Manufacturing

ASML’s sunny AI destination has a cloudy roadmap

15 Nov 2024

The $270 bln semiconductor equipment maker has stuck to its 2030 sales guidance, thanks to growing data centre needs. But chipmakers’ strife, politics, and weak smartphone demand remain near-term headaches. Investors may like ASML’s destination, but the route there looks bumpy.

German M&A flurry is powered by lasting tailwinds

4 Nov 2024

Teutonic deal volumes are below their 2021 peak, like everywhere else. Yet a burst of activity, including the $15 bln privatisation of DB Schenker and $16 bln Covestro sale, show signs of life. Radical changes to the country’s industrial model imply an enduring rebound.

Grim VW numbers give CEO a mandate for shake-up

30 Oct 2024

The 46 bln euro carmaker reported a 21% year-on-year operating profit slump in the first nine months of 2024. That may help boss Oliver Blume push through a restructuring of its ailing core brand. It’s a necessary but risky move, and other problems, like China, are getting worse.

Ford’s ride-the-brakes strategy is hard to steer

29 Oct 2024

The Detroit carmaker has trimmed electric vehicle plans that nonetheless lost $1.2 bln last quarter. Meanwhile, the airbag of gas-guzzler profit is deflating on quality and supply issues. Boss Jim Farley says it’s safer to forestall the future. He’s struggling to prove it.

Tesla gives its faithful just enough good news

23 Oct 2024

Shares in Elon Musk’s $700 bln carmaker surged as operating profit rose 54%. That owes more to cost cuts than growth, but along with heady sales predictions, it overshadowed a disappointing robotaxi reveal. The rub is whether that’s enough to justify investors getting charged up.

GM clings to its first in class status

22 Oct 2024

The $60 bln carmaker beat expectations for the third quarter in a row. Electric investments are paying off, high prices haven’t scared consumers and it has a path back to robotaxis. Right now, GM is golden. Yet from subsidies to tech breakthroughs, its ranking may be challenged.

Boeing starts to tick off its pre-flight checklist

21 Oct 2024

If workers and markets go along, the $100 bln jet-maker’s new labor contract and a capital raise would stabilize its finances. Next to fix are cultural and technical woes that mired it in a government-capped production slump. The union compact and smart downsizing can help both.

Boeing cash patch will be ripped off

15 Oct 2024

The aviation giant will raise money to fill a hole caused, most recently, by a worker strike. Debt weighs heavy and selling $12 bln in stock would help. But additional funds offset new problems, rather than fix Boeing’s plentiful existing ones. The cost of dilution will be high.

China’s EU reply cuts odds of damaging tit-for-tat

8 Oct 2024

Days after Brussels voted for electric-vehicle tariffs, Beijing penalised European brandy. Pork, dairy and pricey cars may be next. Yet the moves are well-flagged. And more damaging retorts, like hitting luxury or $9 bln of aircraft-linked imports, seem unlikely for now.

EV tariffs are only the first step in EU-China war

4 Oct 2024

Despite internal squabbles, member states voted for levies on imported Chinese battery cars. That may help onshore production, but doesn’t tackle China’s clout in hybrid vehicles and batteries. New trade battles are likely: autos and their supply chains are in the firing line.

Autos’ car crash ups the likelihood of EU airbags

30 Sep 2024

Stellantis and Volkswagen delivered big profit warnings, amid falling demand for cars. Their woes may encourage policymakers to vote through tariffs on Chinese rivals and go easy on EU carbon fines. But falling output and strained consumers mean carmakers need self-help too.

Mercedes’ China motor hits one of two roadblocks

20 Sep 2024

The $64 bln German carmaker warned of collapsing profitability this year, as a real estate bust in its key Chinese market hurt demand. Lower margins weaken scope for big shareholder payouts. Yet political tensions also raise the risk of unpleasant future tariff surprises.

ASML faces bigger problems than China

16 Sep 2024

Fears of US tech export curbs have pummelled the $320 bln Dutch firm’s shares. A longer-term worry is that the growth of AI leads to new technologies, and less need for ASML’s machines that make chips smaller and efficient. That, more than trade wars, may hurt its rich valuation.

Elon Musk’s bully pulpit is coming into focus

13 Aug 2024

The Tesla boss’ two-hour online chat with Republican candidate Donald Trump was a mess. Yet it shows how his web of infrastructure-like businesses, from rockets to energy storage, hold growing sway in the political arena. The result may be a less-than-virtuous cycle.

Flying PIIGS nations stir rethink in Europe’s core

12 Aug 2024

Former crisis economies like Spain, Greece and Italy have outpaced France and Germany by up to 20% since the pandemic. Lower exposure to manufacturing, a tourism boom and Brussels funds all helped. The role reversal may push Berlin to tolerate looser fiscal and monetary policy.

Boeing’s new CEO has vital copilot training to do

31 Jul 2024

The $120 bln plane-maker recruited former Rockwell Collins boss Kelly Ortberg to lead a tortuous turnaround. His engineering and aviation experience will help, as should some newly hired deputies. Along with the many operational challenges, a solid succession plan is a priority.

Carmakers drive efficiency hopes into a ditch

25 Jul 2024

The shares of carmakers Nissan and Stellantis fell around 7% after weak results. The tough US market is hurting sales, erodes the European group’s high margins and hinders its Japanese peer’s turnaround. Unsold cars and cautious consumers mean any recovery will take time.

Porsche looks stuck in rival Ferrari’s slipstream

24 Jul 2024

The 64 bln euro group’s shares have stalled since a 2022 float, and its valuation trails the Italian group by miles. Competition in China and production snafus may hold it back. The risk is that investors value the 911 maker like a normal carmaker, rather than a luxury group.

Donald Trump might be bad for EVs, good for Tesla

23 Jul 2024

The electric-car giant’s US sales are down and rivals are rising. Yet boss Elon Musk has thrown in with Trump, whose vow to end government support could crimp EV sales by 27%. Thing is, that hurts others more. For Tesla, maintaining dominance as it pushes beyond cars matters.

Boeing and Airbus headwinds are hard to escape

23 Jul 2024

The troubled US jet maker and its European rival aren’t delivering as many planes as customers want. On this Exchange podcast, AirInsight co-founder Addison Schonland explains how some problems stretch back to Covid, whether a third player can break the duopoly, and much more.