Yahoo could find closure by way of Chinese bid 3 Oct 2011 Talk that Alibaba founder Jack Ma might buy Yahoo outright sounds like overkill: what he really wants is the 40 pct of his company Yahoo owns. But if U.S. regulators can stomach it, a Ma-led buyout and break-up of the search engine would be a neat solution to Yahoo’s woes.
Brazil’s role in steel deal hints of protectionism 3 Oct 2011 Tycoon Benjamin Steinbruch has put Brasilia and rivals in a pickle by trying to take control of steelmaker Usiminas. That might give him power to up-end policies that curb imports and force Brazilians to pay excessively for steel. Unfortunately, Steinbruch’s chances are slim.
HP would make lucrative Oracle target 3 Oct 2011 A selloff has left HP vulnerable, possibly even to Larry Ellison’s firm. HP is cheap, despite its pricey deal for Autonomy. Even paying a 40 percent premium, Oracle could reap a hefty 16 percent return on investment, a Breakingviews analysis suggests. And that’s before any cost savings.
Blocking a deal isn’t always best antitrust answer 30 Sep 2011 When Live Nation merged with TicketMaster, the prognosis for competition in the live music and ticketing business wasn’t good. Concessions extracted by U.S. regulators seemed bitty. But nearly two years on, rivals are flourishing. Live Nation doesn’t look so dominant any more.
It’s FTSE or bust for Russian miners in London 30 Sep 2011 Polymetal has become the latest to seek a full premium listing in London. The precious metals miner is upping its free float to get into the FTSE 100, expanding the universe of investors and boosting liquidity. It’s a reminder that the attractions of just listing GDRs are fading.
LSE-SGX move on metals exchange would make sense 30 Sep 2011 Joint bids tend to be hard. But the London and Singapore bourses may benefit by partnering in a possible $1.6 bln bid for London’s metals exchange. LSE gets a partner that already handles metals futures; SGX gets local know-how. That matters in a potentially hot auction.
P&G’s Pringles partner warrants careful taste test 26 Sep 2011 The consumer giant wants investors to swap P&G stock for shares in Diamond Foods as part of a $2.4 bln deal to offload the chips brand. But financial wrinkles and angry walnut growers are among possible concerns. P&G holders may want to check the contents of the package closely.
United Tech’s $16.5 bln buy relies on debt markets 22 Sep 2011 The nearly 50 pct premium it’s paying for Goodrich might have been lower if United Tech’s intentions hadn’t been leaked. But low interest rates, strong demand for blue-chip debt and a good fit should make the deal easier for shareholders to swallow despite the jet-fueled price.
Foster’s gets full measure from SABMiller 21 Sep 2011 Boozy rows between the Australian and UK brewers are history. Like most hostile M&A, this has turned friendly with a sweetener from SAB. Torrid markets and the absence of rival bidders mean Foster’s has done especially well to extract a punchy $10 bln-plus cash offer.
Masters of synergies create few for themselves 16 Sep 2011 To support the M&A ambitions of their clients, investment bankers routinely claim 1+1=3. Yet since JPMorgan, BofA and Barclays bought Bear, Merrill and Lehman, respectively, each has shed, not gained, market share. These numbers, at least, undermine Wall Street’s deal math.
Rivals may learn from McGraw-Hill’s education spin 12 Sep 2011 The carve-up is long overdue as Standard & Poor’s never fit well with textbooks and teaching materials. Spinning off education could make it easier to sell. It should also turn up the heat at the likes of Pearson and Washington Post to consider similar breakups.
Broadcom chip deal has tech rarity: logical price 12 Sep 2011 The network chip maker is paying a huge 57 pct premium for NetLogic. But the $3.7 bln deal’s rationale is sound, and the price is reasonable considering NetLogic’s prospects. With tech valuations subdued, other companies with cash hoards may find it’s a good time to go shopping.
Google’s Zagat purchase looks cheap and cheerful 9 Sep 2011 The restaurant reviewer’s brand is well regarded, but its model of selling user-generated content had little future in a post-Yelp world. Google can integrate Zagat reviews with its maps, social network, and other services and sell related ads. This deal should score highly.
Interest in Spanish airports sale is deceptive 9 Sep 2011 The $7.5 bln privatisation of Madrid and Barcelona airports has attracted considerable attention. Six groups are lining up to bid for each. But the timetable is tight, the concessions short, and the prices steep. An auction will struggle to get off the ground.
Ohio oil promises new bonanza for Texas bankers 7 Sep 2011 The first takeover deal in the Utica shale may be modest, but it’s only a start. Some $38 bln of shale-related deals this year account for 80 pct of U.S. exploration M&A. If Ohio’s rock formation yields even half its touted oil trove, energy financiers should be sitting pretty.
Tony Hayward joins risky Kurdish oil rush 7 Sep 2011 The ex-BP boss’s M&A vehicle has landed its first target, a $4 bln merger with Kurdistan’s top oil producer. The deal is part regulatory arbitrage, and part a bet that Iraqi politics will turn good for oil firms. On conventional metrics, it’s a bargain. But it brings major risks.
Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala humbled in Carlyle IPO 7 Sep 2011 The Abu Dhabi fund may have lost up to half the value of its $1.85 bln signature investment in the U.S. private equity firm. Mubadala looks to have clawed back some of its losses on its original 2007 punt in 2010, but it’s unlikely to be enough to spare the emirate’s blushes.
AT&T bet on T-Mobile puts CEO, board in crosshairs 6 Sep 2011 The U.S. telco has wagered $6 bln that it can beat regulatory opposition and buy T-Mobile USA. The net benefit of the $39 bln purchase could be in the same ballpark. But few experts thought the odds were better than 50-50. The AT&T boss and directors may have made a poor call.
UK bank upstart seeks two-step path to Lloyds deal 6 Sep 2011 NBNK is mulling an offer for the UK assets of National Australia Bank. A successful deal could give the bid vehicle an advantage in acquiring the branches Lloyds is being forced to sell. But in tough markets, convincing investors to cough up the cash looks a challenge.
Beijing’s role in CCB share sale is troubling 5 Sep 2011 China’s main foreign reserve fund has reportedly bought shares sold by Bank of America in the Chinese lender. The price looks low, and the shares yield more than US Treasuries. But increasing state exposure to banks, and using reserves to stabilise their share prices, isn’t wise.