Capital Calls: China bank privatisation 29 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: The troubled regional lender Bank of Jinzhou has received a rare takeover offer from a Chinese province, which could pave the way for similar deals.
Capital Calls: Intel 26 Jan 2024 Concise views on global finance: A 67% rise for the chipmaker’s stock over the past year implied problems have melted away. The company’s warning that first-quarter earnings would fall 60% short of expectations is not the last reality check.
EU’s energy security drive may have gone too far 11 Jan 2024 The bloc’s pivot away from Russian pipeline gas has worked. But Europe’s fast-rising capacity to import the fossil fuel in liquid form will surpass its total gas needs by 2030. LNG infrastructure’s public and private backers have a stark choice: scale back, or risk writedowns.
Every country needs an Inflation Reduction Act 23 Nov 2023 The US's $370 bln in green subsidies left allies fearing they’d be at a disadvantage. Now they’re realising that adapting the blueprint can unlock private capital, boost economies and speed up the energy transition. Funding remains a challenge, but not an insurmountable one.
Capital Calls: Goodyear, Target 15 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: By offloading assets, the 125-year-old tire maker is succumbing to a similar overhaul as many other iconic US industrial centenarians; the $60 bln retailer has finally taken aim at what it can control – keeping watch over inventory and costs.
Capital Calls: Disney’s Marvel flop, US inflation 14 Nov 2023 Concise views on global finance: Bob Iger’s prized acquisitions Marvel, Pixar and Lucasfilm are losing their mojo, just as his dealmaking mettle is being tested; inflation has eased even as growth looks strong, but warnings from consumers and companies signal potential weakness.
Workers are missing cog in US manufacturing gears 7 Nov 2023 Government subsidies have sparked a construction bonanza, with spending on microchip, EV and other factories running at an annualized pace of $200 bln, 60% more than a year ago. Buying the needed equipment comes next. Filling all the new jobs, however, will be the hardest part.
Orsted’s losing US bets need rethink of UK plans 1 Nov 2023 The Danish wind giant lost a fifth of its value after a surprising $4 bln impairment in the States. That erases most of the capex spent there. Yet it still wants to invest in the world’s biggest economy to meet its lofty targets, a risky gamble that requires restraint in Britain.
KKR’s Japan chip gear IPO clears high first bar 18 Oct 2023 Kokusai’s $720 mln float is the country’s largest in five years and coincides with the bottom of the semiconductor cycle. Pricing was cautious and two investors bought nearly half the offer. But with war drums beating, Japan’s elongated, inefficient listings process is in focus.
Next EU chief will need cash more than trade wars 10 Oct 2023 Ursula von der Leyen kicked off her campaign to stay European Commission president by attacking China’s car subsidies. But what the bloc craves is a plan to grow its economy and enlarge eastwards, including finding $411 bln for Ukraine. A bigger, better Europe won’t come cheap.
Germany risks letting a good crisis go to waste 3 Oct 2023 Europe’s largest economy is on track to shrink this year. The immediate causes are lower exports to China and higher energy prices. But decades of under-investment will continue to crimp growth unless Berlin ditches its hostility to fiscal stimulus and comprehensive reforms.
Uncle Sam risks recession by a thousand cuts 22 Sep 2023 A government stoppage would shave a sliver from US economic expansion. Restarting student loan payments will have a similar effect. Add striking autoworkers, high oil prices and costly mortgages, and 0.8% growth forecast for the fourth quarter and 0.5% in early 2024 look shaky.
Deaths haunt Corporate America via labor strikes 15 Sep 2023 Auto workers, pilots, and truck drivers have had upper hands in labor strikes. That’s despite labor supply healing. One reason may be that men have left the workforce. Opioids and Covid are partly to blame. But it highlights the dangers of demographically concentrated jobs.
Auto strike may put Carvana’s turnaround on detour 7 Sep 2023 A walkout at Detroit’s Big Three automakers may freeze new-car supply, pushing up old vehicles’ prices. Yet that’s bad news for the used-car dealer, which books fatter profit when inventory is cheap. Supply snarls threaten a re-run of post-pandemic woes that tanked shares by 99%.
Orsted’s issues fan way beyond the United States 30 Aug 2023 Denmark’s $27 bln wind giant saw shares plunge over 20% after it said it may need to write down $2 bln of US projects. Yet Orsted’s supply chain and subsidy problems may also upend progress in the UK. And by recently implying all was well, management has lost credibility.
Vietnam’s Tesla charges itself up for a big fall 16 Aug 2023 VinFast shares leapt 270% on their Nasdaq debut following the group’s $27 bln merger. A cosy shareholding structure boosted the valuation to 16 times its US rival but tycoon Pham Nhat Vuong’s EV maker has teething problems. Outsiders will be exacting when he needs to raise money.
Capital Calls: Siemens 10 Aug 2023 Concise views on global finance: The rot at the 110 bln euro German industrial group is spreading from its misfiring energy unit to the core automation business.
Acquisitive CEO’s pay push belongs in scrap heap 7 Aug 2023 After beating back unhappy shareholders to complete a $7 bln junkyard deal, RB Global boss Ann Fandozzi sought to accelerate her equity grants. When the board said no, she apparently quit. It’s a welcome case of directors swinging the wrecking ball on runaway CEO rewards.
Sweaty Europe can kill two birds with one pump 7 Aug 2023 In the ‘era of global boiling’ more Europeans need air conditioners. But if they instead installed heat pumps, the bloc could cut carbon emissions and cool as well as warm citizens’ homes. All the more reason for governments to be more generous on subsidies than they have been.
Capital Calls: PIF, Siemens Energy 7 Aug 2023 Concise views on global finance: Saudi Arabia’s big sovereign wealth fund is getting bigger; the $13 bln German company unveiled a $2.4 bln charge due to persistent wind turbine problems.