Government & Agencies

Oil investors are adrift in Red Sea rip currents

9 Feb 2024

Crude prices at around $80 a barrel are lower than in early October despite conflict in Gaza, attacks on shipping vessels off Yemen, and US-Iran tensions. That reflects expectations of weak demand and ample supply, underpinned by lax sanctions. All three could soon change.

Capital Calls: L’Oréal

9 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: The French cosmetics giant suffered from the same China pain as Shiseido and Estée Lauder, but it is coping better than its Japanese and US rivals.

Xi can wait out the Anywhere-But-China trade

8 Feb 2024

Removing the chair of the securities regulator offers a scalp for the market crash as domestic and foreign investors dump stocks and claw at other destinations. Confidence is flagging, but the Chinese leader's best option may be to let benchmarks find a bottom first.

NY bank’s slide exposes regulatory booby trap

7 Feb 2024

A credit-rating downgrade adds to the misery of investors in $3 bln New York Community Bancorp, whose shares have more than halved in a month. A plan to rebuild its balance sheet will take many months. Watchdogs, who can’t afford for fear to take root, face a different timeline.

Renk’s IPO bang masks troubled world

7 Feb 2024

Shares in the German tank-gearbox maker soared 23% on the first day of trading. That and the Athens airport operator’s strong market debut suggest calmer IPO waters. Yet Renk’s success stems from heightened geopolitical tensions. That should keep investors on alert.

EU ‘Italian Job’ starts with winning over citizens

6 Feb 2024

Former premiers Mario Draghi and Enrico Letta are studying how to boost the bloc’s competitiveness. Europe’s single market needs to adapt to global shifts in trade, energy, and industrial policy. But any overhaul will depend on persuading voters that the EU benefits them, too.

Capital Calls: Beijing’s anti-corruption drive

6 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: President Xi Jinping’s crackdown on the country’s financial sector threatens to derail efforts to boost confidence in the world’s second largest economy.

Capital Calls: Estée Lauder, European banks

5 Feb 2024

Concise views on global finance: The cosmetics giant behind Le Labo is cutting jobs and redoubling restructuring efforts, but the changes only go skin-deep; Santander and Lloyds are under pressure after a report they banked entities controlled by a US-sanctioned Iranian company.

Italy is fighting a rearguard battle on Stellantis

2 Feb 2024

Rome may invest in the $73 bln carmaker. Matching France’s 6% stake would cost 4 bln euros, hurting the government’s privatisation effort, and may spook Italian business. Saving jobs at the former Fiat is a natural concern, but Italy is no longer the group’s centre of gravity.

Budget deal leaves EU isolated in Ukraine aid push

2 Feb 2024

The EU avoided a crisis by salvaging its 50 bln euro funding plan for Kyiv after Hungarian strongman Viktor Orbán fell in line. Europe is, however, isolated in its drive to support Ukraine, as long as a $61 bln similar aid package is stalled in the US Congress.

Korea’s battery giants engineer volatile US gains

2 Feb 2024

LGES and Samsung SDI have announced more than $18 bln of investments to build factories Stateside. Thanks to generous tax credits from Washington, those bets could pay off. But slowing EV growth and policy risk – amplified by US elections this year – will be an unstable mix.

American unions can’t bargain with the inevitable

1 Feb 2024

Workers in industries from coffee to movies rose up in 2023, but long-term trends are working against organized labor. Some, like auto workers, are a threat to employers. But even there, a combination of legal and societal shifts make for a less-united future.

Revamp of the world order will have to wait

29 Jan 2024

Developing countries last week called for a rethink of global governance. While it’s possible to imagine an order more conducive to peace, justice and prosperity, the chances of creating it are slim. Better to shore up the existing multilateral system and wait for better times.

Financial fallout is hardwired into new nuclear

26 Jan 2024

France’s EDF wants help with the costs of its Hinkley Point C plant, which now exceed 30 bln pounds. Britain can say no, but needs the power. Globally nuclear capacity is supposed to treble by 2050, but future investor, state and customer spats on overruns look inevitable.

Indonesia’s nickel policy looks fragile

26 Jan 2024

Outgoing President Joko Widodo's push to embed the country into electric-vehicle supply chains is under scrutiny ahead of elections next month. Global companies face an anxious wait to see if the policy will be fine-tuned; beyond the polls other threats are piling up too.

Gary Gensler crafts SEC into a mighty sandcastle

25 Jan 2024

The chief US securities watchdog has outpaced predecessors in making rules and extracting penalties from firms like Morgan Stanley and D.E. Shaw. But his aggressive approach has inflamed a wider war on regulation. Gensler’s accomplishments could yet wash away.

Capital Calls: Greek airport IPO

25 Jan 2024

Concise views on global finance: The Athens government is selling 30% of the country’s biggest airport operator, aiming for a market capitalisation of up to 2.4 bln euros.

Take China’s easing signal with a pinch of caution

25 Jan 2024

Beijing is releasing $140 bln of liquidity at banks, trimming some lending rates, and talking up measures to boost the appeal of stocks. It is also pressing on rebalancing the world’s second largest economy. In a grand overhaul, short-term pain can only be managed to a point.

ECB is battling an imaginary wage spiral

24 Jan 2024

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to hold rates this week because she fears rising salaries will boost inflation. Yet euro zone workers are getting raises of just 3.8%, down from a year ago. Frankfurt may not want to cheer bigger pay, but it can ignore it.

Four-day week is clever fix to economic malaise

24 Jan 2024

Companies including EssilorLuxottica and Panasonic are experimenting with shorter working weeks. Pilot schemes have led to revenue increases, declines in burnout rates and lower churn. It’s an anti-inflationary way to keep staff happy and give them free time to consume more.