Government & Agencies

SEC unhelpfully takes reactive approach to crypto

10 Feb 2023

The regulatory body is fining Kraken and forcing it to shut down a U.S. business. That contrasts with the SEC’s approach to market structure reform. Crypto firms will now have to guess how SEC enforcement will be enacted. It’ll cripple the market rather than legitimize it.

Hydrogen is elemental to U.S.-EU green compromise

10 Feb 2023

Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act has raised fears of a transatlantic subsidy spat. The sustainably produced version of hydrogen may be a way to de-escalate tensions. Because it’s a potential jobs engine rather than a current one, both sides have scope for a face-saving deal.

IMF’s outlook on Russia is too rosy to be true

10 Feb 2023

The International Monetary Fund expects the Russian economy to avoid a recession this year after contracting by 2.2% in 2022. That is much more optimistic than Moscow’s own forecasts. Unless oil prices stage an improbable rally, investors should trust the locals’ gloomier view.

Europe is playing catch-up in green subsidy race

9 Feb 2023

The U.S. unveiled $369 bln of climate subsidies for consumers and manufacturers. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain why Brussels may need to launch a similarly ambitious plan or risk losing its share of jobs of the future.

Biden will struggle to read American economic room

8 Feb 2023

President Joe Biden used his State of the Union address to trumpet U.S. economic strength. But people feel a gloomier reality as inflation bites. A recession threatens to widen the perception gap between the White House and Main Street. There isn’t much Biden can do about that.

Sur-real currency plan won’t solve Argentina woes

7 Feb 2023

Argentina and Brazil want to create the “sur,” a currency to conduct $24 billion-worth in annual trade. It would give their leftist leaders a way to bypass the dollar but little else. Financial disparities and the southern country’s barren economy make the project unworkable.

Britcoin flags promise of cashless world, and risk

7 Feb 2023

The UK plans to make up for being a late e-money adopter by widening access to its digital currency plan. Right now banks are the main way to access physical cash, but online equivalents could be more widely distributed. The business of money could get messy.

Green subsidy race may be what the world needs

6 Feb 2023

High carbon taxes would be the best way to combat climate change. In their absence, subsidies are a good second best. As the global elephants – the U.S., EU and China – roll out financial aid, the key will be to ensure some fair play so others don’t get trampled, says Hugo Dixon.

China ban would slow, not halt, Western solar push

3 Feb 2023

Reacting to the chip war, Beijing may ban the export of technology for making solar panels, a $235 bln sector it currently dominates. Yet the West already has green energy know-how. Creating a rival industry without Chinese expertise may be slower and costlier but not impossible.

Investors are ignoring Meta’s hardware reality

1 Feb 2023

The $400 bln social media firm’s shares surged on a strong sales outlook and more stock buybacks. But a better 2023 after revenue fell last year is a long shot. Plus Meta’s big problem is its hardware pivot. Other tech companies that similarly transitioned did not have much luck.

Bottling U.S. inflation could cost workers dearly

1 Feb 2023

Winning the battle against rising prices could swell America’s jobless ranks by nearly 1 million, if the Fed’s own estimates prove correct. That assumes it remains relentless in the quest for inflation of 2%. But given the cost, it’s not clear that such precision is needed.

Meta exposes danger of trustbusting virtual risks

1 Feb 2023

Facebook’s owner won in court over U.S. efforts to block its acquisition of fitness-app developer Within. It trips up regulators trying to avoid missing another Instagram, with judges unpersuaded by future competition worries – a bad omen for the FTC’s case against Microsoft.

Italy may hold key to unlock EU green subsidies

1 Feb 2023

Europe’s response to the U.S. green-subsidy surge now hinges on tapping existing budgets, rather than new money. Ursula von der Leyen wants to channel unspent pandemic billions into tax credits and tweak state aid. Italy’s Giorgia Meloni may be the one to broker a deal.

European gas savings success hides darker reality

27 Jan 2023

Spurred by soaring prices, the continent used 12% less of the fossil fuel in 2022. Despite a push to conserve energy, much of the drop was due to companies switching to other pollutants or shutting plants. Gas-hungry sectors like chemicals and steel face a protracted struggle.

Biden’s antitrust playbook values shots on goal

25 Jan 2023

In addition to suing Google over a 15-year-old deal, the White House is using an arcane 1936 law to fight perceived competition problems. A trio of court losses undercuts the aggressive strategy. With no sign of a letup, however, big companies will have to fortify their defenses.

Rough chip waters give ASML little room for error

25 Jan 2023

The Dutch giant expects sales to grow by a chunky 25% in 2023. Clients’ fear of missing out on an economic rebound is propping up demand for its equipment. Yet rising costs and the risk of a widening export ban to China may take the shine off the $264 bln group’s rich valuation.

Google ad lawsuit reaches back to the future

24 Jan 2023

The Alphabet-owned search giant is in hot water with U.S. prosecutors who say its digital ad business is anticompetitive, citing deals it did 15 years ago. Google may be dominant, but regulators let it get that way. Meanwhile, the market has already started to create its own fix.

Republican tax fantasy cements ugly fiscal reality

20 Jan 2023

U.S. lawmakers are set to vote on a silly plan to phase out the IRS and impose a 30% sales tax that would balloon the federal deficit. It’s going nowhere, but exposes the twisted economic logic in Washington. Small wonder it’s costing more to insure against Uncle Sam defaulting.

Davos, Inc. finds reasons to be less gloomy

20 Jan 2023

Business leaders gathering in the Swiss mountain resort have plenty to fret about. Still, with China reopening, Europe keeping the lights on and interest rate pressure easing, the overriding emotion is one of relief. Less clear is whether the mood extends beyond the alpine elite.

Britain can afford to pay nurses and teachers more

20 Jan 2023

UK public workers want a big raise from the government. An inflation-matching pay rise would cost 18 bln pounds; growing state employees’ salaries in line with the private sector around half that. Downing Street could fund it with a 1p rise in VAT and closing tax reliefs.