Mining

Capital Calls: Wood Group

15 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: Apollo’s aborted bid for the $1 bln UK infrastructure firm prompted a 35% share price fall.

Lithium miners unearth shovel-ready $11 bln deal

10 May 2023

Australia’s Allkem and US peer Livent are uniting to create an energy-transition titan. EV makers scrambling for battery materials should like a combined explorer and processor with no Chilean exposure. Bigger is strategically better, and helps the merger stack up financially.

Glencore’s best Teck tactic is a surgical strike

28 Apr 2023

The Swiss commodities giant has little room to sweeten its $23 bln offer for the Canadian miner without hurting its own shareholders. It can, however, afford a disproportionately higher premium to the controlling Keevil family. Common-stock owners would have to see the upside.

Chile’s lithium grab puts foreign miners on notice

21 Apr 2023

President Gabriel Boric will force producers of the EV battery metal to be junior joint-venture partners to the state. Foreign miners expected a tax hike, and global lithium supplies are diversifying. But Boric’s gambit means copper players like BHP will wonder if they’re next.

Teck breakup vote is just a battle in Glencore war

21 Apr 2023

The Canadian miner’s carve-up plan will fail if even a minority of investors vote against it next week. That’s quite possible, and would constitute an initial win for Glencore’s rival $23.5 bln offer. But the Swiss group would still face a struggle to get its own deal accepted.

Glencore Teck tweak is necessary, not sufficient

11 Apr 2023

The Swiss group’s $23 bln offer for the Canadian miner now includes up to $8 bln of cash. That means its target’s shareholders can avoid taking payment in dirty coal shares. But Glencore may still have to raise the value of the overall bid to bring Teck investors on side.

Capital Calls: IMF’s grim outlook, Electric cars

11 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: The International Monetary Fund’s medium-term forecast for the global economy is the bleakest since 1990; lower proposed mileage ratings for electric vehicles could force automakers to sell more of them to meet regulatory standards.

Glencore’s Teck gambit could slip on an oily patch

6 Apr 2023

The Swiss commodity giant’s $22 bln plan to buy its Canadian peer and spin off its coal arm offers an alternative to investors voting on Teck’s own breakup plan. Yet Glencore’s oil trading unit may hurt the value of the non-coal bit. Teck’s pitch has flaws too, but looks cleaner.

Glencore will have to dig deep for Canadian miner

3 Apr 2023

Teck Resources rejected the Swiss giant’s plan for a $23 bln all-share takeover and spinning off their combined coal units. The Canadian firm is pursuing its own split. Since the deal would help solve Glencore’s dirty-fuel problem, it will have to pay more to win over its target.

Nickel could sap electric cars’ climate batteries

31 Mar 2023

Although EVs are less emissions-intensive than gas guzzlers over a vehicle’s lifetime, their supply chains produce more greenhouse gases. Battery ingredient nickel is among the culprits. Car and cell makers may be exposed as investors and watchdogs scrutinise carbon footprints.

Capital Calls: World Bank, Bumble, Wood Group

23 Feb 2023

Concise views on global finance: The U.S. picks ex-Mastercard boss Ajay Banga to run the multilateral development bank; while the dating app’s shares are down, private equity owner Blackstone is still in the money; the UK oil services group has turned down three bids from Apollo.

BHP investors aren’t seeing the wood for the trees

21 Feb 2023

Boss Mike Henry is upgrading the $170 bln miner by selling its most polluting units, buying more energy transition metals and speeding efficiencies – while digging up good results. But shareholders eager for quick fixes don't appreciate the shift in how the giant is operating.

Vedanta will test limits of Adani contagion risk

16 Feb 2023

Investors are wary of possible funding shortfalls at Anil Agarwal’s convoluted commodities empire. He’s trying to reassure on refinancing plans for $8 bln of net debt as his peer’s problems infect Vedanta bonds. The mess will push weak edges of India Inc towards private lenders.

Glencore’s coal fudge risks satisfying no one

15 Feb 2023

The dirty fuel is booming, and made up half of the $80 bln commodity giant’s 2022 EBITDA. Green investors may want CEO Gary Nagle to phase it out faster, while financially motivated ones would favour more mining. He’s doing neither, and paying the price with a middling valuation.

Rio Tinto plays chancy round of Mongolian roulette

7 Dec 2022

After years of wrangling, the fate of a $3 bln offer for the rest of the Oyu Tolgoi copper mine’s partner heads to a vote. A win would make a key piece of growth easier to manage. If the bid fails, minority shareholders face stake dilution and Rio managers may merit the boot.

Nickel IPO puts Jakarta at centre of China EV boom

23 Nov 2022

China’s Lygend Resources, a trader-turned-producer of critical battery ingredients, is eyeing a $600 mln Hong Kong listing. A huge presence in Indonesia gives it an edge over rivals at home, where supply is scarce. That should help the company navigate a bumpy stock market.

Capital Calls: Ticketmaster and Taylor Swift

18 Nov 2022

Concise views on global finance: A meltdown involving the pop star’s upcoming “Eras” concert tour is attracting an audience on Capitol Hill and risks an unwanted corporate fight with the artist herself.

Philip Morris and Rio’s poker faces need some work

7 Nov 2022

The $139 bln Marlboro maker and $95 bln miner have upped buyout offers to try and clinch strategically key deals. In both cases, hedge funds and minority investors called their bluff. The lesson is that bidders can’t play hardball if everybody knows they really need a deal.

Gold will keep losing its irrational luster

27 Sep 2022

A pandemic, war and high inflation should be pushing the yellow metal’s price higher. Instead, at about $1,635 an ounce, it’s worth less than it was a decade ago. Miners also are extracting it at a faster rate than population growth. Farmland, for one, has become a better hedge.

Disney’s big ESPN choice, Rio Tinto Mongolia drama

15 Sep 2022

Activist Dan Loeb backed away from his demand that the $203 bln media firm sell its sports network. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists debate whether it’s the right move. And the $94 bln mining giant’s attempt to secure copper supply may need heavier machinery.