Counting the cost of the US-China chip war 11 Apr 2023 Six months into Washington’s sweeping export restrictions on semiconductors, Chinese and global chipmakers including TSMC are navigating the fallout. In this Exchange podcast, author Chris Miller talks about the fight for the critical technology and how Beijing may retaliate.
Pirelli will help read China investment tea leaves 4 Apr 2023 Sinochem has denied plans to ditch a 37% stake in the Italian tyremaker. But Beijing’s pressure on state-controlled firms to boost shareholder value and dump non-core assets may lead to a sale. Pirelli’s fate will have a bearing on China’s $1 trln overseas portfolio.
Capital Calls: H&M, UK car goals 30 Mar 2023 Concise views on global finance: The $20 bln Swedish retailer’s investors seem to think the worst has passed; Britain has loosened its ambition to phase out combustion engine cars, but the big question is how many green vehicles will be made domestically.
EU and US green arms race misses bigger picture 16 Mar 2023 The European Union’s response to Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act gives member states leeway to push back with their own green subsidies. Yet plans for production targets are misguided. To decarbonise while managing China risks, it’s better to seek common ground with the US.
Seoul and Tokyo demonstrate chip war limits 16 Mar 2023 Japan may ease curbs put on high-tech materials exports to South Korea after a four-year diplomatic spat. The impact was minimal; companies like Samsung found easy workarounds. The United States and China face similar difficulties decoupling sophisticated supply chain links.
Make-in-India dials up a tycoon premium 6 Mar 2023 Foxconn is leading a charge by foreigners to team up with local giants including Tata and Vedanta. Such partners can help cut red tape and tap subsidies, freeing up incoming manufacturers to focus on boosting production quality. For now, it is a win-win for those scaling up fast.
Capital Calls: Adobe’s lose-lose Figma bind 24 Feb 2023 Concise views on global finance: Shareholders in the $160 bln design technology firm seem to have decided that the only thing worse than doing its blockbuster deal for rival Figma is losing it.
Rolls-Royce strategy bind is a problem best shared 23 Feb 2023 Shares in the $13 bln UK engineer surged as it moved on from pandemic losses. Yet it still needs to spend big on new tech to get ready for the energy transition. Given the costs outweigh its scope to do so, Rolls ought to share them via partnerships with big aircraft makers.
Stellantis has well-padded airbag for car crunch 22 Feb 2023 The Jeep maker’s operating income hit record levels in 2022, but it faces weaker demand from punters and rising competition. Still, CEO Carlos Tavares’s cost cutting and low exposure to China give cause for positivity. Those pluses aren’t reflected in the Stellantis share price.
Kyocera chief’s China swipe is half-convincing 22 Feb 2023 Hideo Tanimoto, who leads the $19 bln Japanese chip supplier, said the country is not a “viable” export manufacturing base. That’s hyperbole, but a winnowing of foreign firms in China is likely. Politics is a factor, but financial and competitive realities are more important.
Capital Calls: Schneider’s sustainable CEO 16 Feb 2023 Concise views on global finance: Jean-Pascal Tricoire’s departure as chief executive of the French industrial software group after nearly two decades at the helm defies the trend of short-lived or underperforming corporate bosses.
America isn’t quitting gas guzzlers yet 3 Feb 2023 Despite tit-for-tat discounts in the electric market, GM and Ford wrung $6 bln of operating profit by increasing prices overall this quarter – and they don’t expect to give it up. It’s an indicator that, even after a banner year for EVs, the U.S. may be slow to give up trucks.
Europe’s autos have weak defences against China 1 Feb 2023 Carmakers like Stellantis and Volkswagen are facing greater competition on their home turf from Chinese rivals. Higher tariffs or government subsidies might soothe the pain, but could also prompt a backlash in the Middle Kingdom. And Europe may even welcome the competition.
Capital Calls: Data falsehoods 26 Jan 2023 Concise views on global finance: Better-than-expected U.S. GDP and durable goods data suggest the country might be spared from a recession. But exclude Boeing sales and corporate stockpiling, and the economic outlook is less rosy.
Rough chip waters give ASML little room for error 25 Jan 2023 The Dutch giant expects sales to grow by a chunky 25% in 2023. Clients’ fear of missing out on an economic rebound is propping up demand for its equipment. Yet rising costs and the risk of a widening export ban to China may take the shine off the $264 bln group’s rich valuation.
German economic engine is due an overhaul 23 Jan 2023 Slowing global trade hit the country’s exports while higher energy prices boosted imports. The current account surplus shrank last year to 4% of GDP, its lowest level since 2003. As globalisation recedes, Berlin has to reassess the old export-led economic model.
Orsted increasingly merits its investor blowback 20 Jan 2023 The $38 bln Danish wind farm group flagged lower-than-expected 2023 targets as its key offshore arm struggled. Shareholders always granted Orsted a premium valuation, due to growth expected from new projects. Construction delays and rising rates are putting that in question.
Capital Calls: British jolt 17 Jan 2023 Concise views on global finance: The collapse of UK battery group Britishvolt leaves a gaping hole in the country’s auto manufacturing sector.
Cheaper gas is temporary salve for Europe Inc 9 Jan 2023 Warm winter days and enough reserves to offset Russian imports have halved the fuel’s cost. Yet Europe’s energy security also hinges on abundant liquefied natural gas purchases. As China’s fuel-guzzling economy reopens post-Covid, industrial giants like BASF may still suffer.
Automakers won’t go back to normal 4 Jan 2023 Covid-era shortages weren’t all bad for the industry. Prices soared amid tight supply, adding $7 bln to profits at GM alone. Car companies are trying to manage inventory so that supply and demand – now falling – will match up. They only have so much in their control.