Fraud

Luckin spill will get China coffee war brewing

25 May 2020

The reeling chain once worth $12 bln is getting booted off the Nasdaq for fraud. Its brand might be toxic, but it has assets and ideas that Yum China, Tim Hortons and HeyTea could buy or adapt. Such deep-pocketed competitors may present a more formidable challenge to Starbucks.

Corona Capital: U.S. GDP, Gilead’s drug, Spotify

29 Apr 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: the U.S. economy takes a dive; Gilead’s antiviral drug may help a bit; and Spotify sings an upbeat tune.

China’s tough Luckin line faces deaf U.S. ears

29 Apr 2020

Authorities raided the embattled coffee chain’s office, partly to limit collateral damage from the accounting scandal. Beijing also may be trying to placate impatient U.S. regulators. It will take far more, though, to satisfy hawks demanding China Inc delistings and divestments.

Corona Capital: Trouble in the Levant

28 Apr 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Protests erupted in Lebanon as its Covid-19 lockdown worsens the country’s economic problems. It may be a harbinger of broader virus-related discontent.

Singapore oil trading mess creates a long slick

20 Apr 2020

The founder of Hin Leong Trading, O.K. Lim, fessed up to hiding $800 million in losses. That’s bad for auditors and the banks holding $3.9 bln of related debt. It’s also tricky for the city-state’s status as an energy hub, and perceptions of privately held commodities firms.

Wall Street stuck with Luckin Coffee dregs

7 Apr 2020

Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse and others face big losses after the founder of Starbucks' Chinese rival defaulted on $518 mln of loans amid fraud charges. The lenders are stuck offloading a huge stack of share collateral in a falling market. It’s the price of blindly chasing fees.

Corona Capital: Saudi/Carnival, PG&E

6 Apr 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Today, Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund takes an 8% stake in beleaguered cruise outfit Carnival, and the coronavirus may dislodge one of the moving parts in California utility PG&E’s plan to exit bankruptcy.

Corona Capital: Religious aid, Ad-spending slump

23 Mar 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: U.S. Vice President Mike Pence wants Americans to donate to religious institutions to bolster community aid. But churches have their own fiscal problems. Plus: TV ad revenue look set for a pounding.

Barclays 2008 gamble has nuanced investor legacy

28 Feb 2020

A jury acquitted three ex-employees of fraud over a Qatari crisis cash call. The money forestalled a state bailout, allowing Barclays’ shares to beat RBS and Lloyds’. But the government may also have hacked back an investment bank which now drags down the lender’s valuation.

NMC mess implies London needs fiercer watchdogs

27 Feb 2020

The Gulf hospital operator fired its CEO after revealing undisclosed debts. Its poor governance and disclosure sit awkwardly with the UK’s aim to be the world’s top venue for foreign companies and capital. Keeping that reputation requires tougher penalties for bad behaviour.

Carlos Ghosn’s image rehab begins in wrong gear

8 Jan 2020

The ex-Renault boss used his first public statements since fleeing Japan to claim a plot involving Nissan and Tokyo prosecutors. The assertions were light on detail, though. That left too much time for missteps such as likening his arrest to Japan’s attack on Pearl Harbor.

Glencore’s new probe applies shove to succession

5 Dec 2019

British police are investigating possible bribery at the commodity giant. Two days ago 62-year-old boss Ivan Glasenberg, whose firm also faces a U.S. probe, said he could retire next year. Having to fight a legal war on two fronts may help him make up his mind.

Goldman faces drip-drip 1MDB pain like Jho Low

31 Oct 2019

The alleged mastermind of the Malaysian fund fraud will pay the U.S. $700 mln. The deal’s loose ends hint at future pain for others, including the Wall Street bank. CEO David Solomon wants to draw a clean line under the scandal. Instead Goldman could end up paying multiple times.

Wirecard is becoming uninvestable

15 Oct 2019

The $15 bln payments group’s share price fell 19% after the FT said it overstated sales. The company disputes the claims. Persistent volatility makes life hard for short-term traders. Long-term investors may be put off as the latest allegations involve a bigger chunk of revenue.

Goldman’s top brass become hostages in 1MDB fight

9 Aug 2019

Malaysia has filed criminal charges against current and former star bankers, including international boss Richard Gnodde. It’s a cunning way to ramp up pressure on the Wall Street firm for a mega settlement. Goldman could end up paying three times to end the sovereign scandal.

Review: Blaming big data is political diversion

19 Jul 2019

The documentary “The Great Hack” shows how Cambridge Analytica targeted voters in the 2016 U.S. election and Brexit referendum, partly using Facebook. It’s chilling but ignores how economic forces swayed those polls. Focusing on tech’s threat to democracy oversimplifies politics.

Holding: Investors ignore law of “stuff happens”

11 Apr 2019

Using fiascos like oil-well blowouts and tainted burritos to claim stock fraud is increasingly common in the United States, but misguided. Companies have a duty to disclose significant risks, not warn of unlikely mishaps. Arguing otherwise enriches lawyers at investors’ expense.

Review: Theranos story is both crazy and ordinary

29 Mar 2019

A new documentary depicts the blood-testing company’s founder Elizabeth Holmes as an unblinking, controlling CEO who believed she could defy science. Her $9 billion dreams ended in fraud charges. In some ways, though, it’s a painfully normal Silicon Valley story.

Arrests give investors new reason to avoid Russia

26 Feb 2019

Sanctions imposed on some well-connected oligarchs have already spooked foreign money managers. The detention of Baring Vostok executives including founder Michael Calvey highlights domestic dangers. Less capital will be willing to navigate the risks.

Credit Suisse Mozambique mess is shameful at best

4 Jan 2019

Three of the Swiss lender’s former bankers have been arrested on charges of facilitating kickbacks on $2 bln of loans for the African country. Credit Suisse blames deceptive employees and says it has tightened controls. Even if the fallout ends there, it’s highly embarrassing.