Fossil Fuels

Ukraine has more pluses than minuses for climate

26 Sep 2022

The Russian invasion has prompted other countries to boost gas production and burn more coal. Climate diplomacy is on ice. But this crisis will also prompt a dash for cheaper and more secure renewable energy. That helps the fight to slow global warming, says Hugo Dixon.

Uniper’s new bailout mixes scars and consolations

21 Sep 2022

Germany’s 8 bln euro capital injection heavily dilutes the stricken energy group’s investors and hands main shareholder Fortum a big loss. The Finnish group does gain from exiting the mess, and Berlin might one day profit from the rescue. But neither side will be celebrating.

Net zero woes go beyond lack of global cooperation

20 Sep 2022

The International Energy Agency frets that poor collaboration between states will keep emissions high. But the struggles of green groups like ITM Power suggest countries aren’t doing enough to help domestic markets either. Energy policy needs to do more than fight today’s crisis.

Petrodollar rush may disappoint Western financiers

20 Sep 2022

In prior energy booms, like in the 1970s, the proceeds wound up in U.S. banks and bonds. OPEC’s $907 bln haul in 2022 is smaller, and winners like Saudi Arabia need cash to pivot away from oil. Bankers may not see a developed world equities and debt bonanza on the same scale.

Europe energy fallout will cascade down the years

12 Sep 2022

The gas crisis is a long-term problem which will make the region poorer and less competitive while saddling it with higher public debt. Dealing with this as well as high inflation will cause further political ructions which will cascade down the years, says Hugo Dixon.

Norway gas lifeline for Europe is the smart move

9 Sep 2022

The staunch NATO ally supplies 25% of the European Union’s gas needs and nearly half Britain’s. A trebling of oil cash and record profit at energy giant Equinor give Norway scope to cut the EU some slack on gas prices. The discount size is less important than the gesture.

Capital Calls: T-Mobile US transmits clear signal

9 Sep 2022

Concise views on global finance: The telecom carrier is planning a $14 bln buyback program as it beats rivals in shareholder return.

Tough love is best fix for energy cash crunch

7 Sep 2022

Utilities and power traders face a $1.5 trln surge in collateral demands due to swings in gas futures. The answer could be bailouts, halts in trading and collateral tweaks. Yet radical changes may increase risk. And government help, if properly priced, needn’t be a freebie.

EU has ways to learn to live with less gas

6 Sep 2022

The closure of a key Russian pipeline leaves Europe facing a 20% shortfall in fuel supply. Measures to cut demand like lower temperatures in homes and incentives for companies to use less energy may soften the blow. More gas-dependent nations like Italy must now work harder.

Russia is giving German industry a slow puncture

27 Jul 2022

Industrial users of gas are in the firing line as Moscow halts supply. Companies like BASF face a hit from higher input costs and energy rationing, rather than a Uniper-style bailout. The problem for Berlin is that sustained high prices could make production head elsewhere.

Berlin spreads pain in 15 bln euro Uniper bailout

22 Jul 2022

That’s how much equity and debt the government may pump into the gas importer driven to near-bankruptcy by reduced Russian supplies. Diluted shareholders, Finnish owner Fortum, and German taxpayers will share the burden. So will consumers who will pay higher prices for gas.

Santos throws down M&A cost-cutting gauntlet

22 Jul 2022

The $17 bln fossil-gas giant took just six months to deliver promised savings from acquiring Oil Search. That handily beats the 18-month timeframe advocated by McKinsey, and embarrasses ANZ’s six-year timetable for its Suncorp deal. CEO Kevin Gallagher has raised the synergy bar.

ESG is more of a muddle than a fiddle

19 Jul 2022

Environmental, social and governance investing is under the spotlight. In this episode of The Exchange podcast, Bridgewater’s sustainable finance gurus Karen Karniol-Tambour and Carsten Stendevad explain how ESG’s main problem is a lack of clarity over its goals.

Guest view: A platform for climate collaboration

14 Jul 2022

Finance ministers and central bankers face inflation and stagnating growth. The climate crisis could dwarf these hardships. If structured well, G20 Country Platforms can help to unlock private capital to meet the challenge, writes United Nations climate envoy Mark Carney.

Saudi can win two ways in global energy reshuffle

13 Jul 2022

U.S. President Joe Biden will plead for more oil on his visit to the kingdom. Riyadh may be tempted to say no. But with China and India buying cheaper Russian crude, diverting shipments could boost selling prices. Close ties could also unlock more western capital for Saudi.

Finland’s Uniper hit best seen as defence spending

12 Jul 2022

Helsinki wants Berlin to rescue the ailing German energy group, but limit the hit to Finnish owner Fortum. Germany doesn’t agree. Finns would be better off seeing any dilution from a forthcoming capital hike as part of the cost of de-Russifying. Like the cost of joining NATO.

Robinhood’s reversal, Russian oil cap

30 Jun 2022

The digital brokerage is worth less than a quarter of its $32 bln IPO value. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists argue that its $7 bln cash pile and ample user base make it an attractive target. Also, Western leaders’ plan to restrict funds to Moscow may backfire.

Uniper woes could force reality check on Berlin

30 Jun 2022

The German utility needs state support after Russia cut gas supplies, forcing it to buy more expensive fuel instead. A better alternative would be for the regulator to allow Uniper to pass the cost on to consumers, dampening demand. The risk of open-ended bailouts helps its case.

Saving energy now is an EU no-brainer

28 Jun 2022

The bloc has hiked LNG imports by 50% to replenish storages and cut its Russian gas dependency. But if Moscow turns off the taps, Germany could sink into recession. All the more reason to kick off energy-saving measures this summer and try to curb gas prices by cutting demand.

G7’s Russia cap could send oil prices up, not down

28 Jun 2022

The developed nations club wants to cut Moscow’s revenue by curbing crude export prices. To work, a cap needs to be global in scope, air-tight to avoid sanctions evasion, and have Russian acceptance of the forced discount. Without these it may mean less supply, and higher prices.