Northern Ireland is Brexit’s Gordian knot 17 Nov 2017 Avoiding a hard border in the region is an aim of all sides in the Brexit talks. The least-worst fix is for Europe to treat Northern Ireland the way it does Norway. That’s only possible if pro-UK politicians in Belfast can be made to see the economic necessity.
Euro zone boom stimulates reform complacency 14 Nov 2017 From Germany to Italy, growth is picking up in the once-troubled region. Rosy conditions should endure: investment and employment are still catching up after years of crisis. The risk is that politicians avoid tough decisions to prepare the incomplete bloc for the next downturn.
ECB haste risks slowing its bad-loan cleanup 10 Nov 2017 The central bank overstepped its authority with proposals to impose stricter rules on banks for non-performing loans, the EU’s parliament says. The ECB is right to target European lenders’ 840 billion euro mountain of bad debt, but its clumsy move may set back the effort.
Bank of Italy chief’s new term faces uphill start 27 Oct 2017 Ignazio Visco has been reappointed as central bank governor despite political opposition. His first challenge is to quell critics of his handling of Italy’s banking crisis. EU rules are also getting tougher and Mario Draghi’s departure from the ECB in 2019 will remove an ally.
Europe’s MiFID ties tardy SEC in knots 26 Oct 2017 The U.S. agency provided breathing space to financial firms facing conflicting rules on charging separately for research. The belated action is only a band-aid. The SEC could learn from the commodity watchdog, which has already been settling permanent deals with EU counterparts.
Catalan banks fairly punished for wrong reason 4 Oct 2017 The prospect of Catalan independence has hit Barcelona-based lenders CaixaBank and Sabadell. A schism from Spain and the EU could trigger deposit runs and losses, but the risk of that is low. Stagnant interest rates and weak profitability are a bigger threat than self-rule.
Europe faces bigger tax foe than Amazon and Apple 4 Oct 2017 The bloc’s antitrust chief ordered Luxembourg to collect 250 mln euros from the e-commerce giant. She is also pursuing Ireland over a 13 bln euro Apple case. The EU is winning the loophole battle. But a bigger war to level the global tax playing field may meet U.S. intransigence.
Macron’s European vision too honest for own good 26 Sep 2017 The French president set out comprehensive proposals to overhaul defence, taxes, social policy and more. Though he deserves credit for articulating Europe’s potential, his detractors have many targets to attack. Candour about EU integration makes such dreams harder to realise.
Italy’s 5-Star puts respectable face on radicalism 25 Sep 2017 The protest movement, doing well in opinion polls, has named a 31-year-old lawmaker as its leader. Luigi Di Maio’s cool appeal contrasts with founder Beppe Grillo’s vitriolic style and may win over moderate voters in 2018. But going mainstream could undermine its basic appeal.
Theresa May embraces “extend and pretend” Brexit 22 Sep 2017 Fifteen months after Britain voted to leave the European Union, the prime minister still has no coherent idea how to deliver it. Her proposal to keep things as they are until 2021 lowers the risk of a chaotic Brexit. If accepted, the temptation will be to delay further.
EU foreign investment review raises bar for China 13 Sep 2017 Brussels has proposed a pan-European scheme to vet sensitive purchases by other countries. Unlike the U.S., rulings will be non-binding. Even so, the People’s Republic will find it harder to buy up EU infrastructure and technology. It’s another reason for Beijing to open up.
Campaign for euro zone budget is a distraction 13 Sep 2017 The single currency area needs a way to absorb future economic shocks. But comments from European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker show that a common tax-funded budget would be a stretch. Better to tweak fiscal rules, deepen financial reform and beef up Europe’s bailout fund.
Dixon: No escape from debtors’ prison for Greece 11 Sep 2017 Alexis Tsipras is desperate to avoid surveillance of his actions by the country’s creditors when its third bailout ends next August. The best the Greek prime minister can hope for is to move from a high-security unit to an open prison – and only if he behaves.
EU’s antitrust creativity drive hits roadblock 6 Sep 2017 A case that slapped chipmaker Intel with a $1.3 bln fine has been punted back to a lower court. This is a blow for antitrust tsar Margrethe Vestager, who has tried to get as innovative in policing tech giants as the companies are themselves. Proving abuses will be harder.
5-Star’s softer stance on euro is clever tactic 4 Sep 2017 The radical Italian party sees a referendum on euro membership as a last resort, one of its top lawmakers says. The apparent U-turn could help soothe markets and business before upcoming elections. There’s room to backtrack, but 5-Star is holding up and getting more nuanced.
Italian markets dance anew to Berlusconi discord 23 Aug 2017 Chased out of power in 2011, Silvio Berlusconi is spooking investors with talk of a parallel currency. The ex-PM’s plans look more like posturing than policy. His own finances wouldn’t obviously benefit from Italy leaving the euro. Yet Berlusconi remains too important to ignore.
Britain tries Trojan Horse trade tactic in Ireland 17 Aug 2017 The EU wants the Northern Ireland border issue resolved before the UK’s wider exit terms can be agreed. New proposals from London effectively couch Britain’s trade agenda in concern for the peace process. Having Dublin onside raises the chances of Britain getting what it wants.
ECB weakens Italy doom loop by bending bond rules 16 Aug 2017 The European Central Bank is buying more Italian bonds than its rules allow. That helps lower the country’s borrowing costs and allows its banks to cut exposure to their sovereign. With elections and political risks looming, it may have to take an ever more pragmatic approach.
Shipyard spat shows Macron will put France first 31 Jul 2017 The French president angered Italy and exposed the limits of his ardor for the European Union and free markets by nationalising STX France. The silver lining is that he has a better chance of pushing through reform if he makes a show of protecting jobs and the national interest.
EU deposit freeze idea is counterproductive 31 Jul 2017 A proposal to stop customers’ withdrawing funds from a failing bank is under discussion. That may give regulators more time to work out a stricken lender. But extending the scheme to insured depositors would only make retail clients jumpier and bank failures more likely.