Food & Beverages

Ozempic overshoot will plump up bargain-hunters

18 Dec 2023

New weight-loss drugs are highly effective, but investors risk overestimating how fast change will occur and how many people will take the therapies indefinitely. Some companies regarded as victims, such as Zimmer Biomet, may even benefit. Contrarian investors may profit in 2024.

Pricey Campari cognac deal requires a steady hand

15 Dec 2023

Bob Kunze-Concewitz is paying $1.2 bln for French brandy house Courvoisier, the CEO’s biggest purchase yet. At 17 times last year’s EBITDA the price looks punchy while demand for cognac slows in the US and China. Lowering the Italian group's growing debt pile could be hard.

Moutai price hike comes with bigger responsibility

22 Nov 2023

The Chinese booze giant has raised the wholesale price of its fiery liquor for the first time since 2018, lifting the spirits of investors in the $310 bln group. But it may have to share the windfall with its home province, which is grappling with a $380 bln debt hangover.

Mars’ posh pivot comes with a rich price

16 Nov 2023

The privately held Snickers maker is buying upmarket British brand Hotel Chocolat for $662 mln. Its premium products may benefit as consumers move away from cheap sugar-rich snacks. But UK shoppers are stretched, and Mars will need rapid growth to make an appetising return.

Diageo’s Latin American pain risks spreading

10 Nov 2023

Shares in the spirit company fell 16% on a profit warning. Cash-strapped customers are buying cheaper tequila and whisky and switching to beer. But with interest rates at their current high levels, depressed demand could soon hit Diageo’s larger markets and rivals as well.

Capital Calls: Regulating crypto

7 Nov 2023

Concise views on global finance: The US Securities and Exchange Commission is struggling to hire digital token experts, partly because prospective recruits aren’t willing to acquiesce to the agency’s requirement that they sell their holdings in bitcoin and beyond.

Starbucks will benefit from kicking coffee habit

2 Nov 2023

When the economy slows, as is increasingly expected in the $115 bln company’s key US and China markets, consumers brew more java at home. In 2008, its profit fell 53%. Food and customized drinks are the sorts of small affordable luxuries that should now provide a better cushion.

Aussie winemaker ferments risky US deal vintage

1 Nov 2023

Treasury Wine is spending $900 mln on California’s fast-growing Daou. It’s the latest step in the Penfolds maker’s recovery from Chinese tariffs that corked a third of earnings. But listed US rivals have struggled. And the $5.5 bln buyer has suffered American hangovers before.

Capital Calls: McDonald’s resilience

30 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Golden Arches’ global same-store sales rose 9% thanks to both selective menu-price increases and smaller meals in different markets. It demonstrates the company’s ability to keep pace with disparate economies’ stretched consumers.

Smithfield US homecoming looks like pig in a poke

30 Oct 2023

China’s biggest pork firm may relist its US unit in New York. With $7.6 bln in market cap, investors don’t seem to attach much value to its 2013 buy. Moving West is a hedge against geopolitics, but a revaluation is unlikely if the Washington-Beijing relationship remains fraught.

Capital Calls: Ford, Amazon

26 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: The loss per car at the $45 bln automaker’s electric-vehicle unit has jumped 51% in a year. So-so earnings at the $1.2 trln e-commerce giant’s cloud division beat the even lower bar set by rival Alphabet.

Capital Calls: P&G’s pricing power

18 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: The $350 bln maker of Pampers diapers and Pantene shampoo charged another 7% more on average for its stable of products, but it can afford to keep squeezing shoppers because of the $1.1 trln Americans have in the bank.

Apollo may get noodle LBO thrown back in its face

12 Oct 2023

The buyout group could gobble up the UK-listed owner of the Wagamama chain for $862 mln. It looks like a good deal for the acquirer. Apollo’s decision to drop its John Wood takeover this year shows it’s no soft touch, but investors can still hold out for a better dish.

Pepsi has long way to go to win Ozempic challenge

10 Oct 2023

The $222 bln maker of Mountain Dew and Cheetos increased operating profit 14% after its seventh consecutive quarter of jacking up prices by at least 10%. Volume is slumping, however, and anti-obesity drugs are just starting to make their mark. Growth is bound to get tougher.

Polish cereal showdown goes against the EU grain

4 Oct 2023

A spat over Ukraine’s grain exports is the latest blemish on the European Union’s fraught relationship with Poland, the bloc’s sixth largest economy and biggest net recipient of EU funds. If upcoming elections push Warsaw further from Brussels, both sides have much to lose.

Retailer ‘shrink’ becomes too big to box up

3 Oct 2023

American stores lost $73 bln to theft last year, a nearly 20% rise from 2021, while Target just blamed crime for nine closures. Few chains report specifics, however, stirring doubts about anecdotal evidence. Consistent disclosure would help keep investors from getting fleeced.

Capital Calls: Food prices, Brookfield, SPAC spin

3 Oct 2023

Concise views on global finance: The cost of ingredients for the average UK meal fell 0.1% in September; the Canadian giant’s $1 bln renewables deal reflects how European green assets are getting more appealing; Singapore’s SPAC puts a new spin on blank-cheque targets.

Listing duo offers followers a cautious playbook

21 Sep 2023

Chip designer Arm and grocery delivery company Instacart have secured relatively successful stock launches, offering hope of a wider reopening of the IPO market. In this Viewsroom podcast, Breakingviews columnists explain how cornerstone investors and lowly valuations helped.

Capital Calls: Deliveroo

14 Sep 2023

Concise views on global finance: The UK food delivery company’s shares rose 5% amid hopes of a potential deal, but a rich takeout looks unlikely.

French iced tea feud will inflame grocer wars

14 Sep 2023

Carrefour is warning customers that suppliers like Unilever are raising prices on drinks and other goods by shrinking packages. The move will keep the government on side in its war against inflation. But smarter shoppers may hunt for bargains and go to discounters Lidl and Aldi.