Fossil Fuels

Russia’s reverse globalisation will test Putin

7 Mar 2022

The country spent three decades integrating into the global economy. The president’s invasion of Ukraine threatens to wind the clock back within weeks. How the nation copes without Western technology, capital and consumer goods will help decide whether Vladimir Putin backs down.

Oil self-sanctioning is unstable weapon for West

3 Mar 2022

Traders and utilities are refusing to buy crude and gas from Russia, even though sanctions allow it. Insofar as this turns up the heat on the Kremlin, U.S. and EU leaders may not mind. The danger is that spiking prices alarm voters and lead to strains in the Western alliance.

Capital Calls: Snowflake’s no snowflake

3 Mar 2022

Concise views on global finance: The data warehouse firm doubled revenue, but the stock was whacked. Snowflake’s solid finances mean missteps are valuation conundrums, not existential threats.

Capital Calls: Ford’s private equity playbook

2 Mar 2022

Concise views on global finance: The Detroit automaker’s reorganization plan makes explicit the goal of squeezing its traditional car business for cash to fund its electric future.

How Europe can kick its Russian gas habit

1 Mar 2022

Conflict in Ukraine shows the folly of the continent depending on gas from Moscow. Speeding up renewable energy would help. To get to zero in a decade, however, Europe will also need other sources of gas, more nuclear power, multi-nation coordination and even consumer rationing.

U.N. climate report takes aim at net-zero 2050

28 Feb 2022

The world is moving too slowly to stop global warming, per the multinational body’s latest study. Ditching fossil fuels will reduce natural and man-made disasters. But too many governments and companies use the mid-century emissions targets to delay action. That’s unsustainable.

Capital Calls: Theme park M&A, Energy IPO

16 Feb 2022

Concise views on global finance: Cedar Fair rebuffed a takeover offer from rival amusement park operator SeaWorld, but other buyers may be reluctant to join the ride; The $8 bln Vaar Energi, majority owned by Italy’s Eni, sees its shares dip on their first day of trading.

High power prices are no reason to ditch net zero

14 Feb 2022

Some politicians blame soaring energy costs on the global drive to cut carbon emissions. Yet climate change policies don’t explain the price spike, while investment in oil and gas is high enough. The criticism risks undermining tougher challenges like reducing demand for power.

BP inserts wind in sails of its energy transition

8 Feb 2022

The $110 bln UK group joined oil peers in reporting bumper results. But it also pledged to maintain fossil fuel profitability despite cutting output, and gave new 2030 targets for its low-carbon growth business. That could start to revive its becalmed valuation.

Shell oddly well placed to resist oil’s siren call

3 Feb 2022

The $200 bln UK driller is keeping a lid on new investment, despite $90-a-barrel oil prices. A court order to cut emissions and investors’ desire for cash explain why. But Shell’s recent exit from shorter-life U.S. shale makes a sensible ramp-up of new output harder anyway.

OPEC gets closer to a Wizard of Oz moment

2 Feb 2022

When the curtain fell back, the fairytale character’s powers proved bogus. The cartel’s ability to steer crude prices rests on the market believing it can boost production. Challenged members like Angola make that tricky, raising the risk oil prices soar higher still.

Italy energy firm dive is Rome’s latest hot potato

1 Feb 2022

Oil services firm Saipem may need at least 1 bln euros of fresh equity after warning of a loss just three months into a new business plan. The shock puts pressure on new CEO Francesco Caio. Given the uncertainty, top investors Eni and the Italian state may foot most of the bill.

The Exchange: Hydrogen wave

27 Jan 2022

Can green hydrogen decarbonise big chunks of our economies? Air Products CEO Seifi Ghasemi, who’s backing the carbon-free gas in a major Saudi Arabia project, thinks so. He tells Lisa Jucca how his $61 bln group plans to be the world’s top green hydrogen producer in five years.

Italian CEOs’ Putin call exposes European discord

26 Jan 2022

Rome is pushing the firms to scrap their virtual chat with the Russian leader. With their varying degrees of investment, trade and energy dependence, Europeans have more to lose from sanctions against Moscow than the United States. That lets Putin pit them all against each other.

Eni’s quirky rejig may turn rivals green with envy

24 Jan 2022

Italy’s $54 bln oil major may list stakes in its green energy and biofuels arms, as well as a Norwegian subsidiary. That’s different from rivals which are financing green investments by selling fossil fuels. Yet if Eni’s spinoffs get cheaper financing, others may follow suit.

Imperfect UK energy fix would still kill two birds

19 Jan 2022

Finance minister Rishi Sunak faces pressure to help consumers with high power bills without busting the budget. The least-bad plan would spread energy costs over some years. By curbing price pressures, he will also limit inflation-linked bond payouts and public sector pay hikes.

Larry Fink’s pragmatism is awkward but lucrative

18 Jan 2022

The BlackRock CEO rejected criticisms that stakeholder capitalism is “woke”, while backing natural gas. The danger for Fink is that he occupies a no man’s land position on culture war hot topics. His consolation is that $10 trln of assets suggest investors are down with that.

Power windfall tax is bad idea whose time has come

17 Jan 2022

European leaders are under pressure to help households with soaring power bills. Taxing energy companies is potentially ineffective and replete with unwise incentives. The idea could nevertheless catch on, and oil giants like BP and Shell may need to take the strain.

EU greenwash laxity could see it build back worse

13 Jan 2022

Europe’s green taxonomy is meant to direct billions of euros towards clean energy so a post-virus continent can “build back better”. Yet political fudges mean gas and nuclear count as sustainable. Worse, the tool’s new draft contains loopholes that could make it dirtier still.

Kazakh oligarch shakeup may give foreigners a shot

12 Jan 2022

President Tokayev needs to consolidate power after unrest and raise cash to placate his citizens. Billionaires allied to his predecessor are obvious targets. Since he lacks a go-to gang to take over mining assets, he may favour gradual redistribution and more external investment.