Financial Services

Capital Calls: US job market’s shifting balance

7 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: American job-hoppers’ pay bumps are shrinking, promising lower inflation as labor costs ease. Workers have avoided widespread layoffs, but they’ve traded some bargaining power along the way.

UK could borrow a leaf from Canada’s mortgage book

7 Jul 2023

High levels of housing debt have left British borrowers exposed to rising interest rates. One way to avoid this problem is to fix payments as a proportion of the loan. Some Canadian lenders offer such adjustable-term mortgages, Edward Chancellor writes. The UK could follow suit.

How UBS can cling on to its Swiss purchase

6 Jul 2023

CEO Sergio Ermotti is under pressure to offload Credit Suisse’s local unit to ease political anger over the mega bank merger. But selling it could jettison prized wealth assets and $1-2 bln in annual savings. If UBS avoids mass layoffs it will have a stronger case for keeping it.

Capital Calls: Diverse workforces

5 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The court’s ruling against affirmative action could make future workforces more homogeneous. That’s a bitter pill for the US Federal Reserve, which has pushed for a more inclusive labor market.

Capital Calls: China’s central bank, Generali

3 Jul 2023

Concise views on global finance: The People’s Bank of China plays it safe by earmarking Pan Gongsheng as its new governor; the Del Vecchio family gets the green light to own more than 10% of the 30 bln euro Italian insurer.

Austrian bank short attack is watchdog’s nightmare

30 Jun 2023

BAWAG shares fell 8% after hedge fund Petrus said the lender had a shoddy business model and poor governance. Sector-beating returns make it a tough target. But following this year’s bank runs, regulators will fret that such campaigns could become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

KKR adopts M&A’s new rules in bidding war

28 Jun 2023

A smaller private equity shop is gatecrashing Henry Kravis’s firm and its $1.7 bln deal to buy industrial company Circor. KKR’s response: offer more certainty, not a better price. Hawkish regulators and shaky debt markets are changing dealmakers’ priorities.

Capital Calls: Digital euro, Thames Water

28 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Brussels is in a new push to convince EU member states and the European Parliament to endorse a digital euro; Britain’s Thames Water could be placed into special administration.

Hong Kong’s market promotions get shrill

28 Jun 2023

The city’s bourse is trying to lure foreign listings from Europe and the Middle East while regulators push local lenders to bank crypto exchanges. The first initiative is worthwhile but unlikely to yield much new business; the latter creates fresh headaches for HSBC and peers.

Prosus’ juggle leaves bigger worries up in the air

27 Jun 2023

The $147 bln Dutch investor is ending its complex shareholder structure with South African parent Naspers. It’s simpler for investors, and enables more buybacks. But the group will still have a stake in Tencent it can’t easily sell and lopsided governance, meriting a discount.

UK banks are appropriate airbag for mortgage crash

27 Jun 2023

British politicians are starting to call out lenders that have delayed passing on higher rates to savers, even as they charge borrowers more. Bank share valuations already implied such windfalls might be temporary. The sector’s rising margins justify some political arm-twisting.

Capital Calls: Eli Lilly gorges on obesity options

27 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The drugmaker found patients losing an incredible 24% of their weight on one of its latest treatments. First-movers don’t always win out in pharma, however, as Pfizer proved with Lipitor. That’s why Lilly is wise to keep investing in alternatives.

Credit-card crackdown will net limited rewards

22 Jun 2023

Over 80% of Americans have one, yet plastic’s complexity rivals financial derivatives. A Biden administration plan to cut late fees to $8 sounds like a step toward simplicity and a savvy vote-winner. Banks will probably be no worse off, however, and consumers scantly better.

Capital Calls: Intel Outside, Amazon Prime beef

21 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The chipmaker struck a deal to sell 20% of a tool-making subsidiary, which should benefit from being put on a path to independence. Meanwhile, the $1.3 trln e-commerce company’s subscription service is unlawfully hard to cancel, says the US FTC.

KKR takes private markets right up to the checkout

20 Jun 2023

The buyout shop will acquire up to 40 bln euros of buy-now-pay-later loans from PayPal. That will feed a business growing 70% a year, and satisfy asset managers’ hunt for new big markets to pour dollars into. They may encroach on another domain once the preserve of banks.

Capital Calls: Virgin Galactic

16 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Shares of Richard Branson’s space tourism company rocketed 30% higher on news it would launch its first commercial flight in two weeks. The customer demand required alongside competition from Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos make the valuation a moonshot.

Capital Calls: Funky bank debt

14 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: Credit investors are increasingly willing to buy quasi-equity instruments known as AT1s, despite a near-death experience for the asset class amid the Credit Suisse crisis in March.

Odey brokers’ belated rethink is a cautionary tale

12 Jun 2023

JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and others are reviewing links to the fund manager. Odey’s 2021 firing of his executive team should have been a red flag to do so even before further sexual assault allegations emerged. Brokers’ tardy responses just raise questions about their processes.

Kyiv courts risk with oligarch bank takeover plan

12 Jun 2023

Ukraine wants to nationalise Sense Bank, owned by sanctioned tycoons Mikhail Fridman and Petr Aven. The political move lacks a strong economic logic. The state already owns four of the country’s top lenders. Finding a new private owner for the bank would be more sensible.

Capital Calls: UBS, Brookfield

9 Jun 2023

Concise views on global finance: The Swiss bank’s state loss guarantee is structured like an insurance policy against an unlikely event; the Canadian investment group teams up with UAE and Saudi investors to beat CVC’s consortium and win payments provider Network International.