IPO

Vivendi’s discount haunts Bollorés post-breakup

17 Dec 2024

The media group split in four to shed a conglomerate valuation penalty. The bits are now collectively worth just 8 bln euros, implying no upside from the move. One lesson is that the discount was always down to the controlling Bolloré clan’s influence rather than the structure.

OpenAI IPO would create the next hot meme stock

16 Dec 2024

Sam Altman’s $157 bln ChatGPT creator looks increasingly like a money pit in need of constant funding. Elon Musk’s Tesla has shown that retail investors can support the stock price of a buzzy brand. An ongoing cleanup of the company’s unusual governance structure would help too.

Private equity bids long goodbye to IPOs

13 Dec 2024

Buyout firms called $130 bln more from fund investors than they handed back between 2022 and early 2024, piling on pressure to return capital. Public markets are an increasingly impractical way to sell large investments quickly. Creative finance commands an ever greater premium.

Delivery Hero investors’ meal is stuck in traffic

13 Dec 2024

Shares in the $9.5 bln online takeaway group have dipped since it sold a $2 bln stake in its Middle East unit through a Dubai IPO. CEO Niklas Östberg can now cut net debt, but many of his businesses still burn cash. A more comprehensive breakup may be the best option on the menu.

ESR take-private throws up Asia exit quandary

13 Dec 2024

A group led by US investors offered to privatise the Asian real estate fund manager for $7 bln. Hong Kong's dismal market and ESR's complex business merits the move, yet backers will find it hard to re-list. Asia offers slim pickings for regional groups with IPO dreams.

Shein IPO is test of UK market discipline

6 Dec 2024

Britain’s financial watchdog may bless the fast-fashion group’s possible $64 bln listing, leaving investors to gauge the risks in its supply chain. Yet passive funds and soft disclosure rules limit shareholders’ ability to price such factors. Better transparency would help.

Bain’s Japan chip IPO is a tough sell

3 Dec 2024

The US private equity firm will list Kioxia six years after leading the memory unit's $18 bln carve-out from Toshiba. The roughly $5 bln equity valuation means poor returns for sellers. And convincing new investors to look past Kioxia's crippling debt pile will be a slog.

Hong Kong regains some lustre amid China’s gloom

22 Nov 2024

Top mainland officials made a rare appearance alongside CEOs like David Solomon at a conference in the city. It's a sign Beijing will lean on Hong Kong more to tap global capital and navigate looming US tariffs. Potential market reforms could benefit the finance hub, too.

China’s new hobbies create a spending mirage

19 Nov 2024

A fad for biking, hiking and the great outdoors has helped companies like $10 bln Amer Sports tempt shoppers. The athletic equipment firm is on track to grow mainland sales by over 40% this year. But consumers’ urge for adventure ultimately bodes ill for most retailers.

Shein margin wobble takes bite out of IPO value

14 Nov 2024

The e-commerce giant’s revenue growth slumped in the first half of 2024, and the net margin fell to 2% per The Information. Even if the business recovers, it creates uncertainty that’s compounded by a protectionist US government. Investors may struggle to see the upside.

Prosus catches a moment of relief in India

13 Nov 2024

The Mumbai listing of Swiggy, one half of a food delivery duopoly, crystallizes gains in a priority market for the $100 bln Dutch tech investor. The stock market debut of the startup is decent but Prosus' other bets in fintech and e-commerce in the country look harder to monetise.

Gulf IPO may be Delivery Hero’s only tasty morsel

11 Nov 2024

The Frankfurt-listed group is selling 15% of Talabat in Dubai. A potential $13 bln valuation would mean an arm with a third of its sales is worth more than Delivery Hero itself. Yet beyond the Gulf, a value-boosting breakup looks hard given the business overall makes a loss.

India’s stock market has a rising local flavour

6 Nov 2024

Food delivery app Swiggy is taking orders for its $1.3 bln IPO, shrugging off the risk of getting caught in any US election-induced global volatilty. It underscores both an urgency by its backers which include SoftBank and an increasingly domestic ownership of equities.

Vivendi activist’s critique falls on deaf ears

1 Nov 2024

Pushy fund CIAM reckons a planned carveup of the 10-bln-euro media empire favours the controlling Bolloré clan. That’s true. Yet the split at least eases a conglomerate discount. And since voting it down would be a leap into the unknown, investors will probably just stay in line.

China robotaxi IPOs may struggle to find their way

25 Oct 2024

Pony AI and rival WeRide are prepping US listings. But shares in fellow autonomous-vehicle pioneers like Mobileye and Hesai have lost half their value or more in the past year, and the road to profitability for driverless cabs looks long. That makes these deals a harder sell.

Fintechs’ IPO valuations can look beyond Nubank

24 Oct 2024

The $70 bln Brazilian lender is seen as a benchmark for unlisted rivals. But Nubank’s focus on interest income, and the idiosyncrasies of its home market, make it look rather different to the likes of Revolut. Bankers prepping neobank IPOs may gain from looking at other peers.

Tokyo Metro takes wild ride on inefficient market

23 Oct 2024

Shares of Japan's $7 bln subway operator surged 45% on debut. An official campaign to get savers buying more stocks is working, perhaps too well. A paucity of IPOs means bankers might be rusty on price discovery too. Public market hopefuls will need to tread carefully.

China’s smart cars will drive fast, but not far

18 Oct 2024

A Hong Kong IPO that could value Horizon Robotics at $7 bln rides the rise of assisted and autonomous driving in the world’s largest auto market. But the asking price is rich, and drivers elsewhere are slower to adopt the tech, while security concerns also hinder overseas growth.

Hyundai’s IPO is a big test for gilded markets

16 Oct 2024

The Korean carmaker's $3 bln share sale in India is off to a decent start. It will put a big floor under its parent's valuation. If the country's biggest listing goes smoothly, it also will offer a verdict on whether or not India's market is pushing unsustainable limits.

Tokyo Metro IPO is a big deal with big caveats

7 Oct 2024

Japan’s largest listing in half a decade comes to market with rising passenger traffic and solid earnings to back its $2 bln share sale. The subway operator also carries a sizable debt load and a massive stock overhang that raises questions about the government's ownership.