Fossil Fuels

Big Oil mega-deals would put investors on the spot

2 Feb 2023

Shell and BP are printing money but have rock-bottom valuations. Punts by U.S. giants Exxon Mobil or Chevron are financially viable, if politically tricky. European shareholders may face a tough choice: sell out to a less green rival, or hope that risky renewable bets pay off.

Trying to bankrupt Russia could backfire

30 Jan 2023

Now that Western allies are supplying tanks to Ukraine, why not also ramp up sanctions on Russian oil and gas? Because doing so would carry big economic risks – and that could undermine Western willingness to continue its vital military support for Kyiv, says Hugo Dixon.

European gas savings success hides darker reality

27 Jan 2023

Spurred by soaring prices, the continent used 12% less of the fossil fuel in 2022. Despite a push to conserve energy, much of the drop was due to companies switching to other pollutants or shutting plants. Gas-hungry sectors like chemicals and steel face a protracted struggle.

Global energy prices face a turbulent 2023

12 Jan 2023

The cost of natural gas has halved from a peak last year thanks to warmer weather and bulky European stores. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss why it’s too early for companies and households to rule out further supply shocks and price volatility.

Capital Calls: California flooding

11 Jan 2023

Concise views on global finance: Heavy rainfalls have revealed the cracks in California lawmakers’ disaster spending measures, that have helped to prepare for fires and earthquakes.

Capital Calls: McDonald’s ex-CEO fine

10 Jan 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Security and Exchange Commission’s decision to slap former fast food chain boss Stephen Easterbrook with a penalty is a convoluted way to the right outcome.

Capital Calls: Rio Tinto, Grocery delivery M&A

9 Dec 2022

Concise views on global finance: After a shambolic process, the $118 bln miner has succeeded in buying out the 49% of Turquoise Hill Resources it doesn’t own; Turkish grocery delivery player Getir gobbles up German rival Gorillas for $1.2 bln.

Eni’s $6 bln Neptune swoop will be a haggle-fest

1 Dec 2022

Italy’s $52 bln oil major may bid for the private equity-backed gas producer. Windfall tax and recession risks make the $10 bln price tag from last year’s mooted IPO unlikely. But Eni’s scope for synergies and need to pivot to gas give owners like CVC scope to hold out for more.

EU gas cap is indirect signal to cut power demand

23 Nov 2022

The bloc’s proposed brake on natural gas prices at 275 euros per megawatt hour is a fig leaf. The ceiling is so high and with such stringent conditions that it may never be activated. Its main use may be to remind EU states their best option is to use energy more efficiently.

Energy crises speed up the green transition

22 Nov 2022

In 2022, war and power shortages have led to more fossil fuel use. But they also act as a catalyst for the rollout of renewable energy. In this edition of The Exchange podcast, ex-Snam boss Marco Alverà tells George Hay how Europe’s leaders can capitalise on this dynamic.

COP28 may make up for COP27’s shortcomings

17 Nov 2022

The global climate meeting has mostly failed to lure the same corporate big hitters as Glasgow did last year. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists discuss how even if the gathering in Egypt’s Sharm El-Sheikh yields little progress, 2023 in the UAE could be better.

Recession-shy investors can turn to capital cycle

10 Nov 2022

As the world braces for an economic downturn, commodities have taken a hit. But oil and mining giants have been cutting investment for almost a decade, says Edward Chancellor. Supply shortages could allow these companies to buck the market downturn.

Capital Calls: Uniper

3 Nov 2022

Concise views on global finance: The German utility’s 40 bln euro loss for the first nine months of 2022 has turned its equity negative and implies a much larger bailout.

BP is case study in global windfall-tax quandary

1 Nov 2022

The $100 bln oil major wants to produce more green energy and less crude. Yet a British windfall tax risks pushing it in the opposite direction. A better levy design would hit outsized profit in both fossil fuels and renewables, while still incentivising investment in the latter.

Time for Europe to tame its energy cravings

19 Oct 2022

After paying through the nose to fill its gas storage reserves to 92%, the bloc is seeking to secure more affordable fuel. Measures like curbing price volatility, club purchases or flexible caps will be no panacea. While supply is tight, curbing demand is the key.

Europe’s energy crisis nears winter of discontent

18 Oct 2022

Germany, Italy and others have scrambled to replace Russian gas and pipeline attacks have become a concern. The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies’ Jack Sharples tells The Exchange podcast Europe must learn to live with less power. Next year may be even more challenging.

Total’s Russia foot-dragging is investor problem

18 Oct 2022

The French energy giant owns a stake in gas group Novatek, and is in theory entitled to a $430 mln dividend. CEO Patrick Pouyanné won’t say whether he’s selling. He may hope that long-held Kremlin ties can secure a clean exit, but the uncertainty is a shareholder concern.

How West can mobilise trillions to help save Earth

10 Oct 2022

On top of stopping global warming, rich nations have geopolitical reasons to help the countries in the Global South transition from fossil fuels. America’s call for the World Bank to focus more on global needs like climate change is a step in the right direction, says Hugo Dixon.

HSBC Canada exit could be a nice clean break

4 Oct 2022

The Anglo-Asian lender is diminutive in a market dominated by a few giants. That, though, might make it easier to sell its profitable Canadian operations without too much antitrust and politics. Tiptoeing away from Canada’s carbon-intensive energy sector can’t hurt either.

German energy bailout belatedly outclasses Europe

30 Sep 2022

Berlin will borrow 200 bln euros to help consumers cope with rocketing energy prices. It’s not the first state to go for a shock and awe approach, but Germany’s ample fiscal space gives it way more scope to go big. Unlike the UK, it can also do so without spooking investors.