European Union

Make Britain’s Brexit bill performance-related

3 May 2017

The EU may demand 100 bln euros from the UK for leaving the bloc. Some Britons want to pay nothing. Investment bankers ease impasses between companies by making part of the cost contingent on future performance. Linking the bill to UK GDP might enable both sides to claim victory.

French savers are a good bulwark against Le Pen

3 May 2017

Marine Le Pen’s anti-euro rhetoric will be a liability in Sunday’s election. Some undecided voters may share the far-right leader’s distrust of the EU. But ditching the single currency would be punitive for a country with the euro zone’s third-highest savings rate.

EU clearing spat epitomises perils of hard Brexit

2 May 2017

Brussels may try to restrict euro-denominated clearing in the UK, a report says. European regulators have long fretted over the fact that most of it occurs outside the euro area. A compromise is more than possible – but is harder to achieve if Britain leaves the single market.

UK election will test markets’ Brexit optimism

19 Apr 2017

Investors think Britain has a better chance of avoiding a damaging EU exit because Theresa May has called an early vote, a Breakingviews index based on asset prices shows. That view could be challenged by a campaign that will force the prime minister to clarify her policies.

EU veto could do LSE and Deutsche Boerse a favour

23 Feb 2017

It's a year since the two exchanges proposed joining forces. The European Commission will soon decide if the tie-up is anti-competitive. A thumbs-down would spare both sides the need to navigate post-Brexit political waters, and force them to do the sensible thing: wait.

ECB’s tough love is good for banks, bad for Italy

28 Dec 2016

The European Central Bank says Monte dei Paschi needs 9 bln euros of extra capital - up from 5 bln euros - after seeking state aid. Raising the bar is a prudent response to prolonged uncertainty. But it adds to Rome’s debt, and may push up the bailout bill for other banks.

Europe’s best antidote to populism is unpopularism

28 Dec 2016

Parties that promised to take on the elite had a roaring 2016. Even so, the withering of the moderate centre isn’t inevitable. In Greece the pendulum is swinging away from radical government. Liberals with sound economic policies can win – if they’re willing to make enemies.