Europe’s industrial mess has protectionist endgame 26 Oct 2022 Manufacturers like Germany’s $42 bln BASF face a toxic brew of high energy prices at home and rising risks in China. That implies a freeze on new investment, and a loss of market share to foreign players. To stop that, European states may ultimately intervene with tariffs.
Capital Calls: TSMC 13 Oct 2022 Concise views on global finance: The $324 bln Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing barely addressed questions regarding U.S. technology export controls on China during its earnings call.
U.S. high-tech chip curb risks lower-tech blowback 11 Oct 2022 Washington’s export controls hinder China from developing advanced semiconductors needed for supercomputers and the like. But the ban may prompt Chinese chipmakers to hasten their progress in the commoditised parts of the market, embedding firms like SMIC in global supply chains.
Capital Calls: Peloton races tough economic cycle 6 Oct 2022 Concise views on global finance: The $2.9 bln fitness company is laying off staff for the fourth time this year in a turnaround bid for survival.
South Korea gets short end of U.S. trade stick 3 Oct 2022 Seoul wants to sell more chips and other goods overseas, but Washington is luring Samsung and compatriots to make in America. A trade deficit and crashing won offer a glimpse at what a U.S. revival in high-tech manufacturing means for the $1.8 trln trade-dependent Asian economy.
Capital Calls: ECB rate hike 8 Sep 2022 Concise views on global finance: Europe’s central bank risks recession to combat inflation.
Intel makes chips look almost like infrastructure 23 Aug 2022 Brookfield is putting up half the cost of two $30 bln Arizona plants, at a rate somewhere between what Intel pays for equity and debt. Yet chips are riskier than traditional infrastructure, suggesting Intel is giving up more than its partner to make the deal work financially.
Geely’s export success warns global rivals 19 Aug 2022 The $21 bln Chinese carmaker is growing overseas, despite political headwinds and consumer skepticism. Electric vehicles are targeted to make up half its sales by 2023. Boss Li Shufu is best known for acquiring Volvo, but now his own brands can compete in Europe and beyond.
Capital Calls: Illumina, Peloton 12 Aug 2022 Concise views on global finance: Growth is stagnating at the $30 bln DNA sequencing company, and regulatory problems with its Grail deal are also coming into view; a class action lawsuit against the virtual fitness outfit provides an unlikely reminder of its former glory days.
Carmakers’ China decline is global warning 5 Aug 2022 Even as the People’s Republic loosens ownership restrictions on foreign manufacturers, Stellantis is closing its local Jeep factory. Domestic rivals took over 50% of the world’s largest car market in 2021. The worry for Western giants is that competition accelerates elsewhere.
Chinese chip IPO is bet on double self-sufficiency 3 Aug 2022 Hygon is launching a $1.6 bln Shanghai float. Its joint venture blacklisted by Washington with U.S.-based AMD gave it a boost in microprocessors, an area Beijing wants to cut foreign reliance on. The huge valuation premium spotlights its hope for success as it goes alone.
China’s economic plight ups Pelosi visit risks 2 Aug 2022 Despite Beijing’s warnings, U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi landed in Taiwan on Tuesday. Slowing growth and supply chain constraints make it hard for China to retaliate against American or Taiwanese firms. Oddly, that makes a military showdown more likely.
CATL can pull off its risky reshuffle 2 Aug 2022 A director and second-largest shareholder at the $194 bln battery maker has quit and founder Robin Zeng is now both chair and general manager. Such moves can be red flags for investors. But as CATL goes global, a familiar face at the top is for now more reassuring than not.
GM and Ford are now juggling three crises 27 Jul 2022 The U.S. automakers are starting to figure out Covid-driven shortages – that was the first pickle. But long-term risks to both pricing and lithium supplies will make it more difficult to efficiently grow EVs. Plus pent-up demand only covers for a weakening consumer for so long.
Russia is giving German industry a slow puncture 27 Jul 2022 Industrial users of gas are in the firing line as Moscow halts supply. Companies like BASF face a hit from higher input costs and energy rationing, rather than a Uniper-style bailout. The problem for Berlin is that sustained high prices could make production head elsewhere.
VW’s CEO ouster heralds less noise, more muddle 25 Jul 2022 The $86 bln carmaker replaced Herbert Diess with Oliver Blume. It loses a bold champion of electric vehicles, but also one prone to gaffes and weakened by union battles. The decision to keep Blume in charge of both VW and Porsche, meanwhile, muddies the latter’s looming IPO.
Capital Calls: Royal Mail, Europe’s chip champion 20 Jul 2022 Concise views on global finance: Britain’s postal provider is eyeing a potentially messy separation, but a nationalisation would make more sense; shares of ASML, which provides cutting-edge machines for chipmaking, look more appealing despite inflation and geopolitical worries.
Kraft has secret sauce in UK grocer food fight 4 Jul 2022 Supermarkets like Tesco are dropping the U.S. food giant’s wares after “unjustifiable” price hikes. That earns brownie points from shoppers and shunts politicians’ gaze to Kraft’s beefier margins. But less choice on the shelves may push business to cut-price rivals like Aldi.
Capital Calls: Fed faces inflation divergence 30 Jun 2022 Concise views on global finance: The central bank’s preferred measure of rising prices, the U.S. personal consumption index, rose 6.3% in May. That’s more subdued than the surging consumer price index. But the latter offers a better read on household spending.
Toshiba ballot tees up a fresh Japan litmus test 27 Jun 2022 The $18 bln conglomerate backed board candidates from pushy investors Elliott and Farallon to rebuild shareholder trust. Then it helped broadcast another director’s opposition to them, undermining the effort. How domestic funds vote will gauge corporate governance progress.