DuPont’s big breakup could be second-time lucky 23 May 2024 The chemicals giant has merged, split, bought, sold – and created, on its face, little value. But the centuries-old firm’s defining challenge has been how to shed old businesses in favor of new. A final split to create three simple, racier units is a better bet to work.
Manufacturing’s re-heating leaves consumers cold 21 May 2024 Goods makers are ramping up production, with global new orders expanding for the third month in a row in April. That may lead to an industrial rebound following the services-driven post-pandemic recovery. But getting cash-poor consumers to buy the merchandise will be a challenge.
German consumer is poor substitute for China trade 21 May 2024 Consumption is up but won’t be enough to lift the country out of its funk, with growth of just 0.2% this year. Exports to the People’s Republic are threatened by worsening relations between Brussels and Beijing. Meanwhile a split Berlin government looks unable to launch reforms.
China tests EU resolve on export trade fight 14 May 2024 France’s Emmanuel Macron got little to show from President Xi Jinping’s European tour this month. In this Exchange podcast, MERICS expert Grzegorz Stec explains the difficulty of managing ties with Beijing and why balancing risk and business opportunity is so tricky.
Arm encounters the AI bubble’s ups and downs 9 May 2024 The $110 bln chip designer reported record revenue in the fourth quarter, but investors disliked a less punchy outlook. Big Tech’s AI-fuelled data centre land grab is powering Arm’s revenue and margins. But its toppy valuation means any perceived upset gets punished.
New ASML CEO’s job is harder than it might look 9 May 2024 The $360 bln Dutch firm is the sole maker of machines that produce the most advanced chips for Intel and TSMC. New boss Christophe Fouquet effectively runs a monopoly. But he still faces risks from staff retention, China-US spats, and as-yet-opaque risks to ASML’s domination.
Alstom cash call is just first stop on rescue ride 8 May 2024 The indebted French train maker announced a 1 bln euro capital hike, which was smaller than it could have been thanks to funky hybrid debt. The next job for boss Henri Poupart-Lafarge is to generate cash. A fast-growing industry backdrop gives investors a reason to hop aboard.
The Agnellis’ risky Philips bet starts to pay off 29 Apr 2024 The Dutch group settled its US faulty sleeping aid claims for a manageable $1.1 bln, lifting its stock 35%. The relatively quick fix vindicates Exor CEO John Elkann’s $3 bln punt on Philips when legal worries kept investors away. It may also shift the thinking on big litigations.
Winner’s curse unfairly haunts $7 bln paper deal 19 Apr 2024 UK-based Mondi dropped its pursuit of DS Smith, handing victory to rival US bidder International Paper. The victor’s shares have lagged the sector, suggesting its investors see little value in the deal. If the promised cost savings appear, that view may be too pessimistic.
Remaking Made in India will be a long slog 19 Apr 2024 Despite capturing iPhone production, a $24 bln scheme to become the world's factory is ripe for a reset. Officials are learning the hard way that subsidies and cheap labour aren't enough to lure investment. Lower import tariffs would help, cooperation with China is a necessity.
TSMC’s high-tech stock beset by low-tech problems 18 Apr 2024 Shares of Taiwan's $640 bln tech titan are up 36% this year thanks to its AI chip dominance. Yet they trade at a decade-high valuation discount to peers. Geopolitical risk is one factor, as are sluggish handset sales and over-expansion fears. All look out of TSMC's control.
Vietnam’s stability gets rude $24 bln shock 18 Apr 2024 At nearly 6% of GDP, a rescue of Saigon Commercial Bank is just shy of how much rich nations spent on bailouts during the financial crisis. The fallout will ripple through boardrooms around the world. The Asian country looks unstable as its importance in supply chains rises.
How Boeing’s woes change everything but planes 11 Apr 2024 Grave problems with the jetmaker’s 737 MAX have sparked a crisis. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain whether rival Airbus offers a template for policymakers, the impact of a US export champion floundering, and why others may struggle to capitalize.
Capital Calls: Philips 10 Apr 2024 Concise views on global finance: The Dutch company’s CEO Roy Jakobs secured a win by finalising a settlement with US regulators over faulty sleep aids. But myriad other potentially costly cases remain open, justifying an ongoing share-price discount.
Airbus obsessives have a shaky grasp of history 9 Apr 2024 The $140 bln pan-European group is flying high as rival Boeing stutters. Now carmakers and others are wondering if similar collaboration could help them face down overseas competitors. But Airbus’s idiosyncrasies and convoluted road to success make copycat plans pie-in-the-sky.
Capital Calls: Green vehicles 3 Apr 2024 Concise views on global finance: French shipping and logistics heavyweight CMA CGM has acquired a 10% stake in Flexis, a joint venture set up by Volvo and Renault to develop electric vans in Europe.
TSMC’s most complex engineering task is itself 3 Apr 2024 The $625 bln chipmaker has built a monopoly in advanced semiconductors by staying in Taiwan. Now it’s expanding abroad, spurred by subsidies and US-China tensions. Despite higher costs, it can generate decent returns. The bigger challenge will be keeping its technological edge.
Profitability is next sacrifice at inflation altar 2 Apr 2024 Central bankers want LVMH, Pepsi and others to pay higher wages without raising prices. Bottom lines in the euro zone already have dipped to 40% of output, the lowest rate since 2020, and Big Tech accounts for most US margin growth. CEOs and investors can expect leaner times.
Capital Calls: Packaging M&A 8 Mar 2024 Concise views on global finance: A potential 11 bln pound tie-up of UK-listed packaging companies DS Smith and Mondi will rest on yet-to-be-disclosed synergies.
Nickel rout is energy-transition warning for West 8 Mar 2024 Prices of the battery metal have halved in a year, leaving many mines unprofitable or mothballed. Indonesia’s China-backed industry now dominates. Piecemeal aid and a green premium push are unlikely to alter that. Absent smart planning, copper and lithium are vulnerable, too.