RBS gains more than consumers from state aid fudge 27 Jul 2017 The UK bank will pay over 800 million pounds to hang on to a lending arm that European antitrust authorities wanted it to offload. The boost to competition is hard to assess. But the Treasury-negotiated deal hauls RBS closer to becoming a normal bank – at a good price.
EU play for primary dealers may speed their demise 26 Jul 2017 Banks that buy EU debt directly from governments might have to move jobs out of London after Brexit to retain the privilege, Reuters reports. Such strong-arm tactics may drive some out of a business that has already grown less appealing and force a rethink of how bonds are sold.
Daimler could be next on the break-up autobahn 26 Jul 2017 The German carmaker is thinking of turning its divisions into legally separate entities. Engineering group Siemens did that with its healthcare unit, which it plans to list. Carving out Daimler’s trucks could unwind a long-standing conglomerate discount of perhaps 30 bln euros.
Euro rally will only speed its own reversal 21 Jul 2017 The single currency has hit a two-year high against the U.S. dollar. That will depress import prices when inflation is still too low. Any hint that a stronger exchange rate will prompt the European Central Bank to leave monetary policy loose for longer will push it down again.
Britain gets taster of capital markets disunion 19 Jul 2017 EU lawmakers may ban securitisation of loans where the borrower’s income isn’t proven. It’s a step towards the capital markets union Britain championed before its Brexit vote, yet one that will mostly affect UK borrowers. Britain can try and change the rules – but not for long.
Brexit assurances give EU citizens scant comfort 26 Jun 2017 The government has told Europeans they will not be forced to leave the United Kingdom. That’s welcome. But many grey areas will depend on the judgement of overworked bureaucrats. Worse still, any pledges could be rendered invalid if Britain crashes out of the EU without a deal.
Nestle’s big problem is its crunchy governance 26 Jun 2017 Hedge fund Third Point’s ideas for the Swiss maker of KitKat are sensible but obvious. Nestle is already weighing up asset sales. It has set and missed targets before. Shaking up the company’s slow-moving culture would achieve more – starting with a new chairman.
Cox: Milan is dark horse in post-Brexit bank race 22 Jun 2017 The city that taught London about lending lags Paris and Frankfurt in pitching its appeal as a financial center. Fashionable lateness is a Lombard charm. So are fine universities, clever financiers, tax incentives, a strong work ethic – and easy access to beaches and mountains.
Macron has the levers to transform French economy 18 Jun 2017 The Gallic president’s talent for upending politics is beyond doubt after his party won a huge parliamentary majority. He now has a free hand to pass labour and tax reforms. His legacy hinges on whether he can lay the foundations for future prosperity without jeopardising growth.
Europe and U.S. clash over who bullies the bullies 16 Jun 2017 Germany has bristled at draft U.S. sanctions against Russia, claiming the global policeman is overplaying its clout. Europe is readying a big fine for tech giant Google for doing something similar. Bullies aren’t easily toppled, but countries are harder to rein in than companies.
Italian shipping deal torpedoes single market myth 16 Jun 2017 French President Macron is griping over Italian shipbuilder Fincantieri’s bid to buy a stake in a French firm. The deal could create an EU champion, but compromise French jobs. Macron is a fervent believer in Europe – but domestic concerns don’t sit easily with idealism.
Germany’s euro-bond allergy will be hard to cure 13 Jun 2017 France’s pro-European president, Emmanuel Macron, has given new hope to advocates of joint euro zone debt. But expect Teutonic resistance. Europe’s biggest economy is loath to give an implicit bailout guarantee to its own regions so will hardly extend one to other countries.
British parties all gain if they share Brexit pain 12 Jun 2017 The Conservative party’s loss of a majority weakens its hand in talks with the EU. Bringing Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour into talks could strengthen it, and cut the chance of a chaotic exit. The opposition may prefer to see its rivals implode, but Corbyn would get blamed for the mess.
New Irish leader is more like Renzi than Macron 5 Jun 2017 Leo Varadkar will be Ireland’s youngest prime minister, prompting comparisons with France’s Emmanuel Macron. Parallels with Italy’s former PM Matteo Renzi are more apt. His government is weak, and he could be at odds with Europe on Ireland’s chief challenges of Brexit and taxes.
Euro zone “safe” bonds would be anything but 31 May 2017 The European Commission has suggested creating low-risk securities by pooling sovereign bonds. The idea is to reduce banks’ exposure to governments. But risks would still be interconnected. Without a common tax base and joint liability, no pan-euro zone debt can be truly secure.
Euro zone bonds are taboo worth breaking 17 May 2017 Spain wants the bloc’s 19 governments to pool their debt. That idea is likely to be shunned by Germany. Yet mutualisation is happening anyway through bailouts and central bank largesse, and countries are less profligate than they were. Common bonds needn’t mean wayward spending.
EasyJet gives lesson in counter-cyclical aviation 16 May 2017 As European airlines engage in a costly battle for market share, the UK no-frills carrier is buying ever-larger aircraft. EasyJet’s cost advantage and the impending demise of weak rivals suggest boss Carolyn McCall is right to look beyond the short-term clouds.
Vivendi’s Havas deal hangs on new media logic 16 May 2017 The French media group reckons the convergence of advertising, distribution and content justifies its 3.9 bln euro offer for the ad firm. Yet the numbers don’t add up without heroic assumptions, and Havas customers may not take kindly to the new arrangement.
Macron faces stronger Merkel after state election 15 May 2017 France’s new president needs German support for his euro zone reform ideas. Angela Merkel’s challenger Martin Schulz is more supportive of tighter fiscal integration and more investment. The triumph for Merkel’s party in a regional poll suggests any changes will need her consent.
Britain gears up for immigration self-harm 15 May 2017 Theresa May is likely to stick with a vow to reduce annual net migration below 100,000, despite failing to hit it so far. The election gives the prime minister a golden opportunity to show the UK will keep growing post-Brexit. Renewing the pledge would apply an unhelpful brake.