Russia fossil fuel embargo has an inexorable logic 25 May 2022 Western allies are discussing buyer-imposed caps or tariffs to shrink Russia’s oil and gas revenues. But the measures would keep money flowing to Moscow, and could trigger the abrupt end of Russian imports they are meant to delay. Better to jump straight to an embargo now.
BlackRock spikes guns of green activists 10 May 2022 Larry Fink’s group will back more oil and gas production. After COP26, institutional money looked set to phase out fossil fuels, but an energy crisis has intervened. Rivals may follow the $10 trln fund giant, propping up driller valuations and complicating the green transition.
Europe’s oil major discount grows ever more stark 5 May 2022 Exxon Mobil and Chevron trade at big premiums to Shell, BP and Total, despite all benefitting from soaring fossil fuel prices. The Americans’ slower pivot to renewable energy is one reason why. Europeans’ lucrative trading arms give cause for investors to be more generous.
HSBC breakup, Big Oil’s surprise restraint 5 May 2022 The $129 bln bank is under pressure from its largest shareholder to spin off its Asian unit. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss why the plan deserves short shrift. Also, the decision by oil giants to limit production will win few friends.
EU’s oil embargo is slave to volatile crude price 4 May 2022 The bloc wants to stop buying Russian exports within six months. That looks too slow to properly choke off funding for President Vladimir Putin’s war machine. Yet going any faster could make crude prices spike, exacerbating Europe’s battle against inflation.
Capital Calls: Airbnb 3 May 2022 Concise views on global finance: The $97 bln vacation-booking platform’s post-pandemic bounceback has beat expectations. It helps that CEO Brian Chesky quickly adapted the business, including cutting costs.
Capital Calls: Amazon and consumers 29 Apr 2022 Concise views on global finance: People are spending more amid price hikes, while the e-commerce giant struggles with them.
Africa is imperfect solution to Europe’s gas woes 28 Apr 2022 The continent’s vast reserves and growing liquefied gas supplies can cut some of the bloc’s energy dependence on Russia. Yet lack of infrastructure, domestic needs and rigid contracts limit Africa’s ability to boost exports quickly. Political instability is a further headache.
Putin’s gas shock is acid test of EU unity 27 Apr 2022 In severing Polish and Bulgarian supply, the Russian leader shattered a fragile equilibrium that had seen European energy buyers fund his war. He hopes other EU states will carry on, dividing the bloc. Instead, Europe should backstop the costly process of ditching Moscow’s fuel.
Banks enter AGM season wearing green bullseyes 25 Apr 2022 Top U.S. lenders and some European rivals face votes on their climate policies at looming annual general meetings. Banks may resist greening their loan books if that hits earnings. But even if they clear the immediate hurdle, the heat will be on to clarify their net-zero plans.
India’s Russian oil binge carries hidden costs 14 Apr 2022 New Delhi is filling its boots with Moscow’s cheap crude, just as Europe and traders like Vitol start to turn away. The aggressive ramp-up carries longer-term risks. As a keen buyer, India will find it hard to get waivers from sanctions if the West targets Russia’s energy trade.
Capital Calls: Buffett’s HP bet, Gambling M&A 7 Apr 2022 Concise views on global finance: Berkshire Hathaway takes a hefty stake in the computer and printer maker; Betting group 888 negotiates a better price for buying UK bookie William Hill.
Hydrogen’s civil war reveals its winner 31 Mar 2022 The element has a big role in beating climate change. But fans of natural gas-based “blue” hydrogen and its zero-carbon “green” cousin are constantly vying for supremacy. Soaring fossil-fuel prices and energy supply fears after Russia’s Ukraine invasion are handing green victory.
Capital Calls: Blowout banker pay helps New York 23 Mar 2022 Concise views on global finance: A 20% surge to record bonus levels across the city’s securities industry reflects a post-Covid rebound and will also boost its coffers.
Nickel gets nixed, French firms linger in Russia 17 Mar 2022 The war in Ukraine is affecting far corners of global finance. In the Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how the conflict helped bring nickel trading to a halt in London. And why oil giant Total and carmaker Renault are resisting the exodus by Western companies.
Dixon: War boosts need for “green Marshall Plan” 11 Mar 2022 The West needs more allies, not just to turn Russian President Vladimir Putin into a global pariah, but to show China what will happen if it too throws its weight around. A good way to do this is to supercharge its embryonic plan to help developing countries grow in a green way.
Saudi’s MbS will eventually take Biden’s call 10 Mar 2022 America cannot plug the shortfall from cutting off Russian oil. Increased output from OPEC, and particularly Saudi Arabia, is key. De facto leader Mohammed bin Salman isn’t eager to help the U.S. president, but needs the endorsement of Western cash to transform the economy.
Russian debt coin toss will get harder to call 8 Mar 2022 Gazprom and Rosneft are repaying bonds despite fears Moscow may renege on its own debt. The depressed prices of Russian corporate debt mean investors who rightly bet on repayment can double their money. Yet rising tensions and murky workouts mean the trade will get riskier.
EU charts expensive path towards energy freedom 8 Mar 2022 The European Commission wants to lop over 70% off Russian gas use this year by ramping up LNG purchases, green energy and gas storage. It implies Europeans consuming less energy and paying more than feared for what they use. Pooled EU resources may be needed to cushion the blow.
West’s loaded oil weapon points to power rationing 7 Mar 2022 The U.S. and Europe could ban Russian crude imports to increase pressure on President Vladimir Putin. While oil is a better target for sanctions than gas, alternative supplies are far from assured. Companies and consumers may have to reduce demand, possibly by government decree.