Mining

Capital Calls: Anglo American

8 Dec 2023

Concise views on global finance: After a rough year the $34 bln miner is to cut spending, but its plans are yet to include an exit from coking coal.

Glencore’s split is yet to be copper-bottomed

6 Dec 2023

Having merged its coal assets with Canadian miner Teck’s, the $70 bln Swiss group is eyeing a spinoff. But boss Gary Nagle faces a tricky call on what to do with oil trading. And the appeal of a coal-clean metals split may hinge on whether Teck’s own separation creates value.

Glencore deal is necessary detour on breakup path

14 Nov 2023

CEO Gary Nagle is buying 77% of Teck Resources’ coal arm for $6.9 bln as a prelude to a dirty-fuel spinoff. It’ll backfire if prices fall or authorities intervene. But it’s worthwhile given the reasonable valuation and chance to build a more appealing coal unit for investors.

Uncle Sam provides shaky base for Caterpillar

31 Oct 2023

The equipment maker beat third-quarter profit forecasts with help from Washington’s infrastructure bill. Yet half of the $550 bln package has been spent, and Caterpillar’s backlog is shrinking. Like other government-supported spending, federal aid can only help for so long.

Capital Calls: McDonald’s resilience

30 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Golden Arches’ global same-store sales rose 9% thanks to both selective menu-price increases and smaller meals in different markets. It demonstrates the company’s ability to keep pace with disparate economies’ stretched consumers.

Tycoon’s lithium grab leaves investors hanging

16 Oct 2023

Billionaire Gina Rinehart has stifled Albemarle’s $4.2 bln bid for Liontown with deft use of Australia’s takeover rules. Now the minerals producer has to raise cash just as prices for the key battery material are falling. She needs to show why her spoiling tactics were worth it.

Asia’s breakup party is happening under duress

4 Oct 2023

India’s Anil Agarwal is splitting his $10 bln mining company Vedanta into six. As with China’s Alibaba, the carve-up is spurred by external problems, namely debt at its unlisted parent. Tycoons are unlocking value for weary shareholders, but mostly because they have no choice.

Lithium merger is charged up by tycoon fever

27 Sep 2023

Gina Rinehart, Australia’s richest person, has bought 11% of Liontown, which is sizing up a $4 bln takeover by Albemarle. Whether she makes a full bid or not, she’s only the latest mining billionaire forcing a strategic buyer to dig deeper for an energy transition commodity.

M&A spillover in India-Canada fight hurts everyone

22 Sep 2023

As bilateral relations sour over a murder, tycoon Sajjan Jindal is going slow on his planned $8 bln consortium bid led by JSW Steel for Vancouver-based Teck’s coal assets. The stalling hurts the buyer and the seller, and India’s diversification ambitions a bit more.

Fortescue founder toys with reverse greenwashing

1 Sep 2023

Andrew Forrest has lost a CEO, a CFO and a top adviser this week. The tycoon says people only quit his $43 bln miner if they disagree with its zero emissions goal. Change and the energy transition can be disruptive. But his absolutist twist to climate spin homes in on a new risk.

Fortescue’s biggest problem sits at the top

28 Aug 2023

The $41 bln Australian iron ore miner is parting ways with CEO Fiona Hick after six months. Hers is the latest in a slew of senior departures that reflect poorly on founder and chair Andrew Forrest. Shareholders can accept he’s becoming a liability, push for his removal, or sell.

Indian interlopers can disrupt global mining M&A

25 Aug 2023

Sajjan Jindal’s JSW Steel can afford Teck’s coal unit. A full or part bid rivalling Glencore’s $8 bln offer would secure key raw materials and reduce the risk of geopolitical supply shocks. It’s a strong motive for buyers in the fastest growing market for the alloy to do deals.

BHP’s dividend cut is canary in ore mine

22 Aug 2023

Boss Mike Henry is talking up the $140 bln miner’s ability to withstand everything from lower commodities prices to China risks. He has a point. But shareholder payouts have fallen to 64% of earnings from last year’s 77%. It suggests some steeling for short-term global shocks.

China woes put global miners’ optimism to the test

21 Aug 2023

BHP boss Mike Henry and Fortescue peer Fiona Hick have remained bullish on the People’s Republic even as the country’s economy, and their own shareholders, waver. Absent Beijing unveiling a big stimulus package, the CEOs are likely to have to revise their enthusiasm.

Saudi pays rich but logical price for Vale metals

28 Jul 2023

The kingdom is buying one-tenth of the $66 bln Brazilian miner’s nickel and copper arm. The $26 bln valuation on Vale’s base metals unit is steep, but cheaper than a full takeover. It also acts as a down payment on Saudi’s efforts to become an energy transition industrial hub.

Glencore deal epitomises net zero’s reduced status

27 Jul 2023

The $75 bln miner used to argue it was better to wind down its coal assets than sell them to a less responsible owner. Now CEO Gary Nagle wants to buy a rival and spin off the enlarged coal unit. Investors, distracted by energy security and fat profits, are unlikely to stop him.

Macquarie and KPMG fall down M&A mine shaft

21 Jul 2023

The two were advisers in Aussie nickel extractor IGO’s near-$1 bln takeover of rival Western Areas. The buyer has now written down most of the asset’s value. Clawing back IGO bosses’ bonuses and the counsellors’ fees wouldn’t repair the damage, but it would be a good start.

China’s rare metals swipe has more bark than bite

4 Jul 2023

Beijing is imposing export controls over gallium and germanium, used in chips, fibre optics and military equipment. This confirms Western fears that the country might leverage its strategic metals dominance to push back on sanctions. Yet market realities blunt China’s edge.  

Capital Calls: London crypto move, Stellantis SPAC

12 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak welcomes Andreessen Horowitz’s UK office just as cryptocurrencies face a regulatory crackdown in the US; the European carmaker’s move to back a London blank-check vehicle is less hairy than it sounds.

Glencore’s Bunge redux may yield Teck benefits

26 May 2023

The Swiss commodity giant could merge the agri-trader it part-owns with its $14 bln US-listed peer. A Bunge deal would be oddly timed, and Glencore has other ways to raise cash. But the bid may offer a way to spur Glencore’s share price as it mulls a new offer for Canada’s Teck.