Fossil Fuels

Oil’s plunge ratchets up “peak crude” anxiety

2 Mar 2020

The spread of coronavirus has contributed to a one-quarter plunge in oil prices, and even torpedoed the industry’s global pow-wow in Houston. Demand could decline for the first time in a decade. This new demand shock will steal valuable time from companies preparing for peak oil.

Texas becomes oil vampire squid

21 Feb 2020

Even though fracking doesn’t produce corporate profits, the Lone Star state’s plentiful oil continues to attract investment. That’s been a boon for state coffers. But much like OPEC, U.S. drillers elsewhere are feeling the squeeze. Texas’s success is at the expense of others.

Viewsroom: BP, Delta shift out of climate neutral

20 Feb 2020

The British fossil-fuel giant and the largest U.S. airline have each pledged to effectively stop emitting carbon over time. The ambition is encouraging and puts them ahead of most rivals. But both fall short on all-important details. There’s plenty of runway to do better.

Rosneft’s sanctions yellow card won’t turn red

19 Feb 2020

The Russian oil giant’s trading subsidiary is the target of the toughest form of U.S. sanctions over Venezuela. Unlike 2018 curbs on Rusal and En+, it shouldn’t hurt Rosneft much. Tougher measures are unlikely given the unwanted surge they might trigger in oil prices.

Glencore split could spring-clean dusty valuation

18 Feb 2020

The commodity giant’s coal operations dragged in 2019. Spinning them off into a separate entity would underline the low-carbon potential of the copper and cobalt assets left behind. That could leave billionaire CEO Ivan Glasenberg with a more valuable overall cake.

BP leaves investors in a better sort of limbo

12 Feb 2020

New boss Bernard Looney has unveiled ambitions to largely eliminate the oil giant’s net carbon emissions by 2050. That’s more enlightened than most peers, and better than previous goals. But without a clear road map, shareholders can’t work out what the company will be worth.

Virus reveals China as global oil’s swing consumer

6 Feb 2020

Saudi Arabia may cut output to offset a demand slump due to the coronavirus. The People’s Republic’s thirst for imported oil, and uncertainty about the length and severity of the crisis, make that a tricky call. Getting it wrong risks opening the door to other exporters.

Oil swoon entrenches BP’s strategic quandary

4 Feb 2020

The UK oil major delivered decent 2019 results on CEO Bob Dudley’s last day. New broom Bernard Looney is taking over an improved balance sheet and a hiked dividend. But the virus-led crude price slump makes it harder for him to steer the group away from harmful carbon emissions.

Shell faces slog to keep least-bad oil major title

30 Jan 2020

The Anglo-Dutch group’s emissions stance is tougher than peers, but rivals like BP may soon catch up. Shell could hold its lead by further embracing lower-yielding renewables. Yet that might add to pressures obliging CEO Ben van Beurden to slow the pace of a $25 bln buyback.

Virus panic makes OPEC cat-herding even harder

28 Jan 2020

Oil prices have dipped below $60 a barrel on fears the coronavirus will hit growth. The Saudi-led producers group already has a job convincing the likes of Russia to keep supporting cuts agreed in December. The virus jitters might make others, such as Riyadh, want to double down.

Investors and EU can marginalize U.S. on climate

27 Jan 2020

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross says the White House might deem a European carbon tax on imports protectionist. That exposes one of the problems with regional solutions to global warming. Allying with global investors would help create more powerful sticks and carrots.

M&A bankers will turn climate risk into clients

19 Dec 2019

The financial impact of global warming is one of the biggest strategic issues CEOs face, yet it plays a small role in dealmaking. That might change in 2020 as shifting regulation and consumer habits start to affect the bottom line, giving climate-conscious advisers an edge.

Viewsroom: WeWork’s future may lie in China’s past

24 Oct 2019

Beijing-based Kr Space switched from renting out space held on long-term leases to selling services after the shared-office market crashed. Following suit may help WeWork stem losses. Also: climate change and Canada’s election. Plus: the gloomy IMF and unrest in Latin America.

Climate strikes give governments cover to act

20 Sep 2019

Millions are downing textbooks and tools to demand more action against global warming. People power fueled a mass aversion to plastic. And many ideas and financing vehicles to enable the climate fight already exist. The worldwide protests allow politicians to take a tougher line.

Growing money on trees beats fossil-fuel returns

30 Aug 2019

Reforestation improves the management of water, soil and crops as well as storing carbon. It can also yield investment returns higher than Exxon and most of the other top 100 emitters of greenhouse gases manage. Especially with the Amazon rainforest ablaze, it merits top billing.

BP investors take the slow road to climate action

21 May 2019

Shareholders endorsed greater disclosure of the oil major’s compatibility with Paris climate goals, but rejected binding targets. It’s a start, but hardly matches the scale of the problem. Both BP and its owners appear unsurprisingly happy to wait for greater political urgency.

Oil market constrains Trump’s Iran war talk

21 May 2019

The U.S. president’s belligerent stance towards Tehran belies his dislike of costlier crude. While Saudi Arabia could increase output, it’s an imperfect hedge to the squeeze that would follow a conflict. Tight supply means Trump has little leeway for more than sabre-rattling.

Conoco escapes squeeze on Big Oil’s golden goose

26 Jul 2018

Infrastructure bottlenecks are depressing oil prices in America’s resource-rich Permian Basin. New pipelines should be running by next year if labor and steel problems don’t cause delays. While the $84 bln Conoco’s U.S. business is holding up, others may not be so fortunate.

BHP Permian sale hits reset on regional boom

9 Jul 2018

The mining giant is looking to offload shale assets in the West Texas area. A mooted price of around $10 billion suggests valuations are starting to drop. The Permian’s global clout remains, but until producers can fix pipeline bottlenecks, a more measured approach makes sense.

Aramco IPO retreat would leave few losers

6 Jul 2018

Pinning a $2 trln valuation on a company worth $1.6 trln was always going to be risky for the Saudi oil giant’s bankers. If Aramco’s IPO is scrapped, they may get another bite at a more modest cherry. It would, though, sting regulators who bent over backwards to accommodate it.