A pinch of salt could unsettle electric-car order 7 Feb 2024 Carmakers Stellantis and BYD are betting on sodium-based batteries. The cells’ bulk and need for more frequent charging mean they may struggle to drive lithium tech off the road. But affordability and the prospect of loosening China’s grip on the industry will spur adoption.
Korea’s battery giants engineer volatile US gains 2 Feb 2024 LGES and Samsung SDI have announced more than $18 bln of investments to build factories Stateside. Thanks to generous tax credits from Washington, those bets could pay off. But slowing EV growth and policy risk – amplified by US elections this year – will be an unstable mix.
ASML is underplaying its strengths 24 Jan 2024 The semiconductor giant kept its 2024 outlook reined in despite hefty quarterly earnings. US and Dutch export controls that affect chipmaking tools have begun to dip into China sales. But a hefty orders backlog and rising chip demand should help the $330 bln group fly higher.
CATL prepares to power up wildest electric dreams 5 Dec 2023 The world’s largest battery maker boasts $14 bln in net cash, making a possible Hong Kong listing seem unnecessary. But the extra funds would help CATL grow in Europe and could potentially fuel explosive expansion in Southeast Asia and the US too.
Foxconn is still running with difficult status quo 27 Nov 2023 Terry Gou’s exit from Taiwan’s presidential election race may shield the $45 bln firm he founded from immediate political crossfire from Beijing. However, the Apple supplier’s push to move production outside of China leaves it firmly on frontlines of rising cross-strait tensions.
Renault electric acceleration can swerve IPO 15 Nov 2023 The French carmaker is eyeing 25 bln euros of revenue in 2031 for its battery ride unit Ampere. Capturing the full value of that through an IPO may be tricky in the short term given a sluggish EV market. A listing would be a distraction, and Renault doesn’t really need the money.
Capital Calls: Goodyear, Target 15 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: By offloading assets, the 125-year-old tire maker is succumbing to a similar overhaul as many other iconic US industrial centenarians; the $60 bln retailer has finally taken aim at what it can control – keeping watch over inventory and costs.
Capital Calls: Disney’s Marvel flop, US inflation 14 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: Bob Iger’s prized acquisitions Marvel, Pixar and Lucasfilm are losing their mojo, just as his dealmaking mettle is being tested; inflation has eased even as growth looks strong, but warnings from consumers and companies signal potential weakness.
Workers are missing cog in US manufacturing gears 7 Nov 2023 Government subsidies have sparked a construction bonanza, with spending on microchip, EV and other factories running at an annualized pace of $200 bln, 60% more than a year ago. Buying the needed equipment comes next. Filling all the new jobs, however, will be the hardest part.
Orsted’s losing US bets need rethink of UK plans 1 Nov 2023 The Danish wind giant lost a fifth of its value after a surprising $4 bln impairment in the States. That erases most of the capex spent there. Yet it still wants to invest in the world’s biggest economy to meet its lofty targets, a risky gamble that requires restraint in Britain.
Foxconn’s China woes expose supply chain dilemma 24 Oct 2023 A tax probe is hitting the Apple supplier ahead of a key Taiwanese election in which founder Terry Gou is running for president. It may complicate the manufacturer’s plan to move production outside China. Other multinationals will learn from Foxconn the true cost of reshoring.
China’s graphite curbs send green warning shot 20 Oct 2023 Beijing is introducing export controls for a key EV battery material, following fresh US tech restrictions. With 90% of global processing capacity in the People’s Republic, the West will struggle to go it alone. Carmakers’ dependence on the People’s Republic is here to stay.
German auto ram-raid warrants careful driving 20 Oct 2023 Schaeffler is buying car-parts maker Vitesco, both controlled by the same family, for $4 bln. Minority shareholders can choose between a low price now or an uncertain future in a conglomerate. Schaeffler can probably get away with its smash and grab, but it might backfire later.
Capital Calls: Germany, Schaeffler 9 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s resounding defeat in key local elections on Sunday sends a message to Brussels; the German group’s 3.6 bln euro acquisition of auto supplier Vitesco makes sense in an era of greater competition.
Capital Calls: Alstom cash crunch 5 Oct 2023 Concise views on global finance: The French train maker’s management is in the spotlight after it warned on free cash flow for the year, sending its shares down 35%.
Germany risks letting a good crisis go to waste 3 Oct 2023 Europe’s largest economy is on track to shrink this year. The immediate causes are lower exports to China and higher energy prices. But decades of under-investment will continue to crimp growth unless Berlin ditches its hostility to fiscal stimulus and comprehensive reforms.
China’s EV makers would steer around EU roadblock 14 Sep 2023 A Brussels probe may mean hefty tariffs on battery-powered cars imported from the People’s Republic. BYD, Nio and peers could start making them in the bloc, which accounts for a quarter of global EV sales. Focusing on Asia and Latin America, though, would make more sense.
China is bitter medicine for Europe’s EV pivot 12 Sep 2023 Ditching EU combustion engines by 2035 requires carmakers like VW to rapidly boost sales of battery rides. That’s a challenge when electric cars are pricier than gasoline ones. Competition from China will lift take-up and force Western players to become more efficient.
VinFast’s volatile stock has an easy, painful fix 30 Aug 2023 Vietnam’s nascent electric-car maker capped a flighty first fortnight on Nasdaq with a 44% fall on Tuesday. Blame its tiny sub-1% free float. Selling new shares would reduce trading swings and raise cash the $107 bln firm will soon need. It requires crashing its zippy valuation.
India’s laptop ban hints at limits of onshoring 18 Aug 2023 Modi’s government is restricting the import of the hardware while incentivising manufacturers to make more in the giant emerging market. It’s late, though. Dell, HP and others have diversified from China to Southeast Asia. By pushing hard, India risks upsetting its neighbours.