Infrastructure

Capital Calls: US government shutdown

29 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: Civil servants, who already earn 24% less than the market rate, lose their pay when Washington closes. Legislators, meanwhile, keep collecting their $174,000 salaries. Having skin in the game would help focus congressional minds.

Cable makers are green investing’s dark horses

28 Sep 2023

Net zero requires annual grid investment to more than double to $750 bln by 2030, plus the building of more solar and wind farms. That’s a boon for makers of power lines like Prysmian and Nexans. Green investors searching for growth may increasingly pay them more attention.

China plus one will lift India’s capital market

28 Sep 2023

Global funds are doubling down on India, supporting IPOs. JSW Infrastructure attracted $7.3 bln of orders for fewer than $200 mln-worth of shares. It paves the way for big debuts like Ola Electric and Reliance Retail. Investors, though, are entering a market priced to perfection.

Western rival to Belt and Road has much to prove

25 Sep 2023

The G7’s $600 bln plan to compete with China’s flagging investment push has launched splashy railway and energy schemes in Africa and Asia. But governments and private investors haven’t put up much cash. It’s also unclear how poor countries will avoid debt traps, says Hugo Dixon.

Italy faces bumpy round trip on the Silk Road

23 Aug 2023

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni may quit Chinese President Xi Jinping’s infrastructure club. Like other European fans, Italy gained little economic benefit from signing up to the Belt and Road Initiative. Yet leaving may provoke retaliation, perhaps against its luxury industry.

Chinese homebuilders see no light at end of tunnel

9 Aug 2023

The property crisis is claiming one of the few big developers left standing. Country Garden might dodge a default but slowing sales make honouring $200 bln of liabilities and building 1 mln apartments hard. Beijing is pushing firms to the brink, and they have reason to push back.

Altice’s beaten-up debt is only a bet for the bold

8 Aug 2023

Patrick Drahi’s telco empire faces a funding crunch, with $60 bln of debt coming due by 2030. He must pull off a tough turnaround in France and sell assets, a tricky task made even harder by a corruption probe. Even with current high yields, Altice debt is a risky punt on Drahi.

Capital Calls: Cathay, Telecoms kit makers, Byju’s

14 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Hong Kong carrier expects to turn a profit; a push into 5G has caught European telecoms gear makers like Nokia and Ericsson short; India’s troubled ed-tech giant appoints a top former banker to a newly formed advisory council.

History is against UK and Spanish telecoms M&A

12 Jul 2023

Vodafone and Orange have deals worth $40 bln on antitrust agencies’ desks. Europe has only once approved a similar merger without competitive remedies, which involved a tiny Dutch player. The telcos may have to make big concessions, undermining their tie-ups, or accept defeat.

Capital Calls: Eli Lilly gorges on obesity options

27 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The drugmaker found patients losing an incredible 24% of their weight on one of its latest treatments. First-movers don’t always win out in pharma, however, as Pfizer proved with Lipitor. That’s why Lilly is wise to keep investing in alternatives.

Capital Calls: Canada is calling Meta’s bluff

23 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Facebook owner plans to pull news on its platforms in Canada after the country passed a bill that requires internet giants pay publishers. If Australia is any guide, Meta will eventually cave.  

EU phase-out of Huawei, ZTE is tricky but vital

20 Jun 2023

Commissioner Thierry Breton wants EU countries to end use of Chinese telecoms gear on national security grounds. Some states have already cut Huawei and ZTE from 5G networks. The EU survived decoupling from Russian energy, and it can manage this. But it requires German buy-in.

Vodafone’s do-or-die UK deal is a risky bet

14 Jun 2023

The $24 bln telecoms firm is merging its UK mobile business with CK Hutchison’s Three to create Britain’s largest network. It is promising investment to win over competition watchdogs. It could backfire, but CEO Margherita Della Valle has few easy ways to please weary investors.

Telco tycoons’ UK bets look stuck underwater

25 May 2023

Patrick Drahi, Xavier Niel, John Malone and Abu Dhabi’s e& have lost $2.4 bln on about $13 bln worth of investments in BT and Vodafone, Breakingviews estimates. It’s hard to see either firm recovering soon, leaving their big-money backers potentially stuck in the quicksand.

Capital Calls: BT, Mediobanca

18 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: The 14 bln pound UK telco’s vague guidance is a concern for its two big shareholders seeking to recoup losses; the 8.5 bln euro Italian bank buys its biggest boutique yet.

Gautam Adani’s fundraisings offer multiple tests

16 May 2023

His companies are preparing to tap capital markets for some $3 bln, three months after a short attack succeeded in obliterating $120 bln and 50% off his group’s value. It will test the Indian conglomerate’s reputation, his attitude to public equity, and the besieged regulator.

Capital Calls: Wood Group

15 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: Apollo’s aborted bid for the $1 bln UK infrastructure firm prompted a 35% share price fall.

Capital Calls: Unilever, Shopify

4 May 2023

Concise views on global finance: The consumer goods company may need to backtrack on a pay package for its incoming CEO to quell a shareholder revolt; shares in Canadian e-commerce firm Shopify shot up over 20% after it said it was selling its logistics business to Flexport.

Telecom Italia is stuck in risky game of chicken

4 May 2023

The telco’s board must decide on rival bids from KKR and state investor CDP for its fixed-line grid. None comes close to the 31 bln euro price wanted by top investor Vivendi, but cash is needed to slash debt. If neither side blinks, the group could face a messy capital increase.

Capital Calls: Exxon, US regional banks

28 Apr 2023

Concise views on global finance: Exxon’s two golden eggs are the Permian and Guyana; market composure gives time for a First Republic fix.