revenue, despite a crackdown on exports to the giant market. Unlike Apple, which also faces risks in China, there’s no substitute for Nvidia’s chips for fueling AI. Right now, the only limit on growth is how quickly it can meet demand.

Capital Calls: Big Oil, Intel

27 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: Exxon returned $8 bln of cash to investors in the quarter, while Chevron returned some $6 bln. With investment rising and M&A on the table, investors are competing with new priorities; Intel shares jumped 10% after slowing declines in revenue.

US tech controls help and hinder China chipmakers

20 Oct 2023

Washington’s latest restrictions aim to curb Chinese access to semiconductors for AI and warfare. Beijing is years away from replicating sophisticated components and tools like those made by ASML. But the rules create opportunities for local champions such as $30 bln SMIC.