European Union

Brexit throws down electric gauntlet to UK cars

4 Jan 2021

Britain’s motor industry has escaped European Union tariffs that would have hobbled half its output. But to meet export rules on low-carbon vehicles by 2024, Prime Minister Boris Johnson needs to ramp up battery output. Convincing groups like Nissan and BMW to stay will be tough.

Christmas Eve Brexit deal is second-worst outcome

24 Dec 2020

The UK’s last-gasp agreement with the European Union avoids painful tariffs and a dangerous rupture in relations. Yet trade flows remain hostage to diverging standards. While the costs of exiting the single market will now become clear, the benefits of independence remain vague.

EU’s Google-Fitbit approval sets risky precedent

17 Dec 2020

Antitrust tsar Margrethe Vestager approved the $2.1 bln deal with conditions. The buyer’s pledges, like giving rival fitness trackers equal access to the Android operating system, are great in theory but hard to monitor. Vestager may only spot the loopholes once the harm is done.

ECB fiat anoints unlikely bank dividend heroes

16 Dec 2020

The regulator capped payouts as a proportion of earnings and assets. Well-capitalised lenders with richer valuations, like Nordea and KBC, now offer tiny yields compared with minnows like Liberbank. The risk is that a slow recovery causes restrictions to last beyond September.

Europe wields foam hammer at big U.S. tech groups

15 Dec 2020

Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager proposed new rules governing the behaviour of Amazon.com, Facebook and others. The potential fines are large, but that is a flimsy deterrent. Recommendations on sharing data with rivals are a neat idea but look narrow in scope.

Sheriffs take overdue ride into ESG wild west

15 Dec 2020

French and Dutch regulators have called for greater oversight of ratings and products that gauge companies’ green credentials. Nailing down a coherent approach will be tricky. But the breakneck growth of sustainable investing makes clearer ground rules critical.

Christine Lagarde’s baby bazooka needs backup

10 Dec 2020

The ECB boss will deploy emergency stimulus measures, such as asset buying and ultra-cheap loans to banks, for longer but came up with no new tricks to boost Europe’s economy. Central bankers have been innovative in the crisis. It’s now governments’ turn to do more of the work.

Judge Europe’s tech push in 2030, not 2020

8 Dec 2020

The bloc’s startups will raise $41 bln this year, venture firm Atomico reckons. It’s a fraction of America’s haul, and the region’s companies are still tiny by U.S. standards. Europe’s share of early-stage fundraising, however, is huge. That augurs very well for the future.

Chatty ECB has a communications problem

2 Dec 2020

Chief Economist Philip Lane has since March spoken with a series of financiers after policy meetings, his diary shows. A perception that a select few have privileged access is best avoided. The even bigger issue is why the central bank has to work so hard to land its message.

Corona Capital: Scotland, EU impasse, Amazon

27 Nov 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: Scottish independence gets a viral shot in the arm; Poland and Hungary take a united stand on the European Union’s recovery fund; and the online retail giant delivers a modicum of Christmas cheer to workers.

Corona Capital: U.S. airlines

20 Nov 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: The CDC issued a warning to Americans not to travel over the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday as Covid-19 cases surge. Airlines, once again, are going hat-in-hand to Washington.

ECB has chance to avoid Fed’s strategy revamp flaw

12 Nov 2020

Christine Lagarde’s central bank is examining basics, like how it defines its price goal. Its U.S. peer earlier this year switched to aiming for inflation that averages 2% over time. But leaving things as vague as Jerome Powell did undermines efforts to lift price expectations.

Jeff Bezos and Margrethe Vestager can get along

10 Nov 2020

The Amazon CEO may balk at charges from Europe’s antitrust tsar that his company distorts retail competition. Possible remedies, like sharing data or erecting internal firewalls, will hurt. Still, Vestager is trying to cope with Amazon’s dominance, not end it. That’s something.

Guest view: Five ways to hit Europe’s green goals

9 Oct 2020

The EU’s aim to cut 2030 carbon emissions by 55% is ambitious. It means more renewables, less coal, and new thinking on energy demand and efficiency. Meanwhile, notes Energy Commissioner Kadri Simson, the extra 350 bln euros it will cost annually will require private sector help.

European Union will be bond market’s new behemoth

7 Oct 2020

The need to fund pandemic aid schemes worth nearly 1 trillion euros will make the EU one of the region’s largest issuers. ECB bond buying and investors’ hunger for safe assets mean that is no problem. And the scale of issuance will make its debt more liquid, a prized quality.

Christine Lagarde has a real rates problem

2 Oct 2020

Euro zone prices fell 0.3% in September from a year ago, a bigger drop than in August. This boosts the inflation-adjusted, or real, policy rate. That phenomenon is most marked on the ECB boss’s turf and may lift the euro. A rising currency would hasten further monetary easing.

Swiss vote reinforces EU’s tough Brexit stance

28 Sep 2020

The Alpine nation reversed its opposition to EU immigration in a referendum, avoiding a messy standoff with its top export market. Broad economic concerns trumped popular angst. As negotiations with the United Kingdom intensify, the outcome will encourage Brussels to stand firm.

Apple fight is just one front in Europe’s tax war

25 Sep 2020

Antitrust tsar Margrethe Vestager will appeal a court ruling nullifying demands the tech giant pay Ireland $15 bln of back taxes. It’s time-consuming and possibly futile. With Covid-19 inflating government deficits, political pressure on low-tax states may be more fruitful.

How to build a European JPMorgan

25 Sep 2020

An EU bank of the U.S. behemoth’s size could help ensure reliable corporate funding and more tech investment. Fragmented liquidity, capital and bankruptcy rules make the necessary mega-deals hard. Though the ECB is helping, it’s really up to national regulators and politicians.

Corona Capital: Playboy, Mondelez

21 Sep 2020

Concise views on the pandemic’s corporate and financial fallout: The owner of perhaps the most famous adult magazine is hoping a SPAC can give it a new lease on life; Mondelez wants to expand its range of healthy snacks – but they’re not always the best money spinners.