Management & Leadership

Capital Calls: Unilever, Shopify

4 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: The consumer goods company may need to backtrack on a pay package for its incoming CEO to quell a shareholder revolt; shares in Canadian e-commerce firm Shopify shot up over 20% after it said it was selling its logistics business to Flexport.

Telecom Italia is stuck in risky game of chicken

4 May 2023

The telco’s board must decide on rival bids from KKR and state investor CDP for its fixed-line grid. None comes close to the 31 bln euro price wanted by top investor Vivendi, but cash is needed to slash debt. If neither side blinks, the group could face a messy capital increase.

At Starbucks, hot is the new cold

3 May 2023

Shares in the $130 bln coffee company dropped 8% after it said it would keep doing what it’s doing. That’s harsh. Since the last downturn, Starbucks’ focus on mobile has given it an edge. It is more recession-proof, which is key against low-cost competitors.

Capital Calls: Europe’s JPMorgan, UniCredit

3 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: BNP Paribas is sucking up deposits while other rivals lose them, but its 12% return on equity goal looks uninspiring; the Italian bank’s CEO Andrea Orcel raised his financial targets for 2023, but may not rush a BPM swoop.

Oil AGMs presage awkward investor decoupling

28 Apr 2023

BP sailed through its annual shareholder meeting without much blowback on how it had backtracked on climate goals. That will embolden competitors to dismiss pro-green investors’ concerns, and give more to the opposite camp. It is becoming harder to please both sides.

Capital Calls: Exxon, US regional banks

28 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: Exxon’s two golden eggs are the Permian and Guyana; market composure gives time for a First Republic fix.

Capital Calls: Plan C for Teck Resources

26 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Canadian miner withdrew a shareholder vote to split coal from copper as it looked set to fail. If a promised “simpler” breakup plan also falls short, the $24 bln takeover bid from Glencore may become more appealing.

New UBS investor pitch fits better than old one

25 Apr 2023

Rescuing Credit Suisse is a risky move. But first-quarter results show that the buyer’s existing business is struggling to grow. The merger offers large savings and creates a wealth giant with $3.5 trln of assets. The return of proven cost-cutter Sergio Ermotti as CEO helps.

EY’s split fiasco will spark slow-motion decline

25 Apr 2023

The audit giant’s bean-counters are insulated against a rapid loss of business after its failed breakup. But EY’s more profitable consulting arm, including its prize tax unit, is less so. More reticent new clients and staff may see the Big Four become the Big Three-and-a-half.

Asia’s richest banker will loom over his successor

25 Apr 2023

Uday Kotak plans to stay on the board of the $46 bln bank bearing his name after he steps down as chief this year. Shareholders are supportive but it could end up being messy and it is at odds with the Indian regulator’s own aim to shore up governance by making CEO terms shorter.

UBS investors’ M&A fears are easing

24 Apr 2023

One question hanging over Chair Colm Kelleher’s Credit Suisse deal was whether there’d be many assets left by the time it closed. But the target’s outflows were smaller than they could have been, and the valuable local unit held up well. That buttresses shareholders’ confidence.

Capital Calls: Disney, Thyssenkrupp

24 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: The CEO of the $180 billion entertainment company has to thread the needle between layoffs and degrading value as he finds a successor; the 4 bln euro German steel-to-cars group’s shares tanked after CEO Martina Merz left.

Bolloré sale brings Vivendi endgame a step closer

19 Apr 2023

Tycoon Vincent Bolloré may offload his logistics unit for $5 bln. That gives him firepower to buy out shareholders of his $12 bln media group Vivendi. Yet a full takeover may be costly, and the 71-year-old has other ways to tighten his grip. Betting on a big premium looks risky.

Italy’s corporate power grab nears expiry date

18 Apr 2023

Premier Giorgia Meloni promised to rely on merit to pick new directors at state-backed firms like $54 bln Eni and $7 bln Leonardo. Instead, she’s stuffing boards with loyalists. Hedge fund efforts to push back at $64 bln green star Enel are a reminder the market also has a say.

James Murdoch’s cut-size India deal has some logic

14 Apr 2023

Rupert Murdoch’s son and ex-Disney executive Uday Shankar are pumping $530 mln into a cricket-rights owning joint venture with Reliance Industries, a third of the original amount. India’s streaming war may be heating up, but both sides had good reasons for a rethink.

Capital Calls: Buyouts are getting complicated

13 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: Both hand sanitizer maker Diversey and software developer Qualtrics recently sold to private equity firms, but new regulatory filings show dealmakers weighing increasing risks.

KKR’s FGS deal sets new bar for comms valuations

6 Apr 2023

The private equity group may buy 30% of the WPP-owned financial communications firm. The high price allows employees to cash out over $200 mln, meaning a few may leave. The best hope for KKR is that FGS’s revenue is increasingly stable and growing, justifying the higher multiple.

Swiss mega-bank has scope to shrink to greatness

5 Apr 2023

Swallowing Credit Suisse propels UBS into the big leagues, with $3.4 trln of wealth assets and more dealmaking fees than Citi. Staying large means taking on volatile units and risky clients. Unlike previous empire-builders, CEO Sergio Ermotti has a remit to slash aggressively.

Capital Calls: Disney, Jobs, Aesop

4 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: Boss Bob Iger accused Florida Governor Ron DeSantis of ill will, but plans to spend plenty in the Sunshine State; US job openings data might be skewed by fake postings; Natura’s $2.5 bln Aesop sale is a blueprint for stressed M&A.

Cellnex could use an outsider with a sharp knife

30 Mar 2023

Hedge fund TCI has accused the Spanish tower operator of “mishandling” an ongoing CEO search. Once an M&A machine, the $27 bln firm needs to cut its debt load markedly. That requires a new boss with a fresh perspective, not an insider.