EU’s anti-greenwashing crusade takes a risky turn 5 Jan 2022 The bloc’s new draft of its green taxonomy includes gas and nuclear power. The risk is a tool intended to make sustainable financing less prone to greenwashing does the opposite. A lot hinges on whether investors properly differentiate between clean and “transition” activities.
Europe tightens energy noose round its own neck 17 Dec 2021 Germany will not certify Nord Stream 2 until the second half of next year. The Baltic pipeline is a hugely flawed solution to Europe’s energy security shortcomings. But the main losers from delaying its launch are likely to be its own consumers, rather than Russia or Gazprom.
Trailblazing UK rate rise may pay off in the end 16 Dec 2021 The Bank of England is the first major central bank to hike its policy rate. The ECB faces less acute price pressures and the Fed must consider the job market alongside inflation. It’s a gamble, but acting now means British rate-setters will have less hiking to do in the future.
ECB needs a louder megaphone to reach bond markets 28 Oct 2021 President Christine Lagarde said she won’t hike rates as soon as investors anticipate. But that didn’t change their expectations and euro zone debt yields rose. She will have to do a better job of convincing them if she is to avert an unwanted tightening in financing conditions.
Mario Draghi can play hardball with Andrea Orcel 21 Oct 2021 UniCredit’s boss wants the Italian premier to inject 7 bln euros into bailed-out bank MPS before he buys it. The state needs to sell its stake to meet EU rules, but taxpayers may balk at another large handout. Seeking an extension from Brussels may work to Rome’s advantage.
Jens Weidmann’s best replacement is another hawk 20 Oct 2021 The Bundesbank president has unexpectedly resigned. Weidmann criticised Mario Draghi’s bond-buying plan, and a more dovish rate-setter could help the ECB keep policy loose in tricky times. But having an articulate and critical representative also helped keep German voters happy.
EU cheer only partly masks green bond shortcomings 12 Oct 2021 The bloc’s debut 12 bln euro issue of debt earmarked for environmental aims was a big success and may encourage more launches. But such securities only incentivise sustainable behaviour if issuers can borrow at cheaper rates. That’s not always the case.
French cloud IPO is a bet on EU tech sovereignty 5 Oct 2021 OVHcloud is listing in Paris for up to 3.7 bln euros. Slow growth and the tight grip of founder Octave Klaba justify the IT group’s low valuation. But sales could surge if European businesses and governments push to keep data at home rather than with Amazon, Google or Microsoft.
Capital Calls: U.S. deal watchdog, Italian IPO 5 Oct 2021 Concise views on global finance: Blog posts from the FTC’s competition chief reveal plans to go way bigger when extracting concessions from merging companies; Italy's $5 billion security group Leonardo is taking a second run at listing its DRS unit in the United States.
ECB has the least worrying inflation problem 1 Oct 2021 Euro zone consumer prices rose 3.4% in September, strengthening the hand of those who want boss Christine Lagarde to wind up emergency monetary stimulus. But structural unemployment is higher, the economy less robust and fiscal policy less stimulative than in the United States.
Easing crisis leaves Lagarde with tough transition 30 Sep 2021 The European Central Bank boss will have to fall back on a pre-pandemic bond-buying scheme once its emergency purchase programme runs out. The former is less flexible and may force Christine Lagarde to choose between flouting rules or curtailing support to the fragile economy.
German election offers more continuity than chaos 8 Sep 2021 A three-way coalition may lead the EU’s largest economy after September’s poll. A grouping of left, right, or green lawmakers could take months to form and shirk reforms at home and in Europe. Climate change and the pandemic aftermath will still shape policy for the better.
Ferrari’s new boss faces early electric test 2 Aug 2021 The EU wants to ban new fossil fuel-powered cars from 2035. That’s likely to force incoming CEO Benedetto Vigna to accelerate the $42 bln sports-car maker’s plans to shift to battery power. How to do that without denting its luxury margins will require some deft driving.
ECB’s old problem will defy new strategy 22 Jul 2021 Boss Christine Lagarde revealed the practical consequences of tweaking her inflation target: interest rates may stay at record lows for even longer. But given ultra-easy policy has failed for years to make prices rise faster, the chances of hitting her new goal are no better.
EU dirty money watchdog sounds less toothless 21 Jul 2021 Brussels wants to set up a single agency to prevent future Danske Bank-style scandals. The new body will take time to set up and could be watered down by politicians. But direct oversight of the EU’s riskiest financial entities and scope to levy big fines are a step forward.
European airlines’ CO2 pleas deserve cold shoulder 16 Jul 2021 Trade body IATA is moaning about EU plans to curb emissions by making jet fuel more expensive. Ideas that may add 3% to operating costs over several years aren’t a grounding order. And most of the changes would merely remove existing freebies to align aviation with other sectors.
Lagarde’s green turn may not need to be that sharp 16 Jul 2021 The ECB boss’s 293 bln euro corporate bond programme may soon tilt toward environmental saints and away from sinners. Too heavy a hand could distort markets and inflate green bubbles. But it’s a big enough change for it not to matter if, as seems likely, the intervention is mild.
ECB has reason to leapfrog Fed on digital currency 14 Jul 2021 President Christine Lagarde took the first step towards an electronic euro. China and some others are moving faster. But the innovation may be more useful in the euro zone than in the United States, especially if the ECB can impose negative interest rates directly on households.
The Exchange: American-EU relations return to warm 13 Jul 2021 After four frosty years, Washington and Brussels are back to cooperation on foreign and economic policy, with some big trade wins already on the scoreboard, Ambassador Stavros Lambrinidis tells Rob Cox in an interview hosted by the European-American Chamber of Commerce New York.
EU carbon border levy limbers up for a soft launch 13 Jul 2021 The European Commission will this week set out plans for making companies that export goods to the bloc incorporate the rising cost of carbon. It’s likely to pull its punches. That’s not ideal, but even a watered-down levy would still set an important precedent.